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Trainer profile

Kristin Stubbs

696 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2018 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
68–696
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=696
209 (30%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=694 · 0.90 incl. margin
−108.79
£1 level stake
n=696 at SP · −15.6%
£446k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 696 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Sep 17.1% when favourite Jacob Butterfield: 14% from 107 Sent off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (22.2%, n=45) and Doncaster (17.6%, n=34) — all clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (4.4% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.34). Jacob Butterfield rode 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.9%, n=65). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.7% over 54 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Bronze Beau (GB) — 8 wins from 78 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−5.5
n=70 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −39.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3%−6.8
n=33 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.8
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%−2.1
n=13 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
17.1%
n=35 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −11.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9%−0.8
n=199 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −89.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Hamilton 22.2% vs 9.8% · n=45
Off a 0-7-day break 16.9% vs 9.8% · n=65
At Doncaster 17.6% vs 9.8% · n=34
Off a 61-180-day break 3.7% vs 9.8% · n=54
With new recruits 3% vs 9.8% · n=33
At Kempton 4.4% vs 9.8% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 693 68 9.8% −105.79
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 274 25 9.1% +9.00
Good to Firm 161 15 9.3% −63.87
Good 127 15 11.8% −18.42
Good to Soft 78 5 6.4% −37.50
Soft 42 4 9.5% −5.00
Heavy 10 2 20% +2.00
Firm 4 2 50% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 135 12 8.9% +25.67
Hamilton 45 10 22.2% +22.50
Kempton 45 2 4.4% −33.50
Beverley 43 3 7% −20.00
Redcar 39 2 5.1% −19.12
Doncaster 34 6 17.6% +26.00
Newcastle (AW) 33 2 6.1% −3.00
Carlisle 32 3 9.4% −6.50
Newcastle 31 4 12.9% −9.75
Ayr 29 1 3.4% −25.25
Southwell (AW) 22 4 18.2% +10.50
Chelmsford (AW) 20 2 10% −8.67
Leicester 20 4 20% +4.00
Musselburgh 20 0 0% −20.00
Thirsk 20 2 10% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 317 35 11% +5.05
Class 6 180 17 9.4% −33.00
Class 4 142 10 7% −69.17
Class 3 28 2 7.1% −19.50
Class 2 22 2 9.1% +6.00
Class 7 5 2 40% +3.83
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 44 8 18.2% 0.76 −12.95
2nd–3rd fav 146 28 19.2% 1.26 +8.66
4th–6th fav 279 23 8.2% 0.96 −58.50
7th+ in betting 227 9 4% 1.04 −46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bronze Beau (GB)from Linda Stubbs · then John Quinn 78 8 25 7 Oct 17
Bogsnog (IRE)from Linda Stubbs · then Ruth Carr 60 5 19 2 Sep 16
Gold Beau (FR)from Linda Stubbs 53 6 20 21 Dec 16
Soie D'leau (GB)then John Quinn 43 7 17 28 Oct 17
Keene's Pointe (GB)from Charles Hills · then Steph Hollinshead 35 2 15 18 Oct 16
Lynngale (GB)from Jo Hughes 32 1 12 11 Oct 16
Silverware (USA)from Linda Stubbs 31 3 7 3 Jul 15
Magnolia Ridge (IRE)from D K Weld · then Tony Coyle 24 1 5 2 Jul 15
Repetition (GB)from Kevin Ryan 24 5 9 27 Apr 15
Top of The Bank (GB)from Kevin Ryan 22 3 6 20 Nov 17
Red Paladin (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 22 4 8 7 Oct 16
Something Lucky (IRE)from Matthieu Palussiere · then Daniel Steele 21 1 2 4 Jan 17
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Linda Stubbs (11) and Kevin Ryan (6); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Lawrence Mullaney (4) and John Quinn (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
11519469919117611
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJacob Butterfield
15% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.44
RiderRWSR£1
Jacob Butterfield 107 15 14% −5.75
Tony Hamilton 106 12 11.3% +25.00
Shane Gray 105 7 6.7% −37.00
Tom Eaves 59 8 13.6% +6.50
Graham Gibbons 37 5 13.5% +27.42
James Sullivan 30 2 6.7% −16.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
68
Archived wins
£446k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 19 wins
Soie D'leau (GB) — Sunbets.co.uk Top Price Templegate Tips Handicap Doncaster · Oct 2016 · Class 2
£31,125
Soie D'leau (GB) — 32Red Be Friendly Handicap Haydock · Sep 2016 · Class 2
£19,407
Soie D'leau (GB) — Robinsons Mercedes-Benz Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2016 · Class 3
£9,704
Notable horses
Bronze Beau (GB) Soie D'leau (GB) Gold Beau (FR) Bogsnog (IRE) Repetition (GB) Red Paladin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Compton Place (GB) 8.9% · 9–101
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Moss Vale (IRE) 10.3% · 7–68
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,012 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Gold Away (IRE) 11.3% · 6–53
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 17.3% · 9–52
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Piccolo (GB) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Avonbridge (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 696 · newest first

The latest 50 of 696 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 February 2013 to 17 January 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Jan 18 Newcastle (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: Shane Gray Sunbets HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 10/3
17 Jan 18 Newcastle (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Faye McManoman sunbets.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/1
13 Jan 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: Shane Gray sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 16/1
06 Jan 18 Kempton (AW) Clowance One (GB)J: Tony Hamilton 32Red HandicapClass 2 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 16/1
06 Jan 18 Kempton (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Racing UK HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 15/2
04 Jan 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: Ger O'Neill Bet Totejackpot At Betfred.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 5/1
17 Dec 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Merry Christmas From Chelmsford City Racecourse HandicapClass 7 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 10/3
17 Dec 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: Shane Gray Bet toteWIN At betfred.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 7/2
13 Dec 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: Shane Gray sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/2F
13 Dec 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Follow Sun Bets On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 13/2
05 Dec 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Diamond Avalanche (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Bet & Watch At sunbets.co.uk Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 12/1
01 Dec 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Lagenda (GB)J: P J McDonald Bet totetrifecta At betfred.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 33/1
29 Nov 17 Kempton (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Faye McManoman All Weather 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Series HandicapClass 7 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 7/2F
20 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Top of The Bank (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Betway Sprint Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 10/1
15 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Diamond Avalanche (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Bet & Watch At Sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 7 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 5/1
11 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Top of The Bank (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Betway Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 14/1
10 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Shane Gray Sun Bets On The App Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 7/1
02 Nov 17 Chelmsford City (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Shane Gray Watch The Breeders' Cup Live On At The Races HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 33/1
28 Oct 17 Doncaster Soie D'leau (GB)J: Tony Hamilton Sun Bets Responsible Betting HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 25/1
21 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Cookie Ring (IRE)J: Paula Muir FCL Personalised Global Freight Solutions Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kristin Stubbs's strike rate?
Kristin Stubbs has won 68 of 696 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kristin Stubbs do best at?
Hamilton by strike rate: 10 wins from 45 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kristin Stubbs?
Jacob Butterfield, with 107 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (14%).
What is Kristin Stubbs's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 694 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).