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Trainer profile

John Upson

330 runners in the lifetime window · 49 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2015 97% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–330
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=330
29 (9%)
Placed
0.67
Fair A/E
n=330 · 0.58 incl. margin
−165.50
£1 level stake
n=330 at SP · −50.2%
£50,576
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.67).

Deterministic profile computed from 330 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (9.5%, n=42), clear of the yard's 2.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1% strike, Fair A/E 0.33 and −93.50 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has also underrated the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 1.27 across 119 runners (5% strike, +18.50 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 68 runners (0% strike, −68.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Strolling Vagabond (IRE) — 6 wins from 40 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1%−1.7
n=101 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −93.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.7
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.7
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%+0.9
n=224 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −65.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Uttoxeter 9.5% vs 2.7% · n=42
With C&D winners 8.3% vs 2.7% · n=36
With Anthony Freeman 6.5% vs 2.7% · n=31
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2.7% · n=68
On Good going 5% vs 2.7% · n=119
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.7% · n=49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 165 5 3% −32.50
Chase 134 4 3% −102.00
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00
Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 119 6 5% +18.50
Good to Soft 68 0 0% −68.00
Soft 61 2 3.3% −37.50
Good to Firm 54 1 1.9% −50.50
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 50 1 2% −42.50
Uttoxeter 42 4 9.5% +75.50
Fontwell 31 0 0% −31.00
Plumpton 21 2 9.5% −11.50
Huntingdon 16 0 0% −16.00
Warwick 16 0 0% −16.00
Leicester 15 0 0% −15.00
Worcester 14 0 0% −14.00
Market Rasen 13 0 0% −13.00
Chepstow 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell 11 0 0% −11.00
Fakenham 11 0 0% −11.00
Bangor-on-Dee 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Ludlow 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 165 7 4.2% −76.00
Class 4 131 2 1.5% −55.50
Class 6 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 21 3 14.3% 1.11 −4.00
4th–6th fav 95 4 4.2% 0.73 −48.50
7th+ in betting 212 2 0.9% 0.43 −111.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
60.2% completed · 299 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 134 53% 6 2 55 0 0
Hurdle 165 66.1% 4 2 49 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thefriendlygremlin (GB)then Tracey Leeson 22 1 3 15 Nov 15
Samizdat (FR)from Dianne Sayer · then John O'Neill 22 0 2 6 Jul 14
Albert Park (IRE) 19 1 2 14 May 11
Strolling Vagabond (IRE) 18 1 2 12 May 10
Gritti Palace (IRE) 13 0 1 26 Apr 13
Blackwell Synergy (FR)from John A Supple · then Tracey Leeson 12 2 4 1 Dec 15
Blunham Hill (IRE)then Graeme McPherson 12 1 1 29 May 09
Rose Of Marron (IRE) 11 0 0 9 Jul 14
Kevin Fancy (IRE)from Colin Bowe 11 0 0 3 May 14
Oak Wood (IRE) 9 0 0 2 Nov 14
Dramatic Victory (IRE) 9 0 0 21 Jan 14
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John A Quinn (2) and John Spearing (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Tracey Leeson (4); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00350101200300
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGavin Sheehan
12% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Sheehan 41 0 0% −41.00
Anthony Freeman 31 2 6.5% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
21
Archived wins
£139k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blunham Hill (IRE) — Sodexho Prestige Handicap Chase Haydock · Dec 2005 · Class 3
£8,581
Blunham Hill (IRE) — Totesport.com Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Feb 2006 · Class 3
£6,286
Major Belle (FR) — Old Economicals Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Apr 2007 · Class 4
£5,824

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bravefoot (GB) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 4.8% of 248 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Soviet Star (USA) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.
Vinnie Roe (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.
Presenting (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Glacial Storm (USA) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.3% of 959 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.6% from 151.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 544 · newest first

The latest 50 of 544 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 1 December 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Jul 15 Uttoxeter Blackwell Synergy (FR)J: Conor Ring Dove Valley Events Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 10/1
07 Jul 15 Uttoxeter Steel Gold (IRE)J: Conor Ring Douglas Family Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Upson's strike rate?
John Upson has won 9 of 330 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Upson do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 4 wins from 42 runners (9.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is John Upson's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 330 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).