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Trainer profile

Lisa Williamson

526 runners in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
32–526
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=526
98 (19%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=523 · 0.96 incl. margin
−61.72
£1 level stake
n=526 at SP · −11.7%
£300k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 526 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read

It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (1.8% over 165 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 6.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +117.70 to a £1 stake over 210 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.3%, n=60) and at trips under 6f (10.1%, n=227). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 41 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Red Stripes (USA) — 10 wins from 160 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.9%−2.2
n=76 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −25.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.1%+1.0
n=14 · A/E 2.73 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.05
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+0.6
n=210 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +117.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 13.3% vs 6.1% · n=60
At Chester 0% vs 6.1% · n=49
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 6.1% · n=41
At Wolverhampton (AW) 1.8% vs 6.1% · n=165
At trips under 6f 10.1% vs 6.1% · n=227
On Good to Firm going 12.1% vs 6.1% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 522 32 6.1% −57.72
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 294 15 5.1% −131.30
Good 97 7 7.2% +63.00
Good to Soft 54 3 5.6% −18.50
Soft 35 2 5.7% +45.00
Good to Firm 33 4 12.1% −16.92
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 165 3 1.8% −113.00
Southwell (AW) 71 6 8.5% −2.00
Chester 49 0 0% −49.00
Haydock 37 2 5.4% +111.00
Newcastle (AW) 26 1 3.8% −7.00
Ffos Las 24 3 12.5% +27.00
Nottingham 23 3 13% −1.17
Chelmsford City (AW) 21 2 9.5% −13.50
Redcar 13 0 0% −13.00
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Lingfield (AW) 10 3 30% +5.20
Doncaster 9 2 22.2% +14.00
Bath 9 2 22.2% +19.50
Carlisle 7 0 0% −7.00
Ripon 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 273 17 6.2% −61.55
Class 5 161 12 7.5% +78.00
Class 4 79 3 3.8% −65.17
Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 4 25% 0.93 −4.05
2nd–3rd fav 46 9 19.6% 1.08 −2.17
4th–6th fav 142 12 8.5% 1.23 +51.50
7th+ in betting 322 7 2.2% 1.01 −107.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Red Walls (GB) 95 8 25 28 Sep 26
Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) 47 7 20 3 Oct 26
Smooth Silesie (IRE)from David Loughnane 46 9 20 18 May 26
Independent Beauty (GB) 36 0 2 18 Feb 25
Red Derek (GB) 31 1 10 3 Sep 26
Pink Stripes (GB) 31 0 3 30 Sep 24
Brandy Station (IRE)from Tony Coyle 20 3 9 14 Dec 24
Loco Lobo (GB) 14 1 2 30 Sep 26
Lesrico (GB) 14 1 4 4 Sep 26
Independent Angel (GB) 13 0 0 29 Sep 26
Max Stripes (GB) 13 0 0 1 Aug 25
Golden Mabel (GB) 11 1 1 29 Sep 26
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Loughnane (3) and Rebecca Menzies (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Nicholls (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
9706725134983
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlex Jary
6% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 2.39
RiderRWSR£1
Alex Jary 33 3 9.1% +4.50
Cam Hardie 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
134
Archived wins
£1.03m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bertie Blu Boy (GB) — Bet Toteexacta Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2015 · Class 3
£9,057
Ryan Style (IRE) — Trafford Centre Summer Fashion Handicap Chester · Jun 2010 · Class 3
£8,831
Sugar Hill Babe (IRE) — PricedUp.Bet Fillies' Handicap Nottingham · May 2025 · Class 4
£7,328
Notable horses
Red Stripes (USA) Red Walls (GB) Bertie Blu Boy (GB) Smooth Silesie (IRE) Brandy Station (IRE) Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Heeraat (IRE) 5.2% · 8–154
Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 14.9% · 7–47
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,223 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Smooth Daddy (USA) 19.6% · 9–46
Progeny have won 7.6% of 331 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Steele Tango (USA) 4.4% · 2–45
Progeny have won 4.3% of 139 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Outstrip (GB) 0% · 0–36
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,273 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Almanaara (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 4.3% of 23 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,147 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,147 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 300/1
07 Oct 26 Worcester Arising Hill (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 500/1
03 Oct 26 Redcar Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 28/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 500/1
30 Sep 26 Catterick Loco Lobo (GB)J: Miss Ella Fryer Racing Again 17th October Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 125/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Independent Angel (GB)J: James Sullivan Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 200/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Golden Mabel (GB)J: Luke Morris Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 40/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Walls (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 66/1
26 Sep 26 Ripon Golden Mabel (GB)J: Luke Morris Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 9th 40/1
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) The Stony Baker (IRE)J: Seamus Cronin Free Bets On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 500/1
22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Independent Angel (GB)J: Jack Doughty Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1
19 Sep 26 Chester Red Ashley (GB)J: Seamus Cronin Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 25/1
19 Sep 26 Chester Independent Roze (GB)J: Jack Doughty Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 66/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Melody (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 500/1
11 Sep 26 Chester Lc Tiffen (GB)J: Molly Gunn HRS Cladding Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 18/1
11 Sep 26 Chester The Stony Baker (IRE)J: Sean Kirrane Neaves & Co EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1
04 Sep 26 Haydock Lesrico (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F
03 Sep 26 Haydock Red Derek (GB)J: Miss Teagan Padgett 100% Racingtv Profits Back To Racing Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 33/1
28 Aug 26 Ffos Las Lc Tiffen (GB)J: Molly Gunn K P Tyres Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 17/2
21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Independent Angel (GB)J: Millie Wonnacott Ascona Ladies Fashion And Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lisa Williamson's strike rate?
Lisa Williamson has won 32 of 526 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lisa Williamson do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 71 runners (8.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Lisa Williamson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lisa Williamson's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 523 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).