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Jockey profile

Graham Carson

198 rides in the lifetime window · 92 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2021
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–198
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=198
23 (12%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=198 · 0.50 incl. margin
−154.75
£1 level stake
n=198 at SP · −78.2%
£44,160
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58).

Deterministic profile computed from 198 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Anthony Carson: 6.8% from 59 First rides: 3.3%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −153.75 to a £1 stake over 197 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Anthony Carson supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (6.8% vs 2.5%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.00 across 85 rides (0% strike, −85.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.3%+0.8
n=92 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −77.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+30.8
n=3 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +0.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.1%−0.4
n=48 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −45.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.0
n=197 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −153.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.5
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Anthony Carson 6.8% vs 2.5% · n=59
In Class 5 0% vs 2.5% · n=85
On Soft going 0% vs 2.5% · n=39
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 2.5% · n=35
In Chase races 0% vs 2.5% · n=31
In Hurdle races 0.9% vs 2.5% · n=107 · A/E 0.27
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 107 1 0.9% −81.00
NH Flat 34 1 2.9% −31.00
Chase 31 0 0% −31.00
Flat 26 3 11.5% −11.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 100 1 1% −74.00
Soft 39 0 0% −39.00
Good to Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Standard (AW) 15 3 20% −0.75
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 10 1 10% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon 21 1 4.8% +5.00
Market Rasen 19 0 0% −19.00
Southwell 16 0 0% −16.00
Uttoxeter 14 0 0% −14.00
Fakenham 13 0 0% −13.00
Plumpton 9 0 0% −9.00
Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00
Fontwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Stratford 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Sedgefield 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Cartmel 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 85 0 0% −85.00
Class 4 81 1 1.2% −55.00
Class 6 28 4 14.3% −10.75
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.35 +3.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.55 −0.75
4th–6th fav 68 1 1.5% 0.29 −42.00
7th+ in betting 115 0 0% 0.00 −115.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.4% completed · 138 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 31 71% 0 2 6 0 1
Hurdle 107 83.2% 1 1 16 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fricka (GB) 14 1 4 1 Apr 21
Jonjoela (IRE) 12 0 1 2 Oct 19
Amble Inn (GB) 11 0 0 25 Jun 18
Knight's Parade (IRE) 9 0 1 29 Nov 17
The Society Man (IRE) 8 0 0 20 Oct 17
Swilly Sunset (GB) 5 0 0 30 Jun 19
Captain Sharpe (GB) 5 0 2 6 Feb 17
Volcanic Jack (IRE) 5 0 0 28 May 16
Hail Promenader (IRE) 5 0 2 26 Jul 14
Distant Universe (GB) 4 0 0 17 Mar 21
Kerry's Lord (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Mar 19
May Hay (GB) 4 1 2 10 Jan 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1174000000500
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAnthony Carson
30% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.03
TrainerRWSR£1
Anthony Carson 59 4 6.8% −18.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
5
Archived wins
£44,160
Prize money
2019
Best season · 1 win
Fricka (GB) — Mansionbet Mares' Maiden Hurdle Huntingdon · Oct 2019 · Class 4
£4,094
May Hay (GB) — 32red.com Amateur Riders' Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2015 · Class 6
£2,496
Flash Crash (GB) — 32red.com Amateur Riders' Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2014 · Class 6
£2,305
Notable horses
Fricka (GB) May Hay (GB) Peace In Our Time (GB) Orchard Park (IRE) Flash Crash (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sulamani (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,245 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,905 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Great Exhibition (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 7.1% of 452 runs since 2008 (29 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.9% from 153.
Moscow Society (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Kyllachy (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 198 · newest first

The latest 50 of 198 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2011 to 1 April 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Apr 21 Uttoxeter Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 28/1
18 Mar 21 Doncaster Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson MansionBet Cheltmas Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 25/1
17 Mar 21 Huntingdon Distant Universe (GB)T: Anthony Carson MansionBet MerryCheltmas Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 400/1
21 Feb 21 Market Rasen Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson MansionBet's Watch And Bet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1
18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 7th 8/1
18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Denable (GB)T: Anthony Carson Visit attheraces.com Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 80/1
18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Distant Universe (GB)T: Anthony Carson EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 125/1
04 Jan 21 Fakenham Denable (GB)T: Anthony Carson Norfolk Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 20/1
30 Dec 20 Market Rasen Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 25/1
01 Dec 20 Lingfield Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Nothing Beats A Birdie Racing Gift Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 11/2
08 Nov 20 Stratford Distant Universe (GB)T: Anthony Carson Walton Maiden Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1
31 Oct 20 Ascot Pianissimo (GB)T: Anthony Carson tote.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 12/1
18 Oct 20 Kempton Rasaasy (IRE)T: Anthony Carson racingtv.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 5th 40/1
17 Oct 20 Market Rasen Flamingo Rose (GB)T: Anthony Carson Follow MansionBet On Twitter 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 13f · Good · 14 ran 5th 22/1
16 Oct 20 Fakenham Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Champions Day Form Study On attheraces.com/ascot Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 28/1
11 Mar 20 Huntingdon Distant Universe (GB)T: Anthony Carson Enjoy The Cheltenham Festival With MansionBet Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 100/1
19 Nov 19 Lingfield Candy Lou (GB)T: Joanne Thomason-Murphy Davies Insurance Services Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 100/1
03 Nov 19 Huntingdon Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Fairfax Saddles Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 15 ran F 14/1
15 Oct 19 Huntingdon Fricka (GB)T: Anthony Carson Mansionbet Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 25/1
02 Oct 19 Huntingdon Jonjoela (IRE)T: Anthony Carson Download The MansionBet App Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Graham Carson's strike rate?
Graham Carson has won 5 of 198 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Graham Carson ride most for?
Anthony Carson, with 59 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.8%).
What is Graham Carson's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 198 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).