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Trainer profile

Anthony Carson

295 runners in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2022
15–295
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=295
55 (19%)
Placed
0.76
Fair A/E
n=290 · 0.65 incl. margin
−169.54
£1 level stake
n=295 at SP · −57.5%
£158k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 295 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance William Carson: 5.7% from 140
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (9.7%, n=62) and Yarmouth (8.6%, n=35) — all clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. William Carson rides 47% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (10.6%, n=47) and in Hurdle races (9.4%, n=32). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 37 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Peace Seeker (GB) — 8 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−2.2
n=35 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=14 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +0.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%−0.3
n=42 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −13.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 10.6% vs 5.1% · n=47
At Lingfield (AW) 9.7% vs 5.1% · n=62
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 5.1% · n=37
In Hurdle races 9.4% vs 5.1% · n=32
At Yarmouth 8.6% vs 5.1% · n=35
At Wolverhampton (AW) 2.3% vs 5.1% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 258 12 4.7% −173.04
Hurdle 32 3 9.4% +8.50
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 183 9 4.9% −130.87
Good 42 3 7.1% −1.50
Good to Firm 39 2 5.1% −11.67
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Soft 10 1 10% −4.50
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 62 6 9.7% −26.87
Wolverhampton (AW) 43 1 2.3% −39.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 38 2 5.3% −24.50
Yarmouth 35 3 8.6% −2.17
Southwell (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Kempton (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Brighton 11 0 0% −11.00
Lingfield 9 0 0% −9.00
Huntingdon 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 5 1 20% +3.50
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontwell 3 1 33.3% +23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 190 10 5.3% −113.42
Class 5 72 3 4.2% −57.62
Class 4 26 2 7.7% +8.50
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 4 23.5% 0.90 −2.87
2nd–3rd fav 33 6 18.2% 1.13 +0.83
4th–6th fav 92 3 3.3% 0.47 −63.50
7th+ in betting 153 2 1.3% 0.56 −104.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Coolagh Magic (GB)from Robyn Brisland 33 4 10 2 Sep 26
Darlo Pride (GB)then Michael Dods 27 4 14 20 Jun 24
Henry The Fifth (IRE)from J P Murtagh 25 1 6 13 Jun 24
Agent Of Fortune (GB)from Jane Chapple-Hyam · then P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck 22 1 4 18 Oct 22
Denable (GB) 21 2 8 21 Jun 24
Duveen (GB) 20 0 1 9 Sep 24
Deep Spirit (GB) 20 1 1 13 Jun 24
Deed Pole (GB)then Cian Hughes 16 1 6 13 Apr 24
Mc'flo (GB) 15 0 0 19 Oct 26
Darlo Lady (GB) 14 0 0 11 Mar 26
Starry Eyes (USA)from Jane Chapple-Hyam · then Brett Johnson 9 0 0 7 May 22
Courtney Silver (IRE) 8 1 1 30 Nov 23
All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jane Chapple-Hyam (4) and John Gosden (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Brett Johnson (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3900437121201310
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Carson
47% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.68
RiderRWSR£1
William Carson 140 8 5.7% −94.42
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
107
Archived wins
£702k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 17 wins
Pianissimo (GB) — Weatherbys Tba Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2019 · Class 2
£32,345
Consider Yourself (USA) — Betfair 10 Furlong Flat Series Final (Handicap) Warwick · Oct 2012 · Class 3
£15,563
Spiritual Star (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2015 · Class 3
£7,309
Notable horses
Peace Seeker (GB) Gulland Rock (GB) Curious Fox (GB) Hail Promenader (IRE) May Hay (GB) Coolagh Magic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Outstrip (GB) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,273 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Poet's Word (IRE) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 9.9% of 698 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 106.
Sepoy (AUS) 12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,371 runs since 2008 (279 horses).
Dawn Approach (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 8% of 3,566 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Kheleyf (USA) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,542 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Champs Elysees (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,118 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,242 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,242 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2011 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Plumpton Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 18/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
02 Sep 26 Bath Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Trusted Betting Site Reviews gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 28/1
25 Aug 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: J M Quinlan Stratford Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 14/1
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 8/1
26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1
29 Jun 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 25/1
26 Jun 26 Yarmouth Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson quinnbet.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 10/3
12 Jun 26 Market Rasen Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Rase Vets Summer Party Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1
11 Jun 26 Yarmouth Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 22/1
29 May 26 Brighton Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Streamline Taxis 202020 Dash From The Stalls HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 9/2
28 May 26 Worcester Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Safer Gambling At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1
04 May 26 Warwick Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Racing To School Celebrating 25 Years Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 8th 25/1
20 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Mr Ross Birkett Free Bets On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 20/1
11 Apr 26 Yarmouth Miss Monte Carlo (GB)J: Jack Doughty TigerBet.co.uk Grand National Specials HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 40/1
09 Apr 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 20/1
04 Apr 26 Huntingdon Mc'flo (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn Bedfordshire Racing Club Remembers Dave Loveridge Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 25/1
20 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 10/3
11 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 4/1
11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Safer Gambling At CopyBet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Anthony Carson's strike rate?
Anthony Carson has won 15 of 295 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Anthony Carson do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 62 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Anthony Carson?
William Carson, with 140 runners since 2022 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.7%).
Is Anthony Carson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Anthony Carson's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).