Horse profile
The Tide Turns (GB)
by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Red Roxanne (GB) (Rock Of Gibraltar)
28 runs · 20 courses · from Sep 2020
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Punchestown, Lingfield (AW) & Wolverhampton (AW)
Last run 3 Nov 2026
Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile
The Tide Turns is 3 from 28, with all wins at 1m2f – 1m4f or 1m5f – 2m. Two came in handicaps on Standard (AW) at Lingfield (AW) and Wolverhampton (AW) off an official rating of 60 in May 2021, and the third in a maiden hurdle at Punchestown on Soft in Jan 2022. Ridden prominently, he last ran at Warwick in Nov 2026 off an official rating of 100, 37lb below his highest ever mark.
Based on 28 archived runs · run-style from 5 commented runs since Oct 2025 · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
OR ↓ 37lb off peak
- 3–28Wins / Runs
- 10.7%Strike rate
- 6 (21.4%)Placed
- −20.13£1 level staken=28 at SP
- 0.98Fair A/E n=27 · 0.83 incl. margin
- 137Highest OR
- 24dBetween runs (median)longest 452 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating100↓ 37lb off peak
100
60–137
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 125
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 92C | 80 | 2 runs · 81 / 75 |
| Soft | 4 | 103A | 88.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 119B | 80 | 2 runs · 81 / 75 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 121A | 83 | — |
| Good | 3 | 125A | 121 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 121A | 96.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 121C | 91 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 70A | 63 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 125A | 116 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 28 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 28 runs · as at 7 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Oct 2025
- Prominent 4 (80%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Sea The Moon (GER)
Progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,586 runs since Apr 2018 (504 horses).
Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 814.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 406 | 51 | 12.6% | +0.6 | — |
| Good | 1,061 | 129 | 12.2% | +0.2 | 0 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 627 | 85 | 13.6% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 877 | 103 | 11.7% | −0.3 | 1 from 7 |
| Heavy | 323 | 42 | 13% | +1 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,282 | 140 | 10.9% | −1.1 | 2 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 64 | 9 | 14.1% | +2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 690 | 68 | 9.9% | −2.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,035 | 98 | 9.5% | −2.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,542 | 198 | 12.8% | +0.8 | 2 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 814 | 122 | 15% | +3 | 1 from 14 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 358 | 51 | 14.2% | +2.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 74 | 5 | 6.8% | −5.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 9 | 0 | 0% | −12 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2018 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Red Roxanne (GB) (Rock Of Gibraltar)
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tristan (GB) | 20 | 0 | — | — |
| Black Redstart (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 2 | 22% | −4.38 |
| Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | −3.75 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.38 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hereford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 14 | 1 | 7% | −10.75 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.62 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 7 | 2 | 29% | −2.38 |
| Jack Kennedy | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.75 |
| Lewis Stones | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jamie Brace | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chris Hayes | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Keithen Kennedy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jake Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Davy Russell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Ewing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Tate | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Morgan Cole | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 3 | 25% | −4.13 |
| Tongue tie | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.75 |
| 2021 | 5 | 2 | 40% | −0.38 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 15 | 1 | 7% | −11.75 |
| Flat | 13 | 2 | 15% | −8.38 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 03 Nov 26+177d | Warwick | Alex & Edward Alder Handicap Hurdle Race Up with the pace early - dropped back by the 7th - soon eased and pulled up | PU/10 | — | 11-1 | 100 | — | — | Lewis Stones | 200/1 |
| 10 May 26+24d | Ludlow | Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle Held a forward spot early - fell back rounding the turn before 3 out - slipped to the rear soon after - well beaten from 2 out to the finish | 7/7 | 15 | 11-9 | 108 | 81C | 91C | Lewis Stones | 150/1 |
| 16 Apr 26+161d | Hereford | Burcombe Construction Ltd Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack - dropped away 3 out - pushed along but unable to close from there - well held at the finish | 9/9 | 24 | 11-7 | 114 | 69C | 105C | Lewis Stones | 200/1 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Nov 25+24d | Newbury | OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Settled behind the pace - blundered 5th and slipped back before fading before 3 out - pulled up approaching 2 out | PU/13 | — | 11-10 | 120 | — | — | Jamie Brace | 300/1 |
| 13 Oct 25+452d | Hereford | Join The 2025/2026 Hereford Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Raced handy early - drifted off the rail approaching 4th and blundered at 8th - needed urging and dropped away - retired from the contest before the second-last | PU/4 | — | 11-11 | 122 | — | — | Jamie Brace | 66/1 |
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Jul 24+11d | Leopardstown | BoyleSports Acca Rewards Handicap | 10/11 | 7 | 9-13 | 69 | 74C | 60C | Chris Hayes | 16/1 |
| 07 Jul 24+35d | Limerick | Private Suites At Limerick Racecourse Handicap (50-85) | 5/12 | nk | 9-10 | 72 | 125A | 77A | Chris Hayes | 16/1 |
| 02 Jun 24+19d | Listowel | Lane Family Memorial Handicap | 12/13 | 1 | 10-0 | 75 | 121C | 67C | Declan McDonogh | 18/1 |
| 14 May 24+79d | Killarney | FEXCO Handicap | 9/12 | 3 | 8-8 | 77 | 107C | 65C | Keithen Kennedy | 12/1 |
| 25 Feb 24+385d | Naas | Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) | 10/14 | 39 | 10-5 | 127 | 95C | 103C | Jake Coen | 40/1 |
| 2023 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 05 Feb 23+40d | Leopardstown | Festina Lente Charity Liffey Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (grade B) | F/17 | — | 11-0 | 131 | — | — | Davy Russell | 28/1 |
| 2022 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Dec 22+152d | Leopardstown | Paddy Power 'Je Suis Une Baguette' Handicap Hurdle | 13/14 | 5 | 11-5 | 133 | 66C | 111C | Jack Kennedy | 10/1 |
| 28 Jul 22+26d | Galway | Guinness Galway Hurdle (Grade A Handicap) | 15/20 | 39 | 10-13 | 135 | 79C | 98C | Sam Ewing | 25/1 |
| 02 Jul 22+90d | Bellewstown | Bar One Racing 'Bellewstown' Handicap Hurdle | 12/16 | 15 | 11-9 | 135 | 92C | 106C | Jack Kennedy | 5/1 |
| 03 Apr 22+19d | Fairyhouse | Tom Quinlan Electrical Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) | 3/8 | 2½ | 10-10 | 135 | 103A | 133A | Jack Kennedy | 7/1 |
| 15 Mar 22+24d | Cheltenham | Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Fred Winter) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) | 15/21 | 1¾ | 11-9 | 137 | 48B | 115A | Jack Kennedy | 9/1 |
| 19 Feb 22+14d | Gowran Park | Red Mills Trial Hurdle (Grade 3) | 4/7 | 1 | 10-7 | 135 | 119B | 116A | Denis O'Regan | 14/1 |
| 05 Feb 22+19d | Leopardstown | Racing TV '12 Per Month This Weekend Only' Spring Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) | 4/9 | 2½ | 11-2 | — | 82A | 135A | Jack Kennedy | 18/1 |
| 17 Jan 22+109d | Punchestown | Hollywoodbets Bet 10 Get 20 Maiden Hurdle | 1/20 | 11-9 | — | — | 135A | Jack Kennedy | 9/4F | |
| 2021 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Sep 21+98d | Lingfield (AW) | Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap | 3/8 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 77 | 108A | 77A | Luke Morris | 10/3 |
| 24 Jun 21+7d | Newcastle (AW) | Sportvision Stadia & Event Branding Handicap | 3/10 | 2 | 9-7 | 75 | 121A | 81A | Luke Morris | 6/4F |
| 17 Jun 21+23d | Chelmsford City (AW) | tote.co.uk Live Streaming Every UK Race Handicap | 2/3 | nk | 9-7 | 75 | 91C | 75C | Ryan Tate | 1/3F |
| 25 May 21+7d | Lingfield (AW) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap | 1/5 | 8-12 | 60 | 83C | 68B | Luke Morris | 13/8F | |
| 18 May 21+220d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Like Wolverhampton Racecourse On Facebook Handicap | 1/8 | 9-7 | 60 | 85A | 78A | Luke Morris | EvensF | |
| 2020 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 20+20d | Chelmsford City (AW) | EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes | 4/8 | 3 | 9-3 | — | 63A | 56A | Luke Morris | 150/1 |
| 20 Sep 20+11d | Chelmsford City (AW) | tote Placepot Your First Bet EBF Novice Stakes | 6/9 | nk | 9-5 | — | 70A | 56A | Luke Morris | 150/1 |
| 09 Sep 20+6d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Auction Stakes | 10/14 | 4¼ | 9-5 | — | 55B | 54A | Luke Morris | 200/1 |
| 03 Sep 20 | Chelmsford City (AW) | tote Placepot Your First Bet Median Auction Maiden Stakes | 6/6 | 1¾ | 8-12 | — | 32C | 36C | Morgan Cole | 18/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has The Tide Turns won?
- The Tide Turns (GB) won 3 of 28 archived starts between 2020 and 2026, a strike rate of 10.7%. Placed 6 times in total (21.4% of starts).
- Who trains The Tide Turns?
- The Tide Turns (GB) is trained by Stephen Allen, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 November 2026.
- Who is The Tide Turns's sire?
- The Tide Turns (GB) is by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Red Roxanne (GB), whose sire is Rock Of Gibraltar.
- What going does The Tide Turns prefer?
- The Tide Turns (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Tide Turns's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 3 November 2026. The highest on record is 137.
- What is The Tide Turns's sire's record?
- Sea The Moon (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,586 runs since Apr 2018 (504 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 814.
- Who are The Tide Turns's siblings?
- Out of Red Roxanne (GB), The Tide Turns (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.