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Trainer profile

Tracey Leeson

145 runners in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–145
Wins / Runs
3.4%
Strike rate
n=145
12 (8%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=144 · 0.65 incl. margin
−30.00
£1 level stake
n=145 at SP · −20.7%
£52,274
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.75). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 145 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.1%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −7.25 to a £1 stake over 115 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well in Chase races (6.7%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 37 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.1%+2.7
n=33 · A/E 2.32 · £1 +71.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−0.8
n=115 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −7.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 3.4% · n=37
In Class 4 0% vs 3.4% · n=36
In Chase races 6.7% vs 3.4% · n=30
Off a 8-14-day break 6.3% vs 3.4% · n=32
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.5% vs 3.4% · n=55
In Class 5 4.7% vs 3.4% · n=106 · A/E 0.85
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 101 3 3% −90.25
Chase 30 2 6.7% +74.25
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 85 4 4.7% −71.00
Good to Soft 37 0 0% −37.00
Soft 17 1 5.9% +84.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 19 0 0% −19.00
Fakenham 16 2 12.5% −9.25
Market Rasen 14 2 14.3% −6.75
Southwell 14 1 7.1% +87.00
Stratford 14 0 0% −14.00
Plumpton 10 0 0% −10.00
Huntingdon 10 0 0% −10.00
Fontwell 9 0 0% −9.00
Warwick 8 0 0% −8.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00
Hereford 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 106 5 4.7% +9.00
Class 4 36 0 0% −36.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.15 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 0.97 −3.50
4th–6th fav 43 0 0% 0.00 −43.00
7th+ in betting 85 1 1.2% 1.05 +16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
63.4% completed · 131 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 56.7% 0 0 12 0 1
Hurdle 101 65.3% 4 5 25 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Porridge (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 18 0 0 13 Oct 26
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) 17 2 6 23 May 23
Annie Nail (IRE)from Michael Wigham 15 2 5 16 May 26
Top Drawer (IRE) 14 0 0 26 Nov 25
The Kings Soldier (IRE)from Robbie Llewellyn 10 0 0 6 Sep 26
Moroval (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 10 1 1 18 Mar 24
Leading Lion (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Max Comley 9 0 0 25 Aug 25
Hunsbury (GB) 9 0 0 25 Mar 23
Betty's Belle (GB)from Ben Pauling 8 0 0 7 Jul 24
Across The Ocean (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 6 0 0 23 Oct 25
Lucille Diamond (GB) 6 0 0 20 Dec 24
Sleve Donard (IRE) 5 0 0 23 Jan 24
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0006513000080
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
James Turner 28 1 3.6% +73.00
Mr Joseph Stevenson 21 0 0% −21.00
Oscar Palmer 17 1 5.9% −13.50
Tom Buckley 13 0 0% −13.00
Chris Ward 11 0 0% −11.00
Tabitha Worsley 8 1 12.5% −4.75
Conor Ring 7 0 0% −7.00
Kevin Brogan 7 2 28.6% +0.25
James Best 6 0 0% −6.00
Harriet Tucker 3 0 0% −3.00
Philip Armson 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack Hogan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
5
Archived wins
£64,743
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
Moroval (IRE) — Paul Hart Congratulations On Your Birthday Handicap Chase Southwell · Nov 2022 · Class 5
£4,864
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) — Support Retraining Of Racehorses Novices' Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jun 2022 · Class 5
£4,030
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) — ABP Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jun 2022 · Class 5
£4,030
Notable horses
Dellboy Trotter (IRE) Annie Nail (IRE) Moroval (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,351 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,621 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 497. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,821 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Morozov (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.9% of 2,313 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,591 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 251 · newest first

The latest 50 of 251 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2016 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Hereford Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 28/1
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 28/1
06 Sep 26 Fontwell The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 5th 66/1
20 Aug 26 Stratford The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/1
26 Jun 26 Bangor-on-Dee The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Tom Jones Live At Chester Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 10/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Stan Hayhurst Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
09 Jun 26 Southwell Porridge (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 100/1
31 May 26 Fakenham The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer fakenhamdogfield.co.uk Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 10/3
23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 8th 66/1
20 May 26 Warwick Madmoiselle Moss (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 8th 300/1
16 May 26 Uttoxeter Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 6th 10/1
14 May 26 Fontwell Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Southern Cranes And Access Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 50/1
04 May 26 Fakenham Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Norfolk Wildlife Trust Centenary Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2
02 May 26 Uttoxeter The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Liam Harrison Pirtek Stoke Classic Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1
24 Apr 26 Fontwell Madmoiselle Moss (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 300/1
19 Apr 26 Stratford The Kings Soldier (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 20/1
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 5/2
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Porridge (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 250/1
06 Apr 26 Fakenham Annie Nail (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer Cecil & Sheila Buttifant Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tracey Leeson's strike rate?
Tracey Leeson has won 5 of 145 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Tracey Leeson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tracey Leeson's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).