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Trainer profile

Lucy Jones

174 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2015 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–174
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=174
47 (27%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=172 · 0.68 incl. margin
−103.62
£1 level stake
n=174 at SP · −59.6%
£58,339
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 174 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

It is weakest at Ffos Las (3.4% over 59 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (14.7%, n=34) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (13%, n=54). The record read poorly on Good going — 1.7% over 59 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.22 across 54 runners (1.9% strike, −49.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.9
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.8%+4.9
n=17 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +3.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −8.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−0.9
n=84 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −57.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 14.7% vs 6.9% · n=34
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 13% vs 6.9% · n=54
On Good going 1.7% vs 6.9% · n=59
Over 2m5f – 3m 1.9% vs 6.9% · n=54
At Ffos Las 3.4% vs 6.9% · n=59
Off a 15-30-day break 5.1% vs 6.9% · n=59 · A/E 0.52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 113 9 8% −57.12
Chase 44 3 6.8% −29.50
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 59 1 1.7% −49.50
Good to Firm 29 5 17.2% −1.87
Heavy 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Good to Soft 28 2 7.1% −15.50
Soft 27 1 3.7% −23.50
Firm 2 2 100% +4.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 59 2 3.4% −50.00
Hereford 16 1 6.3% −9.50
Worcester 15 2 13.3% −3.00
Stratford 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Ludlow 12 0 0% −12.00
Exeter 10 2 20% −4.00
Newton Abbot 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Towcester 6 1 16.7% +3.50
Bangor-on-Dee 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontwell 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 75 6 8% −42.50
Class 5 71 5 7% −37.62
Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 13 1 7.7% −8.50
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 1 7.7% 0.31 −10.12
2nd–3rd fav 37 7 18.9% 1.11 −5.00
4th–6th fav 46 3 6.5% 0.84 −21.50
7th+ in betting 78 1 1.3% 0.45 −67.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.4% completed · 157 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 44 84.1% 0 3 4 0 0
Hurdle 113 85.8% 5 1 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Prince Pippin (IRE)from Sophie Leech 16 1 5 4 Jun 15
Domino Dancer (IRE)from Jim Best 15 3 7 30 Aug 12
Supreme Bob (IRE)from Philip Fenton · then Debra Hamer 13 1 5 15 Dec 14
Genuine Art (GB) 13 0 0 14 Jul 14
Derawar (IRE)from Simon Jones 12 1 5 9 May 12
Ifyouthinkso (GB)from Chris Grant 10 0 4 18 Mar 15
Numen (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead · then Barry Brennan 10 3 5 10 Oct 12
Call Me Frankie (IRE) 10 0 0 30 Aug 12
Toe To Toe (IRE)from C Byrnes · then John Flint 8 1 1 30 Sep 14
Cresswell Pride (GB)from Keith Goldsworthy 8 0 1 29 Jul 12
The Humbel Monk (IRE) 7 0 1 9 Apr 11
Tobefair (GB)then Debra Hamer 6 0 1 17 Mar 15
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alison Thorpe (4) and Chris Grant (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Debra Hamer (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00100190131302200
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMs Lucy Jones
17% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.76
RiderRWSR£1
Ms Lucy Jones 30 2 6.7% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
12
Archived wins
£58,339
Prize money
2011
Best season · 7 wins
Domino Dancer (IRE) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Hurdle Ffos Las · May 2011 · Class 3
£4,554
Supreme Bob (IRE) — Watch Racing UK On Sky 432 'Hands And Heels' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders) Newbury · Mar 2013 · Class 4
£3,119
Numen (IRE) — Alexander And Duncan Novices' Handicap Chase Hereford · Aug 2011 · Class 4
£2,664
Notable horses
Domino Dancer (IRE) Numen (IRE) Prince Pippin (IRE) Supreme Bob (IRE) Derawar (IRE) Toe To Toe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King Charlemagne (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Tagula (IRE) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,557 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Bob's Return (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Generosity (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 1.5% of 65 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Kahyasi (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,120 runs since 2008 (185 horses).
Fath (USA) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 174 · newest first

The latest 50 of 174 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2011 to 4 June 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Jun 15 Ffos Las Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Wrw Group Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1
11 May 15 Towcester Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Visit The Forum On Gg.com Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
11 Apr 15 Chepstow Llangwm Lad (IRE)J: Donal Devereux Unibet - By Players For Players Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 12th 66/1
09 Apr 15 Taunton Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Augustus Restaurant Taunton Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 13 ran 8th 14/1
18 Mar 15 Warwick Ifyouthinkso (GB)J: Sean Bowen Executive Hire Show Thanks For Attending Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 10/1
17 Mar 15 Exeter Tobefair (GB)J: Donal Devereux Higos Insurance Platinum Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 40/1
07 Mar 15 Chepstow Tobefair (GB)J: Donal Devereux Betway Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 100/1
17 Feb 15 Taunton Honey'n'spice (GB)J: Tom Bellamy League Of Friends Of The Taunton Hospitals Standard NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateur)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/1
10 Feb 15 Ffos Las Ifyouthinkso (GB)J: Tom Bellamy Totepool Supporting Welsh Racing Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2
10 Feb 15 Ffos Las Tobefair (GB)J: Nick Scholfield Sis 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Soft · 4 ran 4th 66/1
31 Jan 15 Ffos Las Llangwm Lad (IRE)J: Nick Scholfield Betway Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 9/1
19 Jan 15 Exeter Tobefair (GB)J: Noel Fehily Cheltenham Preview Evening 3rd March Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 17f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 40/1
02 Jan 15 Ffos Las Honey'n'spice (GB)J: Nick Scholfield Walters Land Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 33/1
18 Dec 14 Towcester Ifyouthinkso (GB)J: Sean Bowen Caroline Beesley Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 3/1J
15 Dec 14 Ffos Las Supreme Bob (IRE)J: Nick Scholfield Walters Land Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 7/2F
13 Nov 14 Ludlow Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Aja Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 5/1
12 Oct 14 Ffos Las Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Trustmark Design And Print Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1
30 Sep 14 Chepstow Toe To Toe (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Get Free Bets At TheBookiesOffers.co.uk Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 7/1
26 Sep 14 Worcester Tobefair (GB)J: Richard Johnson 32Red.com Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 14/1
22 Aug 14 Ffos Las Prince Pippin (IRE)J: Ms Lucy Jones Stradey Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lucy Jones's strike rate?
Lucy Jones has won 12 of 174 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucy Jones do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 2 wins from 59 runners (3.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Lucy Jones's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 172 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).