What is Jemma Marshall's strike rate?

Jemma Marshall has won 28 of 567 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jemma Marshall do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jemma Marshall ride most for?

Pat Phelan, with 255 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (5.5%).

What is Jemma Marshall's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 560 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jemma Marshall

567 rides in the lifetime window · 221 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

28–567

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=567

91 (16%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=560 · 0.69 incl. margin

−235.36

£1 level stake

n=567 at SP · −41.5%

£121k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (32 rides). Rode mostly for Pat Phelan — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 567 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 6.5% Pat Phelan: 5.5% from 255 First rides: 6.1% LTO winners: 12.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (14.6%, n=41), clear of the rider's 4.9% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.96). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −232.86 to a £1 stake over 534 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Pat Phelan supplied 45% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well over 1m5f – 2m (10%, n=40). The record read poorly at trips under 6f — 0% over 34 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%+1.2

n=214 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −70.71

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+7.6

n=32 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −18.40

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%+1.6

n=93 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +3.25

When favourite

33.3%

n=15 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −3.36

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.9%+0.0

n=534 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −232.86

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−0.8

n=73 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −14.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.9

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Gary Moore 17% vs 4.9% · n=53

At Brighton 14.6% vs 4.9% · n=41

On last-time-out winners 12.5% vs 4.9% · n=32

Over 1m5f – 2m 10% vs 4.9% · n=40

At trips under 6f 0% vs 4.9% · n=34

At Windsor 0% vs 4.9% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 565 28 5% −233.36

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 342 17 5% −188.46

Good to Firm 85 4 4.7% +29.00

Good 62 2 3.2% −50.50

Soft 32 1 3.1% −6.00

Good to Soft 31 3 9.7% −6.50

Firm 12 1 8.3% −9.90

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield 145 8 5.5% −85.71

Kempton (AW) 139 7 5% −52.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 41 2 4.9% −33.50

Brighton 41 6 14.6% +22.60

Epsom Downs 30 1 3.3% +21.00

Windsor 30 0 0% −30.00

Lingfield 15 1 6.7% −10.50

Goodwood 15 0 0% −15.00

Southwell (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00

Bath 12 0 0% −12.00

Newbury 10 0 0% −10.00

Salisbury 9 1 11.1% −2.00

Sandown 9 0 0% −9.00

Yarmouth 7 0 0% −7.00

Redcar 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 263 16 6.1% −123.96

Class 5 218 7 3.2% −141.40

Class 4 65 5 7.7% +51.00

Class 7 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 19 6 31.6% 1.06 −3.36

2nd–3rd fav 53 7 13.2% 1.00 −14.00

4th–6th fav 166 7 4.2% 0.62 −91.00

7th+ in betting 329 8 2.4% 0.79 −127.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Beat Route (GB) 26 2 7 29 Nov 11

Young Dottie (GB) 15 3 5 23 Oct 14

Silly Billy (IRE) 14 0 1 20 Dec 12

Epsom Salts (GB) 13 1 2 25 Jul 14

Green Earth (IRE) 13 2 3 14 Jul 14

Ermyn Flyer (GB) 12 1 3 20 Dec 12

Baby Dottie (GB) 11 0 3 23 Nov 13

Super Duplex (GB) 11 0 1 22 Oct 13

Ermyntrude (GB) 11 2 3 2 Jul 13

The Wonga Coup (IRE) 10 0 2 22 Jul 13

Many Welcomes (GB) 10 1 6 28 Jul 10

Charleys Angel (GB) 8 0 0 31 Mar 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 221 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

288745170569

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPat Phelan

45% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Pat Phelan 255 14 5.5% −68.65

Michael Attwater 72 2 2.8% −46.00

Gary Moore 53 9 17% +3.29

Brian Baugh 31 1 3.2% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£145k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Young Dottie (GB) — Ladbrokes Safety Net Bet E.B.F. Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Nov 2010 · Class 4

£5,828

Young Dottie (GB) — British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Nov 2011 · Class 4

£5,822

Shimoni (GB) — Weatherbys Bank Apprentice Handicap Kempton (AW) · Aug 2008 · Class 4

£4,727

Notable horses

Young Dottie (GB) Beat Route (GB) Green Earth (IRE) Ermyntrude (GB) Epsom Salts (GB) Ermyn Flyer (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beat Hollow (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Desert Sun (GB) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,166 runs since 2008 (84 horses).

Noverre (USA) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 714 · newest first

The latest 50 of 714 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 25 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Jackpot (GB)T: Brendan Powell Free Bets Galore At bookies.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 100/1

23 Oct 14 Kempton (AW) Young Dottie (GB)T: Pat Phelan Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 40/1

21 Oct 14 Lingfield (AW) Celtic Ava (IRE)T: Pat Phelan 20 Free Bet At winner.co.uk Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 100/1

20 Oct 14 Windsor Blackadder (GB)T: Pat Phelan 188Bet Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 25/1

15 Oct 14 Lingfield (AW) Epsom Poems (GB)T: Pat Phelan 20 Free Bet At winner.co.uk Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 66/1

01 Oct 14 Kempton (AW) Dotties Boy (GB)T: Pat Phelan British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 50/1

29 Sep 14 Bath River Du nord (FR)T: Sue Gardner New ARC Racing Syndicates Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 13f · Firm · 7 ran 6th 33/1

25 Sep 14 Kempton (AW) Celtic Ava (IRE)T: Pat Phelan Visit And Dine In The Panoramic Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 50/1

05 Sep 14 Kempton (AW) Alfie The Pug (GB)T: Pat Phelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

03 Sep 14 Lingfield (AW) Its Not Me Its You (GB)T: Brendan Powell 188Bet Claiming Stakes (AWT)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran PU 50/1

20 Aug 14 Lingfield (AW) Dotties Boy (GB)T: Pat Phelan Racing Specials At 32RedSport.com Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1

18 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Ede's The Business (GB)T: Pat Phelan Kempton Live With Dizzee Rascal 06.09.14 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 10/1

04 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Isabella Beeton (GB)T: Pat Phelan Gerry Kerr Happy Retirement Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 13/2

26 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Ede's The Business (GB)T: Pat Phelan Racing Specials At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 20/1

25 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Epsom Salts (GB)T: Pat Phelan Lingfield Equine Vets HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 14/1

25 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Isabella Beeton (GB)T: Pat Phelan Lingfield Park Supports Young Epilepsy HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

14 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Deftera Fantutte (IRE)T: Pat Phelan 32red On The App Store Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 66/1

14 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Green Earth (IRE)T: Pat Phelan 32red.com Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 16/1

10 Jul 14 Epsom Downs Isabella Beeton (GB)T: Pat Phelan Deadman Confidential HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 33/1

10 Jul 14 Epsom Downs Young Dottie (GB)T: Pat Phelan Totepool Home Of Pool Betting HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jemma Marshall's strike rate?: Jemma Marshall has won 28 of 567 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jemma Marshall do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jemma Marshall ride most for?: Pat Phelan, with 255 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (5.5%).
What is Jemma Marshall's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 560 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.