Charles & Adam Pogson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).
The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (20%, n=30), clear of the yard's 11.3% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.29). Charlie Todd rides 27% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.3% vs 11.3%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well in Chase races (14.6%, n=144). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 6.1% over 33 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 397 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 397 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 September 2020 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Charles & Adam Pogson's strike rate?
- Charles & Adam Pogson has won 35 of 310 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Charles & Adam Pogson do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 runners (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Charles & Adam Pogson?
- Charlie Todd, with 84 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.3%).
- Is Charles & Adam Pogson in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Charles & Adam Pogson's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 310 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.