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Trainer profile

Chris Down

347 runners in the last 5 seasons · 44 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 294 days ago 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
28–347
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=347
82 (24%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=347 · 0.80 incl. margin
−128.64
£1 level stake
n=347 at SP · −37.1%
£278k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 347 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance James Davies: 7.2% from 152
The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (11.8%, n=76), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. It is weakest at Taunton (2.3% over 43 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.5% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.54). James Davies rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.8%, n=94). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 42 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.62 across 60 runners (3.3% strike, −50.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's HBLB TBA Mares' Standard Open NH Flat at Aintree (Apr 2006, £17,106). The stable star of the record: Opening Bid (GB) — 10 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.5%−5.6
n=81 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −23.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=28 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +1.86
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%−3.0
n=78 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −61.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Bryan Carver 17.6% vs 8.1% · n=74
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 8.1% · n=42
At Taunton 2.3% vs 8.1% · n=43
In Chase races 12.8% vs 8.1% · n=94
On Soft going 3.3% vs 8.1% · n=60
At Exeter 11.8% vs 8.1% · n=76
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 215 14 6.5% −58.79
Chase 94 12 12.8% −42.85
Flat 20 2 10% −9.00
NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 164 13 7.9% −114.59
Good to Soft 79 5 6.3% −11.40
Soft 60 2 3.3% −50.75
Heavy 24 4 16.7% +48.50
Good to Firm 9 3 33.3% +6.60
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 76 9 11.8% −31.58
Newton Abbot 47 5 10.6% −31.40
Taunton 43 1 2.3% −40.38
Wincanton 31 2 6.5% +22.10
Chepstow 28 3 10.7% −13.88
Worcester 20 1 5% −17.50
Warwick 18 2 11.1% +2.25
Stratford 15 1 6.7% −11.75
Uttoxeter 13 1 7.7% −8.50
Ffos Las 12 2 16.7% +42.00
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Newbury 5 0 0% −5.00
Fontwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Ludlow 4 0 0% −4.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 160 9 5.6% −17.53
Class 4 154 14 9.1% −97.41
Class 3 20 3 15% −11.70
Class 6 7 2 28.6% +4.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 13 39.4% 1.27 +1.36
2nd–3rd fav 50 8 16% 0.96 −16.00
4th–6th fav 98 5 5.1% 0.70 −50.00
7th+ in betting 166 2 1.2% 0.46 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.6% completed · 309 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 94 80.9% 2 0 15 0 1
Hurdle 215 81.9% 1 2 36 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Opening Bid (GB)then Joe Tizzard 33 8 15 14 May 25
Fat Sam (GB)from Gary Moore · then David Dennis 26 2 8 21 Aug 25
Miss Marette (GB) 23 1 3 22 May 25
Raddon Top (IRE) 20 4 9 21 Apr 24
Tribesmans Glory (IRE)from Tom George 18 1 5 7 Jun 25
Alkhattaaf (GB)from Saeed bin Suroor 18 2 5 30 Jan 25
Johnny B (IRE) 16 2 5 6 Nov 24
Mr Sociable (GB) 14 0 1 21 Nov 24
Impecunious (IRE)then I Chanin 13 2 5 20 Jul 25
Merry Monty (GB) 12 1 4 11 Dec 25
What An Icon (GB)from Mick Channon 11 0 0 31 May 25
Secret Potion (GER)from Paul Nicholls 10 0 1 6 Dec 23
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from L Jefford (2) and Mick Channon (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Joe Tickle (2) and Joe Tizzard (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1093812101301310010
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Davies
44% of all rides
7.2% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
James Davies 152 11 7.2% +2.87
Bryan Carver 74 13 17.6% −27.13
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
168
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.26m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rhacophorus (GB) — John Smith's HBLB TBA Mares' Standard Open NH Flat (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Listed
£17,106
Beau Supreme (IRE) — Forbra Handicap Chase Ludlow · Mar 2005 · Class 3
£13,624
Sir Harry Ormesher (GB) — Caravan Club Centenary Introductory Hurdle Uttoxeter · Nov 2007 · Class 2
£12,676
Notable horses
Opening Bid (GB) Dragon's Den (IRE) Ladies Dancing (GB) Thedeboftheyear (GB) Fat Sam (GB) Culm Counsellor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Native Ruler (GB) 24.2% · 8–33
Progeny have won 6.8% of 370 runs since 2008 (43 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.4% from 125.
Denham Red (FR) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 16.4% of 592 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.
Passing Glance (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Getaway (GER) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Jeremy (USA) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Linda's Lad (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,398 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,398 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Dec 25 Taunton Blazing Litten (GB)J: Bryan Carver Boyle Sports Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 13 ran 10th 150/1
18 Dec 25 Exeter Blazing Litten (GB)J: James Davies Pricedup.Bet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 100/1
11 Dec 25 Taunton Merry Monty (GB)J: Bryan Carver Sandals Resorts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 4th 13/2
06 Dec 25 Chepstow Winters Hill (GB)J: James Davies Coral Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1
05 Dec 25 Exeter Topsham Tide (IRE)J: James Davies Ludo Sports & Live Lounge Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 125/1
05 Dec 25 Exeter Reel Orange (IRE)J: James Davies JCB Hydradig Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 33/1
27 Nov 25 Uttoxeter Merry Monty (GB)J: Freddie Gordon Signs 2000 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 3/1
24 Nov 25 Kempton Modern Style (GB)J: Bryan Carver Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 250/1
24 Nov 25 Kempton Praying For Time (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 400/1
20 Nov 25 Wincanton Amhranai (IRE)J: James Davies Download The PricedUp App 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 12 ran 11th 125/1
20 Nov 25 Wincanton Cinq Douzaine (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley pricedup.bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1
11 Nov 25 Hereford Praying For Time (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan BetWright Bangers N'Cash Fillies' Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1
06 Nov 25 Ludlow Modern Style (GB)J: James Davies Ace ATV Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 33/1
31 Oct 25 Uttoxeter Merry Monty (GB)J: Bryan Carver QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
30 Oct 25 Stratford Amhranai (IRE)J: James Davies Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 100/1
22 Oct 25 Worcester Reel Orange (IRE)J: James Davies PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 9th 33/1
29 Aug 25 Salisbury Praying For Time (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Kingsclere 'Sally Hits 90' HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 125/1
21 Aug 25 Newton Abbot Fat Sam (GB)J: James Davies Thank You To All Our Armed Forces Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 6th 9/1
24 Jul 25 Worcester Fat Sam (GB)J: James Davies Pershore Hire Centre Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 15/2
20 Jul 25 Newton Abbot Impecunious (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Brendon Soper Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Down's strike rate?
Chris Down has won 28 of 347 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Down do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 9 wins from 76 runners (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Down?
James Davies, with 152 runners since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (7.2%).
What is Chris Down's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).