No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).
Deterministic profile computed from 313 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Apr–MayClaiming riders: 6.9%
The read
The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (11.7%, n=60) and in Chase races (9.7%, n=72). The record read poorly in Flat races — 0% over 31 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.61 across 64 runners (3.1% strike, −48.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Apr–May.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−1.3
n=67 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +6.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.8
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.8
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%+3.3
n=22 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +3.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 2.84 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%+1.1
n=204 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −33.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break11.7% vs 5.8% · n=60
In Flat races0% vs 5.8% · n=31
In Chase races9.7% vs 5.8% · n=72
With horses switching code2.1% vs 5.8% · n=47
Off a 31-60-day break3.1% vs 5.8% · n=64
At Taunton3.1% vs 5.8% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle196115.6%−72.00
Chase7279.7%+13.00
Flat3100%−31.00
NH Flat1400%−14.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good10865.6%−62.50
Good to Firm6557.7%−21.50
Good to Soft5523.6%−33.50
Soft4736.4%−18.50
Standard (AW)1900%−19.00
Heavy15213.3%+55.00
Firm400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot3625.6%−19.50
Taunton3213.1%−29.00
Uttoxeter2627.7%−14.00
Exeter25312%+21.00
Towcester24312.5%+48.50
Fontwell2328.7%−9.50
Hereford2114.8%−6.00
Worcester1800%−18.00
Wincanton1600%−16.00
Chepstow1400%−14.00
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Plumpton7114.3%+2.00
Bangor-on-Dee7228.6%+10.00
Bath600%−6.00
Stratford600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 414496.3%−35.00
Class 512297.4%−22.00
Class 62900%−29.00
Class 31400%−14.00
Class 7300%−3.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11100%2.84+1.50
2nd–3rd fav29724.1%1.64+9.50
4th–6th fav8267.3%1.02−2.00
7th+ in betting20142%0.74−113.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f10976.4%−38.50
1m5f – 2m8544.7%−28.00
2m5f – 3m8033.8%−37.00
Over 3m17423.5%+21.50
1m2f – 1m4f900%−9.00
1m – 1m1f800%−8.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
6f – 7f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20089966.1%−60.00
200910332.9%−75.00
20107845.1%−29.50
201130413.3%+53.50
20123133.3%+7.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps178137.3%+9.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners11543.5%−87.00
8-10 runners8667%−4.00
14-16 runners6611.5%−51.00
5-7 runners29724.1%+55.00
17+ runners1400%−14.00
2-4 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 47 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Laura Young (6) and Liam Corcoran (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.
24 have since run for another yard, most often for Laura Young (8) and Alan Jones (3); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
09712130946005
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
29
Archived wins
£129k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sninfia (IRE) — Home Sale Network Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · May 2008 · Class 4
£4,879
Freddy's Star (IRE) — Exeter Racecourse Conference Centre Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2010 · Class 4
£3,903
Lansdowne Princess (GB) — Deal Or No Deal At Totepool.com Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jul 2012 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Kayf Tara (GB)8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Moonax (IRE)4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 5.8% of 365 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 1.6% from 122.
Kris (GB)9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 6.7% of 179 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Observatory (USA)4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Kingmambo (USA)11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 14.5% of 1,093 runs since 2008 (137 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 10.9% from 138. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 18.1% from 243.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 543 · newest first
The latest 50 of 543 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 July 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Gerald Ham's strike rate?
Gerald Ham has won 18 of 313 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerald Ham do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 2 wins from 36 runners (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Gerald Ham's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 313 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Gerald Ham·SR 5.8%·A/E 1.13
KTB
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