Joel Phelippe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Rides mostly for M Seror — 72% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Compiegne (FR) (10.5% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.56). M Seror supplies 72% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.4%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (18.8%, n=48). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 7.9% over 63 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 176 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 176 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2024 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Joel Phelippe's strike rate?
- Joel Phelippe has won 24 of 176 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Joel Phelippe do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 85 rides (10.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Joel Phelippe ride most for?
- M Seror, with 127 rides since 2022 — 72% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (13.4%).
- Is Joel Phelippe in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Joel Phelippe's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 176 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.