What is David Simcock's strike rate?

David Simcock has won 200 of 1,607 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Simcock do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 165 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Simcock?

Callum Shepherd, with 264 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (15.2%).

Is David Simcock in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Simcock's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,598 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Simcock

1,607 runners in the last 5 seasons · 169 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.0% of 285 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

200–1,607

Wins / Runs

12.4%

Strike rate

n=1,607

495 (31%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,598 · 0.87 incl. margin

−351.30

£1 level stake

n=1,607 at SP · −21.9%

£3.20m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 320 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,607 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Apr 38.3% when favourite Callum Shepherd: 15.2% from 264 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −40.50 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Callum Shepherd rides 16% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.2% vs 12.4%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.5%, n=68). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 91 runners, 12.4pts below the baseline. 58 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Sussex Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2018, £593,392). The stable star of the record: Tiger Crusade (FR) — 10 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.1%−4.3

n=283 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −59.26

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.2%+5.8

n=11 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −5.50

Debutants · first career start

5.4%−7.0

n=112 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −40.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.7%−10.7

n=59 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −55.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.9%−9.5

n=35 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −20.00

When favourite

38.3%

n=162 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +15.96

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.2%−1.2

n=187 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −9.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.4

n=91 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −91.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 0% vs 12.4% · n=91

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 12.4% · n=91

Off a 0-7-day break 23.5% vs 12.4% · n=68

With first-time headgear 1.7% vs 12.4% · n=59

With headgear back on 2.9% vs 12.4% · n=35

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 12.4% · n=192

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,606 200 12.5% −350.30

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 974 138 14.2% −126.49

Good to Firm 245 31 12.7% −72.93

Good 212 19 9% −83.63

Good to Soft 88 5 5.7% −28.00

Soft 68 5 7.4% −33.75

Heavy 18 2 11.1% −4.50

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 247 34 13.8% −56.45

Kempton (AW) 180 14 7.8% −86.79

Southwell (AW) 172 29 16.9% −31.53

Lingfield (AW) 165 30 18.2% +49.28

Chelmsford City (AW) 159 23 14.5% +17.62

Yarmouth 87 11 12.6% −15.63

Newmarket 69 5 7.2% −11.00

Newcastle (AW) 51 8 15.7% −18.62

Newmarket 47 5 10.6% −20.17

Windsor 45 3 6.7% −25.75

Ascot 40 3 7.5% −25.50

Goodwood 39 3 7.7% −2.00

Doncaster 39 6 15.4% −12.42

Lingfield 38 4 10.5% −27.11

Newbury 34 2 5.9% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 508 63 12.4% −180.45

Class 4 360 43 11.9% −33.48

Class 6 360 65 18.1% +10.53

Class 2 145 10 6.9% −58.15

Class 3 143 19 13.3% +1.25

Class 1 91 0 0% −91.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 191 64 33.5% 1.09 −4.71

2nd–3rd fav 424 70 16.5% 0.93 −78.42

4th–6th fav 619 51 8.2% 0.99 −181.17

7th+ in betting 373 15 4% 1.13 −87.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Charlie's Choice (GB) 49 8 22 14 Oct 26

Hitched (IRE) 48 9 20 14 Oct 26

Tiger Crusade (FR) 47 6 11 20 May 26

Chola Empire (GB) 44 4 14 26 Feb 26

Aiming High (GB) 40 5 12 11 Feb 26

Charlatan (IRE) 36 5 17 8 Jul 26

Forge Valley Lad (GB)from Ed Vaughan 34 7 16 23 Jan 25

Mr Nugget (GB) 32 6 13 9 Oct 26

Repertoire (GB)from A Fabre 32 4 8 23 Jan 26

City Of York (GB) 30 3 7 13 Dec 25

Tradesman (IRE) 27 4 8 21 Apr 25

Bless Him (IRE) 25 2 5 6 Dec 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 169 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Fabre (2) and Ed Vaughan (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1917161451010111612177

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCallum Shepherd

16% of all rides
15.2% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Callum Shepherd 264 40 15.2% −31.50

Hayley Turner 223 32 14.3% −51.95

Jamie Spencer 218 25 11.5% −85.67

Luke Morris 177 20 11.3% −46.83

Taryn Langley 92 9 9.8% −13.75

Joey Haynes 66 7 10.6% +6.25

Daniel Muscutt 41 4 9.8% −20.50

Georgia Dobie 30 1 3.3% −22.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,058

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.5m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 85 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lightning Spear (GB) — Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Aug 2018 · Group 1

£593,392

Madame Chiang (GB) — Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Group 1

£344,513

Teppal (FR) — The Emirates Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2018 · Group 1

£252,832

Notable horses

Tiger Crusade (FR) Breton Rock (IRE) Desert Encounter (IRE) Hitched (IRE) Noble Citizen (USA) Charlie's Choice (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cityscape (GB) 15.2% · 19–125

Progeny have won 9% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (213 horses).

Lightning Spear (GB) 14.2% · 15–106

Progeny have won 11.3% of 604 runs since 2008 (53 horses).

No Nay Never (USA) 13.4% · 9–67

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,307 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 14.3% · 9–63

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,628 runs since 2008 (842 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 16.3% · 8–49

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,999 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,779 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,779 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Caledonian (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Belle Amie (SWE)J: Callum Shepherd Andrew And Tony Roy Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Charlie's Choice (GB)J: Taryn Langley Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Assail (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 4/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Hitched (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 33/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fulford Cross (GB)J: Taryn Langley Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 4/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Shangri La (GB)J: Luke Morris Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mr Nugget (GB)J: Rowan Scott Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Miss Wong (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 125/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Thuritha (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 12th 150/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Chasing Daylight (IRE)J: Callum Rodriguez Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 4th 6/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Vishaka (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Mj Church Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 28/1

08 Oct 26 Bath King's Castle (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Makes Me Wonder (GB)J: Taryn Langley Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pickering Castle (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 7/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Son Of Vega (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 15/2

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Saxophonic (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 9/4

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Rajendra (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 12/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arouse (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 9/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Campani (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Simcock's strike rate?: David Simcock has won 200 of 1,607 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Simcock do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 165 runners (18.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Simcock?: Callum Shepherd, with 264 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (15.2%).
Is David Simcock in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Simcock's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,598 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.