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Jockey profile

Keiran Burke

326 rides in the lifetime window · 97 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2011 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
31–326
Wins / Runs
9.5%
Strike rate
n=326
87 (27%)
Placed
1.44
Fair A/E
n=326 · 1.23 incl. margin
+34.35
£1 level stake
n=326 at SP · +10.5%
£278k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.44). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (35 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 326 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Patrick Rodford: 16% from 125 LTO winners: 22.9% Claiming: 9.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Taunton (17.9%, n=39), clear of the rider's 9.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 2.11), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 4% (n=75, Fair A/E 0.76). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.51 and +48.35 to a £1 stake over 304 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Patrick Rodford supplied 38% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16% vs 9.5%, A/E 2.01) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 38 rides, 6.9pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Holmwood Legend (GB) — 6 wins from 18 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4%−5.5
n=75 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −57.90
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.9%+13.4
n=35 · A/E 2.11 · £1 +57.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.1%−3.4
n=66 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +17.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −1.15
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.9%+0.4
n=304 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +48.35
Big fields · 14+ runners
5%−4.5
n=101 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −15.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22.9% vs 9.5% · n=35
With Patrick Rodford 16% vs 9.5% · n=125
At Taunton 17.9% vs 9.5% · n=39
With Nigel Hawke 4% vs 9.5% · n=101
Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 9.5% · n=38
On first rides for the horse 4% vs 9.5% · n=75
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 160 15 9.4% +43.00
Chase 140 15 10.7% +15.25
NH Flat 26 1 3.8% −23.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 107 9 8.4% +30.50
Good to Soft 77 8 10.4% −14.75
Good to Firm 65 5 7.7% −23.90
Soft 53 7 13.2% +51.50
Heavy 19 2 10.5% −4.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 48 6 12.5% +25.50
Wincanton 42 3 7.1% +0.50
Taunton 39 7 17.9% +42.35
Exeter 35 1 2.9% −26.00
Fontwell 21 2 9.5% +12.00
Chepstow 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Worcester 18 3 16.7% +7.00
Hereford 13 0 0% −13.00
Stratford 10 0 0% −10.00
Ludlow 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Cheltenham 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Kempton 7 1 14.3% +0.00
Newbury 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Warwick 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 150 15 10% +51.75
Class 5 83 6 7.2% −29.40
Class 3 60 8 13.3% +11.00
Class 6 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 8 2 25% +26.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.88 −6.15
2nd–3rd fav 46 10 21.7% 1.53 +17.50
4th–6th fav 91 11 12.1% 1.58 +38.00
7th+ in betting 175 7 4% 1.50 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.7% completed · 300 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 140 75% 5 2 28 0 0
Hurdle 160 80% 3 1 27 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Outside Investor (IRE) 22 3 7 18 Nov 10
Kirbys Glen (IRE) 19 1 5 12 Apr 11
Holmwood Legend (GB) 18 6 10 13 Apr 11
Mibleu (FR) 15 3 5 23 Apr 11
Cashel Blue (USA) 13 2 7 29 Mar 11
Beechwood (GB) 11 2 3 20 Aug 09
Vintage Fabric (USA) 11 1 4 18 Jun 09
Sparky May (GB) 10 4 8 8 Apr 11
Macmar (FR) 9 1 3 4 Feb 11
Brigadore (USA) 9 1 3 11 May 10
Man Of Leisure (GB) 8 0 4 10 Apr 11
Junctiontwentyfour (GB) 8 0 2 13 Apr 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 97 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
881233207142015144
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPatrick Rodford
38% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 2.01
TrainerRWSR£1
Patrick Rodford 125 20 16% +95.85
Nigel Hawke 101 4 4% −23.50
R H & Mrs S Alner 40 5 12.5% +12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
41
Archived wins
£369k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Holmwood Legend (GB) — Byrne Group Plate (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Cheltenham · Mar 2011 · Class 1
£42,758
Sparky May (GB) — 1942 Was A Vintage Year Mares' Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares' Hurdle) (Grade 2) Ascot · Jan 2011 · Class 1
£22,804
Mossville (FR) — Betfredcasino Handicap Hurdle Kempton · Mar 2008 · Class 3
£7,543
Notable horses
Holmwood Legend (GB) Sparky May (GB) Outside Investor (IRE) Beechwood (GB) Mibleu (FR) Sultan Fontenaille (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Midnight Legend (GB) 30.3% · 10–33
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Cadeaux Genereux (GB) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).
Charente River (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 6.6% of 213 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Agent Bleu (FR) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 20.1% of 268 runs since 2008 (39 horses).
Kaldounevees (FR) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 669 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 164. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 152. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 106.
Aljabr (USA) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 417 runs since 2008 (26 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 114. Weakest on Good going: 8.3% from 108. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.9% from 118.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 650 · newest first

The latest 50 of 650 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 23 April 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Apr 11 Newton Abbot Mibleu (FR)T: Colin Tizzard Sis Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 13/2
21 Apr 11 Wincanton Reymysterio (IRE)T: Patrick Rodford Red Ruby Devons Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 11/2
21 Apr 11 Wincanton Raise Again (IRE)T: Nerys Dutfield Higos For All Your Commercial Insurance Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 7/1
14 Apr 11 Cheltenham Quipe Me Posted (FR)T: Suzy Smith Auriga Network Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 11/2
13 Apr 11 Cheltenham Hunt Ball (IRE)T: Patrick Rodford Squareintheair.com Novices' ChaseClass 2 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 100/1
13 Apr 11 Cheltenham Holmwood Legend (GB)T: Patrick Rodford Masterson Holdings Silver Trophy Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap)Class 1 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 4/1
12 Apr 11 Taunton Kirbys Glen (IRE)T: Patrick Rodford Bet On Live Sport At Totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Firm · 6 ran 2nd 3/1
11 Apr 11 Ffos Las Reymysterio (IRE)T: Patrick Rodford Thelindleygroup.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
11 Apr 11 Ffos Las Kericho (GB)T: Patrick Rodford Lindley Heritage Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 50/1
10 Apr 11 Wincanton Man Of Leisure (GB)T: Nerys Dutfield Bathwick Tyres Dorchester Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 8/1
09 Apr 11 Bangor-on-Dee Royal Kicks (FR)T: Suzy Smith Bet On The Grand National At totesport.com Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1
08 Apr 11 Aintree Sparky May (GB)T: Patrick Rodford John Smith's Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good · 19 ran 3rd 4/1F
29 Mar 11 Taunton Cashel Blue (USA)T: Patrick Rodford Taunton Jaguar Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 34.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 85/40F
27 Mar 11 Wincanton Man Of Leisure (GB)T: Nerys Dutfield Alexandra Burke Here 5th May Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
26 Mar 11 Stratford Domino Dancer (IRE)T: Lucy Jones Happy 70th Birthday Bertie Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 5/1
26 Mar 11 Stratford Roses Legend (GB)T: Reginald Brown Bordeaux-undiscovered.co.uk Wines At Stratford Selling HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 25/1
23 Mar 11 Hereford Court Gamble (IRE)T: Nerys Dutfield Digibet.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 28/1
21 Mar 11 Lingfield O Malley's Oscar (IRE)T: Suzy Smith Edenbridge Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/2F
17 Mar 11 Cheltenham Holmwood Legend (GB)T: Patrick Rodford Byrne Group Plate (Grade 3 Handicap Chase)Class 1 · 21f · Good · 20 ran 1st 25/1
15 Mar 11 Cheltenham Sparky May (GB)T: Patrick Rodford David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keiran Burke's strike rate?
Keiran Burke has won 31 of 326 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keiran Burke do best at?
Taunton by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 rides (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Keiran Burke ride most for?
Patrick Rodford, with 125 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (16%).
What is Keiran Burke's Fair A/E?
1.44, from 326 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).