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Trainer profile

Patrick Gilligan

157 runners in the lifetime window · 18 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2014
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
14–157
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=157
23 (15%)
Placed
1.54
Fair A/E
n=157 · 1.30 incl. margin
+47.50
£1 level stake
n=157 at SP · +30.3%
£47,392
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.54).

Deterministic profile computed from 157 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (13.2%, n=38), clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.59 and +59.50 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also read well over 6f – 7f (14.7%, n=68) and in Class 5 (13%, n=54). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 3.2% over 31 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Brunelleschi (GB) — 9 wins from 49 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%−0.9
n=25 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+16.1
n=8 · A/E 5.81 · £1 +31.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
20%+11.1
n=5 · A/E 4.39 · £1 +8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+41.1
n=6 · A/E 9.30 · £1 +50.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.9%+1.0
n=101 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +59.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 14.7% vs 8.9% · n=68
Off a 8-14-day break 3.2% vs 8.9% · n=31
In Class 6 4.8% vs 8.9% · n=63
In Class 5 13% vs 8.9% · n=54
At Kempton (AW) 13.2% vs 8.9% · n=38
With a new jockey booking 7.1% vs 8.9% · n=70 · A/E 1.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 135 12 8.9% +44.50
Hurdle 11 1 9.1% +1.00
Chase 7 1 14.3% +6.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 89 8 9% +7.50
Good 30 2 6.7% +33.00
Good to Firm 26 4 15.4% +19.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 38 5 13.2% +27.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 28 2 7.1% −13.50
Lingfield (AW) 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Yarmouth 11 0 0% −11.00
Fontwell 9 2 22.2% +16.00
Newmarket 8 2 25% +34.00
Windsor 6 1 16.7% +1.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Nottingham 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 63 3 4.8% −11.00
Class 5 54 7 13% +39.50
Class 4 27 3 11.1% +27.00
Class 7 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.84 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 19 3 15.8% 1.24 +2.00
4th–6th fav 35 5 14.3% 2.05 +28.50
7th+ in betting 97 5 5.2% 1.63 +18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Replicator (GB)from Pat Eddery 36 3 4 22 Jan 13
Brunelleschi (GB) 27 5 6 25 Feb 11
Shahrazad (IRE)then Miss J Ellis 23 4 6 11 Aug 14
King Of The Titans (IRE)from T Hogan 12 1 1 8 Apr 11
Man In The Mirror (IRE) 10 0 1 26 Jul 10
Una Vita Pius (IRE) 9 0 1 20 Jan 12
Doc Reason (IRE)from Michael Hourigan 6 1 1 8 Apr 11
Rock Of Behistun (IRE) 6 0 0 20 Jul 10
Footsieonehundred (IRE) 5 0 0 25 Jul 14
Strangelittlegirl (GB)from Patrick Leech · then Giles Bravery 5 0 0 26 May 13
Nice 'n' Sleazy (IRE) 4 0 2 4 Aug 12
Compton Silver (GB)from Paul Fitzsimons · then Miss J Ellis 3 0 1 19 Mar 14
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Miss J Ellis (3); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10830271060137000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jamie Mackay 23 1 4.3% −18.00
Ashley Hamblett 21 2 9.5% +11.00
Josephine Bruning 18 4 22.2% +43.00
Jack Gilligan 15 2 13.3% +27.50
Ryan Clark 6 0 0% −6.00
Dominic Fox 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr Matthew Smith 5 1 20% +8.00
Jack Quinlan 5 0 0% −5.00
Luke Morris 5 0 0% −5.00
Silvestre De Sousa 4 2 50% +22.00
Adam Beschizza 3 0 0% −3.00
Sophie Silvester 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
36
Archived wins
£167k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Garden Society (IRE) — Stanjamesuk.com Handicap Newbury · Aug 2005 · Class 3
£9,677
Garden Society (IRE) — Littlewoods Pools Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2005 · Class 4
£6,685
Redwood Star (GB) — Weatherbys Bank Handicap Brighton · Jun 2005 · Class 4
£6,682
Notable horses
Brunelleschi (GB) Shahrazad (IRE) Replicator (GB) Redwood Star (GB) Caerphilly Gal (GB) Almanshood (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mujahid (USA) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.
Bertolini (USA) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Cape Cross (IRE) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Antonius Pius (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.
Titus Livius (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Captain Rio (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 370 · newest first

The latest 50 of 370 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 11 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Aug 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa All New 32redsport.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 3/1J
06 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Visit And Dine In The Panoramic HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1
25 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Footsieonehundred (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Shovelstrode Racing Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 5/1
09 Jul 14 Kempton (AW) Footsieonehundred (IRE)J: Simon Pearce Betdaq 25 No Lose Free Bet Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 66/1
09 Jul 14 Kempton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Byrne Group Supporting Irish Night HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1
06 Jul 14 Market Rasen Father Jack (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Tom Halliday Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 20/1
28 Jun 14 Lingfield (AW) Footsieonehundred (IRE)J: Simon Pearce Royal British Legion Surrey Maiden Auction Stakes (AWT)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 33/1
25 Jun 14 Kempton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Betdaq 25 No Lose Free Bet Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 33/1
20 Jun 14 Market Rasen Father Jack (IRE)J: Adam Wedge Sea-cargo Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 25/1
16 Jun 14 Windsor Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Macdonald Windsor Hotel Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 7/2
04 Jun 14 Kempton (AW) Footsieonehundred (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Goffs London Sale - Kempton-breeze/kensington-sale 16.06.14 Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 66/1
29 Apr 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Quicksilverslots 1 To Win 500 Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 15/2
09 Apr 14 Kempton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan New Jump Fixture 05.05.14 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 14/1
19 Mar 14 Kempton (AW) Compton Silver (GB)J: Jack Gilligan BetBright.com HandicapClass 7 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 8/1
28 Feb 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Compton Silver (GB)J: Jack Gilligan Coral Mobile 'Just Three Clicks To Bet' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 6/1
19 Feb 14 Kempton (AW) Compton Silver (GB)J: Jack Gilligan All-Weather 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Series Handicap (Part Of The Racing Excellence Initiative)Class 7 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
18 Dec 13 Kempton (AW) Footsieonehundred (IRE)J: Adam Beschizza Book Christmas Festival Tickets Now Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1
22 Oct 13 Kempton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Noel Garbutt Book Now For Jump Racing On 04.11.13 HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1
05 Sep 13 Haydock Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Betfred Mobile Casino Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 9/2
22 Aug 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Shahrazad (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan Holiday Inn Wolverhampton Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Gilligan's strike rate?
Patrick Gilligan has won 14 of 157 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Gilligan do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Patrick Gilligan's Fair A/E?
1.54, from 157 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).