What is Davy Russell's strike rate?

Davy Russell has won 1,150 of 6,554 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Davy Russell do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 45 wins from 193 rides (23.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Davy Russell ride most for?

Gordon Elliott, with 1,849 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 357 (19.3%).

What is Davy Russell's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 6,553 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Davy Russell

6,554 rides in the lifetime window · 2,597 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2023 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,150–6,554

Wins / Runs

17.5%

Strike rate

n=6,554

2,927 (45%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=6,553 · 0.86 incl. margin

−1,084.34

£1 level stake

n=6,554 at SP · −16.5%

£28.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 340 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (1,181 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 6,554 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 37.3% when favourite Gordon Elliott: 19.3% from 1,849 LTO winners: 23% Rides the favourite in 23% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23% (n=1,181, Fair A/E 1.03). Gordon Elliott supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (19.3%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (28.9%, n=45). 243 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2019, £500,000). The standout partner of the record: Solwhit (FR) — 9 wins from 17 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

16.7%−0.8

n=2,458 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −395.11

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23%+5.5

n=1,181 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −207.81

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

17%−0.5

n=1,404 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −281.96

When favourite

37.3%

n=1,502 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −110.32

Big fields · 14+ runners

14.6%−2.9

n=3,022 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −647.47

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.2%−2.3

n=1,420 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −292.45

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With W P Mullins 32.6% vs 17.5% · n=86

In Class 4 28.9% vs 17.5% · n=45

With Conor O'Dwyer 8.2% vs 17.5% · n=73

With debutants 9.3% vs 17.5% · n=129

On last-time-out winners 23% vs 17.5% · n=1,181

With P A Fahy 7.7% vs 17.5% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 4,235 726 17.1% −777.06

Chase 2,287 422 18.5% −283.53

NH Flat 27 2 7.4% −18.75

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,344 391 16.7% −464.43

Heavy 1,727 315 18.2% −282.36

Good 1,532 287 18.7% −98.99

Good to Soft 645 96 14.9% −150.58

Good to Firm 278 58 20.9% −66.94

Firm 27 3 11.1% −20.04

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 705 122 17.3% −114.88

Fairyhouse 624 109 17.5% −146.86

Leopardstown 427 61 14.3% −57.28

Thurles 405 88 21.7% −27.31

Navan 389 80 20.6% −45.05

Gowran Park 328 62 18.9% −19.33

Clonmel 299 49 16.4% −66.72

Limerick 297 52 17.5% −53.26

Naas 281 49 17.4% −99.65

Galway 275 41 14.9% −71.00

Cork 274 54 19.7% −40.40

Cheltenham 262 33 12.6% +32.36

Tramore 202 40 19.8% +5.03

Kilbeggan 197 28 14.2% −60.46

Downpatrick 193 45 23.3% +6.84

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,458 223 15.3% −236.95

Class 2 58 8 13.8% +20.20

Class 4 45 13 28.9% −1.51

Class 3 32 5 15.6% −19.57

Class 5 13 3 23.1% −3.50

Class 6 5 1 20% +0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,718 611 35.6% 1.14 −128.46

2nd–3rd fav 2,262 366 16.2% 1.00 −423.18

4th–6th fav 1,707 135 7.9% 1.02 −323.70

7th+ in betting 867 38 4.4% 1.07 −209.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 2,548 446 17.5% −440.14

1m5f – 2m 2,163 390 18% −410.29

2m5f – 3m 1,603 282 17.6% −227.33

Over 3m 235 31 13.2% −7.08

1m2f – 1m4f 4 1 25% +1.50

1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 540 93 17.2% −31.42

2009 637 88 13.8% −187.23

2010 439 78 17.8% −27.56

2011 584 118 20.2% −109.97

2012 579 101 17.4% −162.00

2013 436 85 19.5% −99.11

2014 488 71 14.5% −73.49

2015 254 34 13.4% −48.69

2016 422 67 15.9% −89.04

2017 604 115 19% −88.70

2018 550 102 18.5% −91.21

2019 407 81 19.9% +10.96

2020 191 30 15.7% −37.09

2021 122 33 27% +5.31

2022 237 44 18.6% −30.48

2023 64 10 15.6% −24.62

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,212 286 12.9% −349.47

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 1,570 228 14.5% −265.94

14-16 runners 1,452 213 14.7% −381.53

8-10 runners 1,176 229 19.5% −91.83

5-7 runners 1,107 250 22.6% −132.80

11-13 runners 1,077 175 16.2% −176.34

2-4 runners 172 55 32% −35.90

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.9% completed · 6,522 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 2,287 81.9% 158 34 214 2 6

Hurdle 4,235 91.1% 108 17 232 9 10

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Toner D'oudairies (FR) 23 6 10 4 Apr 14

Stonemaster (IRE) 23 5 13 19 Jul 13

Fosters Cross (IRE) 22 6 12 26 Oct 14

Made In Taipan (IRE) 22 5 11 16 May 11

Uncle Tom Cobley (IRE) 21 0 7 7 Jul 13

Siegemaster (IRE) 20 5 11 8 Apr 11

Shrapnel (IRE) 19 5 11 18 Jul 14

Far Away So Close (IRE) 19 3 10 13 Oct 13

Gates Of Rome (IRE) 19 3 12 9 Apr 13

Tharawaat (IRE) 19 4 9 27 Dec 12

Galvin (IRE) 18 7 11 15 Apr 23

The Storyteller (IRE) 17 3 7 3 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,597 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

191917151818141817191718

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGordon Elliott

28% of all rides
19.3% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Gordon Elliott 1,849 357 19.3% −208.03

C Byrnes 413 94 22.8% −52.27

Henry De Bromhead 261 53 20.3% −43.33

A J Martin 182 34 18.7% −25.31

A L T Moore 182 25 13.7% −54.99

Paul Nolan 173 31 17.9% −14.97

D T Hughes 164 30 18.3% −30.10

M F Morris 163 25 15.3% −32.27

Thomas Mullins 114 23 20.2% −16.36

C A Murphy 91 22 24.2% +18.77

C F Swan 88 13 14.8% −41.61

W P Mullins 86 28 32.6% −25.21

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,408

Archived wins

243

Pattern / graded wins

£32.9m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 118 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tiger Roll (IRE) — Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2019 · Grade 3

£500,000

Tiger Roll (IRE) — Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2018 · Grade 3

£500,000

Carriacou (FR) — Zeturf Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2019 · Grade 1

£332,432

Notable horses

Solwhit (FR) Presenting Percy (GB) Quito De La Roque (FR) Galvin (IRE) Roi Du Mee (FR) Thyne Again (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 14% · 50–356

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 17.4% · 38–219

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 13.4% · 27–202

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Milan (GB) 19.3% · 35–181

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 18.8% · 34–181

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

King's Theatre (IRE) 16.1% · 29–180

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,487 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,487 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 September 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Sep 23 Doncaster Culcor (GB)T: David O'Meara Vickers.Bet Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 12/1

15 Apr 23 Aintree Pour Les Filles (GB)T: Gordon Elliott Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 5th 13/2

15 Apr 23 Aintree Galvin (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 34.5f · Good To Soft · 39 ran UR 22/1

15 Apr 23 Aintree Irish Point (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Turners Mersey Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/1

14 Apr 23 Aintree Absolute Notions (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Winners Wear Cavani Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 3/1F

14 Apr 23 Aintree Found A Fifty (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Poundland Top Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 10/3

14 Apr 23 Aintree Gerri Colombe (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Air Charter Service Mildmay Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/6F

13 Apr 23 Aintree Magic Dawn (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Goffs UK Nickel Coin Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 18th 12/1

13 Apr 23 Aintree Zanahiyr (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 14/1

17 Mar 23 Cheltenham Search For Glory (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Soft · 20 ran PU 33/1

17 Mar 23 Cheltenham Pied Piper (GB)T: Gordon Elliott McCoy Contractors County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Soft · 24 ran 2nd 12/1

16 Mar 23 Cheltenham Halka Du Tabert (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Jack de Bromhead Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Soft · 21 ran 3rd 12/1

16 Mar 23 Cheltenham Teahupoo (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/4F

16 Mar 23 Cheltenham Fury Road (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 10/1

16 Mar 23 Cheltenham Maxxum (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Soft · 23 ran 14th 9/2

16 Mar 23 Cheltenham Mighty Potter (FR)T: Gordon Elliott Turners Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Golden Miller) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/6F

15 Mar 23 Cheltenham No Time To Wait (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 21 ran 8th 33/1

15 Mar 23 Cheltenham Galvin (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Glenfarclas Chase (Cross Country Chase) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 30f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 11/4

15 Mar 23 Cheltenham Sa Fureur (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 26 ran PU 13/2F

15 Mar 23 Cheltenham American Mike (IRE)T: Gordon Elliott Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Baring Bingham) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davy Russell's strike rate?: Davy Russell has won 1,150 of 6,554 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davy Russell do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 45 wins from 193 rides (23.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Davy Russell ride most for?: Gordon Elliott, with 1,849 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 357 (19.3%).
What is Davy Russell's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 6,553 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.