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Jockey profile

Keith Moriarty

246 rides in the lifetime window · 103 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2018 100% of rides on the flat
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–246
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=246
39 (16%)
Placed
0.81
n=246 · 0.63 incl. margin
−73.75
£1 level stake
n=246 at SP · −30.0%
£99,180
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). Rode mostly for Albert Moriarty — 45% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 246 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.9% Albert Moriarty: 2.7% from 110 First rides: 3.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −103.75 to a £1 stake over 144 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Albert Moriarty supplied 45% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.7%, A/E 0.75). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 48 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.45 across 53 rides (1.9% strike, −32.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.9%+0.2
n=103 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −11.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+21.3
n=8 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +0.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.9%+0.2
n=51 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −3.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.7%+0.0
n=244 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −71.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.8%−0.9
n=144 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −103.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 0% vs 3.7% · n=48
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 3.7% · n=46
Off a 61-180-day break 6.1% vs 3.7% · n=33
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 1.9% vs 3.7% · n=53 · A/E 0.45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 77 4 5.2% +6.75
Soft 62 2 3.2% −39.50
Good 48 0 0% −48.00
Good to Firm 25 1 4% −8.00
Heavy 25 2 8% +24.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 77 4 5.2% +6.75
Cork 27 1 3.7% −10.00
Killarney 24 0 0% −24.00
Gowran Park 20 1 5% −5.00
Limerick 18 0 0% −18.00
Tipperary 15 0 0% −15.00
Listowel 14 1 7.1% +20.00
Curragh 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 1.12 +0.25
2nd–3rd fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
4th–6th fav 43 2 4.7% 0.70 −13.00
7th+ in betting 184 5 2.7% 0.99 −50.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Prince Jock (USA) 30 1 5 23 Aug 17
Cape Explorer (GB) 16 1 1 30 Jun 16
Intense Stylist (IRE) 14 1 4 22 Aug 18
Sea Adventure (IRE) 12 0 0 5 Aug 16
Comanchie Creek (IRE) 9 0 0 12 Sep 16
Forebear (IRE) 8 0 2 13 Jun 15
Sir Henry Raeburn (IRE) 7 0 0 15 May 18
Cosmic Symbol (IRE) 7 2 2 15 Oct 17
Oor Jock (IRE) 7 0 0 11 Sep 17
Captain Midnight (IRE) 6 2 3 25 Nov 16
Dream Destination (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Oct 18
Brief Angel (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Oct 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 103 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
8000015009090
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
45% of all rides
2.7% SR · A/E 0.75
TrainerRWSR£1
Albert Moriarty 110 3 2.7% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
9
Archived wins
£99,180
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
Intense Stylist (IRE) — Listowel Track Fillies Maiden Listowel · Sep 2017
£8,008
Cape Discovery (GB) — Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Sep 2015
£7,590
Cosmic Symbol (IRE) — Family Fun Day June 25th Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) Gowran Park · Jun 2017
£6,468

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Repent (USA) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 11.9% of 67 runs since 2008 (2 horses).
Intense Focus (USA) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,630 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.5% from 349. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.5% from 384.
Cape Cross (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Elnadim (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,566 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 246 · newest first

The latest 50 of 246 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 June 2014 to 13 October 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keith Moriarty's strike rate?
Keith Moriarty has won 9 of 246 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keith Moriarty do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 77 rides (5.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Keith Moriarty ride most for?
Albert Moriarty, with 110 rides since 2008 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (2.7%).
What is Keith Moriarty's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 246 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).