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Trainer profile

Andy Irvine

399 runners in the last 5 seasons · 52 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 44 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
21–399
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=399
72 (18%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=399 · 0.69 incl. margin
−154.75
£1 level stake
n=399 at SP · −38.8%
£303k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 399 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Philip Armson: 5.2% from 77
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −30.00 to a £1 stake over 187 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Philip Armson rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (13.6%, n=59) and over 2m5f – 3m (9.5%, n=63). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 32 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.37 across 155 runners (2.6% strike, −129.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Gold Clermont (FR) — 5 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−2.5
n=71 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −56.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.3
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.3%+0.0
n=187 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −30.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Beyond 3m 13.6% vs 5.3% · n=59
In Flat races 0% vs 5.3% · n=32
With James Best 0% vs 5.3% · n=32
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.5% vs 5.3% · n=63
On Soft going 8.6% vs 5.3% · n=105
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.6% vs 5.3% · n=155
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 245 13 5.3% −70.00
Chase 101 8 7.9% −31.75
Flat 32 0 0% −32.00
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 132 9 6.8% −0.25
Good to Soft 111 3 2.7% −68.50
Soft 105 9 8.6% −35.00
Heavy 28 0 0% −28.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 133 9 6.8% −65.50
Fontwell 61 3 4.9% −42.50
Lingfield 49 2 4.1% −30.00
Huntingdon 19 2 10.5% −4.00
Fakenham 16 1 6.3% −6.50
Kempton 10 2 20% +76.50
Warwick 10 0 0% −10.00
Market Rasen 9 0 0% −9.00
Kempton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Sandown 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Uttoxeter 5 1 20% +21.00
Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 205 10 4.9% −124.00
Class 4 150 9 6% +1.00
Class 3 20 2 10% −7.75
Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.28 +2.75
2nd–3rd fav 48 6 12.5% 0.74 −10.00
4th–6th fav 153 9 5.9% 0.81 −63.50
7th+ in betting 188 2 1.1% 0.46 −84.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.2% completed · 346 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 101 81.2% 1 0 17 1 0
Hurdle 245 81.2% 1 2 43 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Godot (IRE) 29 4 10 8 Apr 26
Flemen's Tipple (IRE)from T E Hyde 27 1 6 3 Oct 25
Clondaw Robin (IRE)from Zoe Davison 26 0 4 11 May 25
Gold Clermont (FR)from Tom Lacey 24 5 9 9 May 26
Birdman Bob (IRE) 23 2 6 1 Dec 25
Brown Bullet (IRE)from Zoe Davison 19 1 3 7 Jan 24
Beaufort West (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 18 1 3 12 May 24
Monty's Award (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 16 2 6 16 Jun 23
Shaw's Cross (IRE)from Paul Henderson 15 0 3 20 Feb 25
Eklil (GB)from Rae Guest 13 0 0 19 Jan 25
Hesbehindyou (IRE) 11 0 2 12 Jun 24
Den The Diva (GB)then Ian Williams 11 0 1 12 Jun 24
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Zoe Davison (8) and Paul Henderson (3); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
32115500002074
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhilip Armson
19% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Philip Armson 77 4 5.2% −31.00
Caoilin Quinn 73 5 6.8% −50.75
Niall Houlihan 45 3 6.7% −23.50
James Best 32 0 0% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
31
Archived wins
£381k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 10 wins
La Dolce Dolly (IRE) — Wincanton Fireworks On Sale Now Mares' Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Mar 2025 · Class 3
£10,894
Godot (IRE) — BetGoodwin Hayley Turner Handicap Chase Plumpton · Jan 2024 · Class 4
£7,922
Beaufort West (IRE) — Bistro 1777 The Bank House Uttoxeter Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Mar 2022 · Class 4
£6,753
Notable horses
Gold Clermont (FR) Godot (IRE) Monty's Award (IRE) Mr Jack (IRE) Brown Bullet (IRE) Birdman Bob (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 6% · 3–50
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Getaway (GER) 10.6% · 5–47
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Robin Des Champs (FR) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Balko (FR) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 12.8% of 2,646 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Arcadio (GER) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 518 · newest first

The latest 50 of 518 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2021 to 7 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Sep 26 Windsor Lethal Blast (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1
14 Jun 26 Salisbury Somkiyr (FR)J: Rhys Clutterbuck H S Lester Memorial Challenge Cup 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 6th 125/1
05 Jun 26 Goodwood Somkiyr (FR)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Track Radio On Digital & DAB Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 80/1
26 May 26 Plumpton Yasmina (GB)J: Chad Bament Kalm Club - Everyone Welcome Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/2
26 May 26 Plumpton Everyonesgame (IRE)J: Chad Bament Bruce Hardwick Thoroughbred Pub In Polegate Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/1
20 May 26 Kempton (AW) Somkiyr (FR)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Unibet More Extra Place Races HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 125/1
09 May 26 Hexham Gold Clermont (FR)J: Chad Bament Paxtons Now Stocking Stihl Equipment Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 11/1
06 May 26 Kempton (AW) Lethal Blast (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Unibet's 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 125/1
04 May 26 Kempton (AW) Somkiyr (FR)J: Kaiya Fraser Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 150/1
04 May 26 Fakenham Ephyra (GB)J: Freddie Mitchell Each The Nook Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 28/1
24 Apr 26 Fontwell Gold Clermont (FR)J: Chad Bament KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/2
23 Apr 26 Warwick Everyonesgame (IRE)J: Caoilin Quinn John Sillett Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 5th 12/1
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Somkiyr (FR)J: Freddie Mitchell Weatherbys Design & Print Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 66/1
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Tropical Speed (IRE)J: Chad Bament Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Godot (IRE)J: Freddie Mitchell Land & Power Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 9/1
06 Apr 26 Plumpton Yasmina (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Gordon And Angela Ashdown Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
05 Apr 26 Plumpton Ephyra (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn BetGoodwin Master Trainer Chris Gordon Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 9/2
29 Mar 26 Ascot Everyonesgame (IRE)J: Freddie Mitchell Colts And Fillies Club Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 50/1
27 Mar 26 Fontwell Godot (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Join Bet St George 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 10/1
16 Mar 26 Plumpton Ephyra (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn Kalm Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andy Irvine's strike rate?
Andy Irvine has won 21 of 399 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andy Irvine do best at?
Plumpton by strike rate: 9 wins from 133 runners (6.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andy Irvine?
Philip Armson, with 77 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.2%).
What is Andy Irvine's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 399 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).