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Jockey profile

Ger O'Neill

310 rides in the lifetime window · 125 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2020 100% of rides on the flat
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
37–310
Wins / Runs
11.9%
Strike rate
n=310
95 (31%)
Placed
1.10
n=309 · 0.94 incl. margin
−22.15
£1 level stake
n=310 at SP · −7.1%
£349k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Rode mostly for Declan Carroll — 58% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 310 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 18.2% when favourite Declan Carroll: 16% from 181 Rode the favourite in 11% of races
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 7.2% (n=125, Fair A/E 0.75). Declan Carroll supplied 58% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16% vs 11.9%, A/E 1.34) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (19.4%, n=103) and on Good to Soft going (18.8%, n=48). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 5.1% over 79 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.68 across 74 rides (5.4% strike, −21.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Save The Bees (GB) — 5 wins from 20 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.2%−4.7
n=125 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −52.45
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13%+1.1
n=46 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −17.28
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.4%−8.5
n=29 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
18.2%
n=33 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −15.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11.7%−0.2
n=273 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −25.20
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.2%−3.7
n=73 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 19.4% vs 11.9% · n=103
Over 6f – 7f 5.1% vs 11.9% · n=79
In Class 4 5.4% vs 11.9% · n=74
On Good to Soft going 18.8% vs 11.9% · n=48
On first rides for the horse 7.2% vs 11.9% · n=125
With Michael Easterby 6.1% vs 11.9% · n=49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 78 6 7.7% −25.75
Good to Firm 77 13 16.9% +43.50
Good 58 5 8.6% −31.62
Good to Soft 48 9 18.8% +14.25
Soft 35 3 8.6% −10.33
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −11.20
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 28 5 17.9% +9.25
Redcar 25 7 28% +21.25
Beverley 24 6 25% +1.50
Newcastle (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Thirsk 19 1 5.3% −9.00
York 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Nottingham 15 3 20% −5.45
Haydock 14 2 14.3% +14.00
Doncaster 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Ayr 13 2 15.4% −5.20
Carlisle 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Catterick 11 0 0% −11.00
Pontefract 11 3 27.3% +38.00
Leicester 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 95 16 16.8% +39.42
Class 6 89 12 13.5% −24.87
Class 4 74 4 5.4% −21.00
Class 3 17 3 17.6% −4.70
Class 2 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 10 22.7% 0.92 −11.65
2nd–3rd fav 68 10 14.7% 0.94 −16.50
4th–6th fav 90 11 12.2% 1.42 +18.00
7th+ in betting 108 6 5.6% 1.36 −12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Save The Bees (GB) 20 5 10 26 Sep 18
Monsieur Jimmy (GB) 17 2 5 23 May 18
Mysterial (GB) 16 3 6 16 Aug 17
Stoneboat Bill (GB) 14 1 6 8 Feb 18
Miningrocks (FR) 13 5 9 30 Oct 17
Music Seeker (IRE) 11 1 2 28 Sep 18
Musharrif (GB) 10 1 4 19 Sep 18
Shearian (GB) 10 2 3 24 Jul 18
Justanotherbottle (IRE) 9 2 4 22 Sep 18
Bold Spirit (GB) 9 2 2 9 Sep 18
God Willing (GB) 9 1 4 22 Jul 18
Buonarroti (IRE) 8 0 2 20 Sep 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
171171216111514117810
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
58% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 1.34
TrainerRWSR£1
Declan Carroll 181 29 16% +42.55
Michael Easterby 49 3 6.1% −27.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
37
Archived wins
£349k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 18 wins
Super Titus (GB) — Sky Bet Handicap York · Aug 2018 · Class 2
£43,575
Arrowtown (GB) — Bam Properties Ltd Handicap Ayr · Sep 2018 · Class 3
£11,644
Justanotherbottle (IRE) — Download The App At 188bet Handicap Nottingham · Jun 2018 · Class 3
£9,704

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Royal Applause (GB) 20% · 7–35
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Virtual (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 8.8% of 822 runs since 2008 (66 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.8% from 104.
Lawman (FR) 38.5% · 5–13
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,423 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Henrythenavigator (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,714 runs since 2008 (217 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 310 · newest first

The latest 50 of 310 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 April 2016 to 20 July 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Dec 19 Southwell (AW) Airglow (IRE)T: Michael Easterby Betway HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 11/1
01 Nov 19 Newcastle (AW) Choosey (IRE)T: Michael Easterby Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 22/1
31 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Star Archer (GB)T: Michael Easterby 32Red HandicapClass 3 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ger O'Neill's strike rate?
Ger O'Neill has won 37 of 310 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Ger O'Neill ride most for?
Declan Carroll, with 181 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (16%).
What is Ger O'Neill's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 309 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).