No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 12.7%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−7.1
n=54 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −27.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+39.2
n=10 · A/E 3.09 · £1 +18.63
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.5%−1.3
n=21 · A/E 2.32 · £1 +6.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.42 · £1 +2.13
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.7%+1.9
n=79 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +87.63
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+0.3
n=18 · A/E 2.17 · £1 +13.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 521.6% vs 10.8% · n=37
In Class 60% vs 10.8% · n=34
Over 6f – 7f20.5% vs 10.8% · n=39
On first rides for the horse3.7% vs 10.8% · n=54
When claiming12.7% vs 10.8% · n=79 · A/E 2.14
On Standard (AW) going8.6% vs 10.8% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)3538.6%+5.00
Good22313.6%+19.25
Good to Firm2129.5%+53.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Soft4250%+7.38
Firm200%−2.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)12216.7%+11.00
Lingfield (AW)9111.1%+8.00
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Yarmouth800%−8.00
Nottingham7114.3%+1.50
Chepstow500%−5.00
Newmarket400%−4.00
Newmarket4125%+25.00
Thirsk4125%−1.75
Windsor3266.7%+14.00
Leicester3133.3%−0.12
Deauville (FR)300%−3.00
Southwell (AW)300%−3.00
Salisbury3133.3%+64.00
Brighton300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 537821.6%+97.75
Class 63400%−34.00
Class 416212.5%+15.88
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3266.7%2.42+2.13
2nd–3rd fav10220%1.26+5.00
4th–6th fav20420%2.93+30.50
7th+ in betting6023.3%1.26+36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f39820.5%+102.63
1m2f – 1m4f2214.5%−7.00
1m – 1m1f1900%−19.00
Under 6f8112.5%+2.00
1m5f – 2m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081516.7%+0.00
200967913.4%+84.63
2010700%−7.00
2011400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps721013.9%+94.63
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners30310%+54.00
8-10 runners2827.1%−16.62
14-16 runners16212.5%+15.25
5-7 runners1516.7%−7.00
17+ runners200%−2.00
2-4 runners22100%+30.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 55 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00601309335000·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Atraf (GB)40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Paris House (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.8% of 443 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.1% from 119. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 146. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.4% from 174.
Efisio (GB)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.2% from 121.
Cape Cross (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Kyllachy (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 97 · newest first
The latest 50 of 97 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2007 to 25 February 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Josephine Bruning's strike rate?
Josephine Bruning has won 10 of 93 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Josephine Bruning's Fair A/E?
1.87, from 92 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Josephine Bruning·SR 10.8%·A/E 1.87
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