What is Henry Oliver's strike rate?

Henry Oliver has won 59 of 589 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Oliver do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Henry Oliver ride most for?

Sue Smith, with 364 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (11.3%).

What is Henry Oliver's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 589 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Henry Oliver

589 rides in the lifetime window · 174 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2013 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

59–589

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=589

151 (26%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=589 · 1.00 incl. margin

−124.51

£1 level stake

n=589 at SP · −21.1%

£478k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (52 rides). Rode mostly for Sue Smith — 62% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 589 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 11.3% 39.5% when favourite Sue Smith: 11.3% from 364 LTO winners: 25% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Uttoxeter (2.9% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25% (n=52, Fair A/E 1.58). Sue Smith supplied 62% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.3%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 2 (28.1%, n=32) and on Heavy going (17%, n=53). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 5.6% over 180 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Goals Galore Hurdle at Haydock (Feb 2012, £18,509). The standout partner of the record was Restless Harry (GB) — 6 wins from 26 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%−1.4

n=152 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −8.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25%+15.0

n=52 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +12.84

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.3%+1.3

n=142 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −10.40

When favourite

39.5%

n=43 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +9.74

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−10.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.9%−0.1

n=142 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −9.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+0.0

n=10 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −5.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 2 28.1% vs 10% · n=32

On last-time-out winners 25% vs 10% · n=52

With Robin Dickin 17.2% vs 10% · n=64

On Heavy going 17% vs 10% · n=53

At Uttoxeter 2.9% vs 10% · n=35

Over 1m5f – 2m 5.6% vs 10% · n=180

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 328 31 9.5% −54.86

Chase 230 26 11.3% −53.65

NH Flat 31 2 6.5% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 231 24 10.4% −77.11

Good to Soft 138 9 6.5% −29.62

Soft 114 10 8.8% −30.50

Good to Firm 53 7 13.2% −6.50

Heavy 53 9 17% +19.22

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wetherby 49 4 8.2% −4.50

Hexham 39 6 15.4% −13.78

Uttoxeter 35 1 2.9% −30.00

Market Rasen 34 3 8.8% −14.00

Towcester 31 3 9.7% −3.00

Carlisle 30 5 16.7% +12.10

Newcastle 29 5 17.2% +21.88

Catterick 29 5 17.2% +10.25

Sedgefield 28 1 3.6% −23.50

Haydock 26 5 19.2% +11.25

Huntingdon 24 1 4.2% −7.00

Worcester 24 0 0% −24.00

Southwell 20 1 5% +6.00

Bangor-on-Dee 18 4 22.2% −2.00

Cheltenham 14 2 14.3% −7.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 295 21 7.1% −101.78

Class 5 112 12 10.7% −42.75

Class 3 103 13 12.6% +22.10

Class 2 32 9 28.1% +22.42

Class 1 26 3 11.5% −11.50

Class 6 21 1 4.8% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 18 37.5% 1.35 +7.74

2nd–3rd fav 103 17 16.5% 1.06 −18.25

4th–6th fav 197 14 7.1% 0.99 −64.00

7th+ in betting 241 10 4.1% 1.29 −50.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 558 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 230 81.7% 10 7 23 0 2

Hurdle 328 82.9% 13 4 34 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Restless Harry (GB) 26 6 11 26 Apr 13

Jacarado (IRE) 20 2 6 24 Apr 11

Rebel Swing (GB) 18 3 7 6 Mar 12

High Standard (NZ) 15 1 7 4 Oct 09

Douglas Julian (GB) 14 6 7 25 Feb 12

Camden George (IRE) 14 1 6 30 Dec 11

Description (IRE) 13 4 7 27 Apr 10

Crescent Beach (IRE) 10 0 1 9 Sep 13

Mr Moonshine (IRE) 9 3 4 18 Feb 12

Tahiti Pearl (IRE) 9 1 4 13 Dec 11

Cloudy Dawn (GB) 9 1 3 22 Nov 11

Stagecoach Amber (USA) 9 1 2 27 Sep 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 174 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

781410503131015167

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSue Smith

62% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Sue Smith 364 41 11.3% −46.93

Robin Dickin 64 11 17.2% +4.42

Henry Oliver 46 2 4.3% −32.50

John Spearing 33 2 6.1% −20.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£725k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Restless Harry (GB) — Betfred Goals Galore Hurdle (Registered As The Rendlesham Hurdle) (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2012 · Class 1

£18,509

Restless Harry (GB) — John Smith's Hurdle (Registered As The West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Wetherby · Oct 2011 · Grade 2

£18,310

Mr Moonshine (IRE) — Junior Betfair Novices' Chase Haydock · Nov 2011 · Class 2

£16,643

Notable horses

Restless Harry (GB) Douglas Julian (GB) Description (IRE) Jacarado (IRE) Rebel Swing (GB) Mr Moonshine (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.

Jurado (USA) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 13.5% of 185 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Alflora (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Robellino (USA) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 10.3% of 524 runs since 2008 (47 horses).

Cicerao (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 5% of 20 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,180 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,180 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 5 December 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Dec 13 Leicester Powertakeoff (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Waltham On The Wolds Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 20/1

06 Oct 13 Uttoxeter Whispering Harry (GB)T: Henry Oliver Moorlands Racing Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 25/1

01 Oct 13 Chepstow Minellaforlunch (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Western Daily Press Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran SU 14/1

09 Sep 13 Huntingdon Crescent Beach (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Ingrebourne Valley Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran UR 17/2

26 Aug 13 Huntingdon Crescent Beach (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Tony Monk Happy 80th Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 4/1

26 Aug 13 Huntingdon Take The Crown (GB)T: Henry Oliver Holiday Inn Opening Odds Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 50/1

24 Aug 13 Cartmel Moscow Me (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Hadwins Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 12 ran 6th 6/1

19 Aug 13 Worcester Crescent Beach (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Qualitysolicitors Parkinson Wright Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/2

13 Aug 13 Stratford Keel Haul (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Murphy Salisbury Chartered Accountants 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1

13 Aug 13 Stratford Moscow Me (IRE)T: Henry Oliver 102 Touch Fm Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 40/1

02 Aug 13 Bangor-on-Dee Take The Crown (GB)T: Henry Oliver Meade King Robinson Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 40/1

30 Jul 13 Worcester Moscow Me (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Roy & Caroline Hirons And Vale Technical Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 6th 20/1

30 Jul 13 Worcester Crescent Beach (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Bathroom Studio & Ideal Construction Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

24 Jul 13 Worcester Keel Haul (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Compare Free Bets At bookmakers.co.uk Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

24 Jul 13 Worcester Take The Crown (GB)T: Henry Oliver Get Live Sports Scores At scores.co.uk Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 33/1

17 Jul 13 Worcester Rockingtimes (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Compare Bookies Free Bets At bookmakers.co.uk Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 40/1

17 Jul 13 Worcester Crescent Beach (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran F 8/1

14 Jul 13 Stratford Moscow Me (IRE)T: Henry Oliver SGH Martineau 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 2/1

10 Jul 13 Worcester Take The Crown (GB)T: Henry Oliver Partex Laser Engraved Labels Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran UR 50/1

10 Jul 13 Worcester Keel Haul (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Promark T-800 Printer From Partex Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Henry Oliver's strike rate?: Henry Oliver has won 59 of 589 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Oliver do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Henry Oliver ride most for?: Sue Smith, with 364 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (11.3%).
What is Henry Oliver's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 589 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.