What is David Loughnane's strike rate?

David Loughnane has won 158 of 1,649 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Loughnane do best at?

Windsor by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 runners (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Loughnane?

Laura Pearson, with 344 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (9.9%).

Is David Loughnane in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Loughnane's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,640 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Loughnane

1,649 runners in the last 5 seasons · 238 individual horses

As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.4% of 405 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 25 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

158–1,649

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=1,649

440 (27%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,640 · 0.84 incl. margin

−440.82

£1 level stake

n=1,649 at SP · −26.7%

£2.21m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 330 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (85 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,649 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Jun 34.9% when favourite Laura Pearson: 9.9% from 344 New recruits: 11.3% Group/Graded: 11.8% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (17.5%, n=40), clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newcastle (AW) (0% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.78). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −40.50 to a £1 stake over 150 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Laura Pearson rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (20%, n=30). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 3.3% over 123 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2026, £70,888). The stable star of the record: Sparks Fly (GB) — 13 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.5%−0.1

n=220 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −18.71

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.3%+1.7

n=53 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −16.50

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−2.9

n=150 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −40.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.1%−3.5

n=82 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −9.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−2.5

n=56 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −14.00

When favourite

34.9%

n=126 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +3.13

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.1%−0.5

n=353 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −77.61

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%+2.2

n=85 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −19.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 0% vs 9.6% · n=50

On Heavy going 20% vs 9.6% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 16% vs 9.6% · n=163

With Richard Kingscote 16.9% vs 9.6% · n=71

In Class 3 3.3% vs 9.6% · n=123

At Windsor 17.5% vs 9.6% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,640 158 9.6% −431.82

Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 875 80 9.1% −249.82

Good 306 23 7.5% −119.88

Good to Firm 213 26 12.2% +7.05

Good to Soft 130 11 8.5% −59.17

Soft 92 12 13% −16.18

Heavy 30 6 20% +0.18

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 397 35 8.8% −89.94

Southwell (AW) 179 23 12.8% +18.73

Chester 107 10 9.3% −5.75

Lingfield (AW) 101 10 9.9% −40.03

Kempton (AW) 90 6 6.7% −60.82

Chelmsford City (AW) 58 6 10.3% −27.76

Haydock 56 2 3.6% −42.67

Newcastle (AW) 50 0 0% −50.00

Leicester 49 7 14.3% +23.38

Nottingham 45 7 15.6% +2.00

Windsor 40 7 17.5% −15.88

Doncaster 37 1 2.7% −29.00

Carlisle 35 3 8.6% −25.87

Chepstow 28 1 3.6% −26.27

Beverley 26 3 11.5% −10.09

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 667 62 9.3% −142.95

Class 4 374 38 10.2% −69.17

Class 6 320 35 10.9% −132.95

Class 3 123 4 3.3% −101.00

Class 1 85 10 11.8% −19.50

Class 2 71 8 11.3% +20.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 139 46 33.1% 1.12 −1.04

2nd–3rd fav 334 45 13.5% 0.83 −103.38

4th–6th fav 603 50 8.3% 1.04 −104.00

7th+ in betting 573 17 3% 0.90 −232.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dance Time (GB) 34 6 17 4 Sep 26

Sparks Fly (GB) 28 13 15 6 Jun 26

Plumette (GB)from Richard Fahey 27 5 13 25 Feb 25

Mojomaker (IRE) 26 0 9 24 Jun 25

Chase The Dollar (GB)from Mark Johnston · then Lisa Williamson 26 4 11 5 Oct 24

This Farh (GB) 25 4 11 2 Oct 26

Bravo Zulu (IRE)from Daniel & Claire Kubler 25 6 9 4 Jul 26

The Sweet Escape (GB) 24 4 7 9 Oct 26

Lexington Jet (IRE) 23 4 8 4 Sep 26

Beaming Light (GB)from Laura Horsfall 23 3 9 27 Aug 26

Professor Tickle (GB)then Michael Attwater 23 2 6 20 Jan 25

Spendmore Lane (GB)from Julie Camacho 22 3 7 25 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 238 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amy Murphy (2) and D K Weld (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Attwater (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1012151111137751079

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLaura Pearson

21% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Laura Pearson 344 34 9.9% −77.89

Rossa Ryan 294 41 13.9% −40.61

Connor Planas 94 8 8.5% +17.50

Richard Kingscote 71 12 16.9% −5.69

William Pyle 66 5 7.6% −39.00

Rowan Scott 54 5 9.3% −17.09

David Egan 51 3 5.9% −21.70

Daniel Muscutt 49 5 10.2% +0.00

Hollie Doyle 40 3 7.5% −12.00

Jack Mitchell 32 3 9.4% −14.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

353

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.17m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 44 wins

Sparks Fly (GB) — Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Group 3

£70,888

Go Bears Go (IRE) — GAIN Railway Stakes (Group 2) Curragh · Jun 2021 · Group 2

£59,000

Hello You (IRE) — Unibet Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · Sep 2021 · Group 2

£51,039

Notable horses

Sparks Fly (GB) Critical Thinking (IRE) Seamster (GB) Fizzy Feet (IRE) Stringybark Creek (GB) Plumette (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 7.5% · 6–80

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,139 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Far Above (IRE) 14.1% · 11–78

Progeny have won 8.7% of 643 runs since 2008 (71 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.9% from 102.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (387 horses).

Muhaarar (GB) 30.6% · 19–62

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,791 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,007 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Massaat (IRE) 6% · 3–50

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,207 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 113. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 131.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,576 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,576 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 February 2016 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Flash Rascal (GB)J: Kevin Stott All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Maximus Meridius (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snaafy (GB)J: Rowan Scott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) It'sneverjustone (GB)J: Hector Crouch AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Metamouse (IRE)J: Jack Callan Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 9/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Reciprocated (GB)J: Jack Doughty Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Nicamoo (GB)J: Jack Doughty British Stallion Studs Future Stayers EBF Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Walt (IRE)J: David Egan Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yoko (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Do Bronxs (IRE)J: David Egan Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Far Too Fizzy (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 7/2

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Imelda (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 14/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Flash Rascal (GB)J: Ray Dawson Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) It'sneverjustone (GB)J: Rowan Scott Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket The Sweet Escape (GB)J: Laura Pearson HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Maximus Meridius (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Pen Lan Icon (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Thunda Struck (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Snaafy (GB)J: Seamus Cronin Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 22/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Reciprocated (GB)J: Jack Doughty Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Loughnane's strike rate?: David Loughnane has won 158 of 1,649 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Loughnane do best at?: Windsor by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 runners (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Loughnane?: Laura Pearson, with 344 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (9.9%).
Is David Loughnane in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Loughnane's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,640 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.