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Trainer profile

Ronan M P McNally

60 runners in the last 5 seasons · 8 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2023
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–60
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=60
13 (22%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=60 · 0.65 incl. margin
−32.83
£1 level stake
n=60 at SP · −54.7%
£64,548
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
23.5%+13.5
n=17 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +3.55
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −2.83
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%−2.9
n=14 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 24 2 8.3% −19.63
Flat 22 3 13.6% −1.00
Chase 14 1 7.1% −12.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 18 2 11.1% −2.25
Soft 18 2 11.1% −14.58
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 8 2 25% +0.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 7 2 28.6% +1.00
Punchestown 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 4 1 25% −1.25
Fairyhouse 4 1 25% −2.38
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Downpatrick 3 1 33.3% −1.20
Curragh 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 4 33.3% 0.88 −2.83
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.74 −4.00
4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
7th+ in betting 27 1 3.7% 1.38 −14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Jam Man (IRE)from R A Curran · then P J Rothwell 14 0 2 2 Apr 23
Dreal Deal (IRE)then John C McConnell 12 1 3 12 May 23
Miss Polly Shelby (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Sep 22
Full Noise (IRE)from David Peter Dunne · then Paul Traynor 7 2 3 25 May 23
Petrol Head (IRE)from David Peter Dunne · then Miss Katy Brown 6 1 2 8 Jul 22
Ithaka (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Ryan Potter 5 0 0 11 Oct 22
Vee Dancer (IRE)then Ryan Potter 4 1 2 31 Mar 23
All Class (FR)from David Peter Dunne · then Paul Traynor 4 1 1 29 Aug 22
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Peter Dunne (3); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Traynor (2) and Ryan Potter (2); 1 has no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11200013029000033
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Browne McMonagle 9 2 22.2% −1.00
Kevin Sexton 8 0 0% −8.00
Keith Donoghue 7 2 28.6% −2.45
Donagh Meyler 7 1 14.3% −5.38
Mark Enright 5 0 0% −5.00
Danny Gilligan 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Robert Monaghan 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Brogan 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Condon 1 0 0% −1.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 1 0 0% −1.00
Sam Ewing 1 0 0% −1.00
Aidan Kelly 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
48
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£492k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 12 wins
The Jam Man (IRE) — Ladbrokes Troytown Handicap Chase (0-150) (Grade B) Navan · Nov 2020 · Grade B
£73,750
The Jam Man (IRE) — eCOMM Merchant Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Navan · Dec 2019 · Grade B
£47,200
Dreal Deal (IRE) — Sky Bet Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Punchestown · Jan 2021 · Grade 2
£20,650
Notable horses
The Jam Man (IRE) The Trigger (IRE) Dreal Deal (IRE) See Double You (IRE) Da Baba Elephant (IRE) Vee Dancer (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Papal Bull (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.
Arvico (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 7.4% of 659 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.9% from 202. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 2.7% from 110.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Carlotamix (FR) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,032 runs since 2008 (114 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15% from 160. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 270.
Valirann (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,442 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 343.
Libranno (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.9% of 101 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 311 · newest first

The latest 50 of 311 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2014 to 25 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 May 23 Limerick Full Noise (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Springfort Hall Hotel Handicap Chase (0-102)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 5/6F
12 May 23 Kilbeggan Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Cooke's Bar And Restaurant Caragh Beginners Chase19f · Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
05 May 23 Downpatrick Full Noise (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Cosy Roof Handicap Chase (0-95)19f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 4/5F
18 Apr 23 Tipperary Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue TipperaryRaces.ie Rated Novice Chase20f · Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 22/1
02 Apr 23 Downpatrick The Jam Man (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Randox Ulster National Handicap Chase28.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 5/1
31 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Vee Dancer (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Easter Week Racing 11th & 14th April At Dundalk Handicap (47-65)16f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd EvensF
03 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) The Jam Man (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 12/1
02 Mar 23 Clonmel Full Noise (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-95)23f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 7/2
15 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Vee Dancer (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-70)16f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 2/1F
18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) The Jam Man (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap16f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 18/1
08 Jan 23 Southwell (AW) Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Oisin Orr BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Conditions Stakes (All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier)Class 2 · 16.5f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 12/1
02 Jan 23 Ayr The Jam Man (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Golf Inn Prestwick Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 17/2
21 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle William Hill Play Responsibly Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/8F
16 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap (47-75)16f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 4/1
03 Dec 22 Aintree The Jam Man (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder BoyleSports Becher Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (National Course) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 26f · Good To Soft · 22 ran PU 33/1
30 Nov 22 Dundalk (AW) Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Colin Keane View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-70)12f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 3/1F
13 Oct 22 Curragh Dreal Deal (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Hollywoodbets.ie Handicap (47-70)12f · Yielding · 18 ran 8th 9/1
11 Oct 22 Punchestown Ithaka (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Paddy Power 'Keep Your Elbows In' Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Good · 21 ran 18th 50/1
10 Oct 22 Killarney Vee Dancer (IRE)J: Mark Enright Kenmare Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)11.5f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 9/2
08 Oct 22 Curragh The Jam Man (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Friends Of The Curragh Pollardstown Handicap (60-90)16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 19th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ronan M P McNally's strike rate?
Ronan M P McNally has won 6 of 60 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ronan M P McNally's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 60 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).