What is Jack Hogan's strike rate?

Jack Hogan has won 97 of 929 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jack Hogan do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jack Hogan ride most for?

Fergal O'Brien, with 360 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (15%).

Is Jack Hogan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jack Hogan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 929 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jack Hogan

929 rides in the lifetime window · 494 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Rides today 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

97–929

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=929

247 (27%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=929 · 0.83 incl. margin

−372.77

£1 level stake

n=929 at SP · −40.1%

£1.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (101 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 929 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 42.9% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 15% from 360 LTO winners: 24.8% Claiming: 11% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.8% (n=101, Fair A/E 1.17), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=144, Fair A/E 0.92). Fergal O'Brien supplies 39% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15% vs 10.4%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The standout partner of the record: The Flier Begley (IRE) — 5 wins from 10 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.5%−1.9

n=494 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −218.77

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24.8%+14.4

n=101 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +9.65

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.6%−1.8

n=198 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −93.83

When favourite

42.9%

n=91 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +11.59

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11%+0.6

n=635 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −236.12

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−6.2

n=144 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −68.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.8% vs 10.4% · n=101

With Ben Haslam 23.3% vs 10.4% · n=30

With Denis Gerard Hogan 1.3% vs 10.4% · n=80

With Micky Hammond 1.6% vs 10.4% · n=64

With debutants 1.6% vs 10.4% · n=61

With horses switching code 4.3% vs 10.4% · n=161

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 559 60 10.7% −201.84

Chase 238 31 13% −69.20

NH Flat 110 6 5.5% −79.73

Flat 22 0 0% −22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 438 36 8.2% −241.05

Good to Soft 248 28 11.3% −63.39

Soft 174 20 11.5% −39.31

Heavy 45 6 13.3% −21.63

Good to Firm 22 7 31.8% −5.39

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 65 9 13.8% −16.25

Market Rasen 52 6 11.5% −15.50

Wetherby 48 6 12.5% −27.02

Southwell 46 3 6.5% −20.43

Sedgefield 45 7 15.6% −20.00

Huntingdon 44 7 15.9% −10.30

Warwick 35 5 14.3% −10.60

Stratford 29 5 17.2% +19.96

Worcester 28 0 0% −28.00

Hereford 28 3 10.7% −14.09

Bangor-on-Dee 25 1 4% −17.00

Perth 24 3 12.5% −14.36

Hexham 23 3 13% −10.50

Chepstow 22 4 18.2% +5.45

Carlisle 20 3 15% −1.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 324 49 15.1% −87.18

Class 5 316 31 9.8% −84.49

Class 3 113 13 11.5% −47.22

Class 2 53 3 5.7% −33.50

Class 1 19 0 0% −19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 103 41 39.8% 1.22 +7.09

2nd–3rd fav 187 28 15% 0.83 −54.86

4th–6th fav 306 24 7.8% 1.01 −89.00

7th+ in betting 333 4 1.2% 0.40 −236.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.2% completed · 797 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 238 79% 2 5 42 0 1

Hurdle 559 86.4% 9 5 60 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hurricane Harvey (GB) 15 2 4 24 Apr 24

Karl Philippe (FR) 12 2 4 21 Jun 24

Northern Rose (IRE) 11 0 5 18 Oct 25

The Flier Begley (IRE) 10 5 6 16 Jan 26

Hard As Nails (GB) 10 4 7 20 Mar 25

Mulberry Hill (IRE) 10 2 3 17 Aug 24

Eric Carmen (IRE) 9 1 3 17 Mar 25

Abaya Du Mathan (FR) 9 1 2 3 Mar 25

Heeztheboy (IRE) 8 4 5 22 Mar 26

Moviddy (IRE) 7 1 2 7 May 26

Tintintin (FR) 7 2 3 27 Nov 25

Castel Gandolfo (IRE) 7 1 3 11 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 494 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

961281388108181012

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFergal O'Brien

39% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Fergal O'Brien 360 54 15% −108.61

Gary Hanmer 119 16 13.4% +15.87

Denis Gerard Hogan 80 1 1.3% −77.38

Micky Hammond 64 1 1.6% −23.00

Ben Haslam 30 7 23.3% −4.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

£1.06m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 25 wins

The Flier Begley (IRE) — Unibet Middle Distance Veterans' Handicap Chase Haydock · Apr 2025 · Class 2

£51,625

The Flier Begley (IRE) — Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£23,414

Frontier Prince (GB) — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle Race Cheltenham · Oct 2026 · Class 3

£13,202

Notable horses

The Flier Begley (IRE) Hard As Nails (GB) Heeztheboy (IRE) Horn Cape (FR) Kingston Sunflower (FR) Plaisir Des Flos (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,898 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Doyen (IRE) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 23.1% · 6–26

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,036 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 31.6% · 6–19

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,497 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Flemensfirth (USA) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 929 · newest first

The latest 50 of 929 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2017 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Southwell Razzo Italiano (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Winter Ladies Day Saturday 28th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran PU 33/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Div Ine Glance (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Book Your Christmas Party Here Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Harmony Heights (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Great Gable Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Queen Boudicca Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Vegas Gold (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

03 Nov 26 Warwick Katarcice (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Alex & Edward Alder Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 100/30

03 Nov 26 Warwick Wedonttellthetruth (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 14/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Check The Score (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/2

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Milan Tino (IRE)T: Tom George CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Blue Topaz (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien CopyBet Follow Us On X Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran PU 6/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Tenadaay (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Milly Ocean (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Ignite The Night (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Heart Over Head (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Wollens Full Spectrum Law Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Edith Pelham (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Kellyhill Financial Planning Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Mares' Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 16/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Delusionofgrandeur (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Lucy's 40th Birthday Celebration Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 20/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Frontier Prince (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 10/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Eastern Shores (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran PU 7/2

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Can't Resist It (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien The Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Katarcice (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran 1st 15/8F

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Mister Cessna (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Thomas And Sonny Crilly Plant Hire Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 9 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 9 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jack Hogan's strike rate?: Jack Hogan has won 97 of 929 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Hogan do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jack Hogan ride most for?: Fergal O'Brien, with 360 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (15%).
Is Jack Hogan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack Hogan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 929 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.