Jeff Pearce
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (43 runs).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.8%, n=182), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Brighton (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 14% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.12), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.58). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +24.99 to a £1 stake over 267 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Simon Pearce rode 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.5%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (18.7%, n=75) and off a 8-14-day break (14.5%, n=256). The record read poorly on Good going — 6.2% over 130 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totesport.com London Mile Handicap at Kempton (AW) (Sep 2007, £46,245). The stable star of the record was Formidable Guest (GB) — 9 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Jan.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,721 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,721 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 12 January 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jeff Pearce's strike rate?
- Jeff Pearce has won 99 of 933 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jeff Pearce do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 182 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Jeff Pearce?
- Simon Pearce, with 220 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.5%).
- What is Jeff Pearce's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 928 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.