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Trainer profile

M J Tynan

56 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
2–56
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=56
5 (9%)
Placed
1.56
n=56 · 1.25 incl. margin
−19.12
£1 level stake
n=56 at SP · −34.1%
£28,495
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.62 · £1 +1.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%+3.5
n=28 · A/E 2.66 · £1 +8.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 25 2 8% +11.88
Hurdle 20 0 0% −20.00
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 23 1 4.3% +11.00
Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% −4.12
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 7 1 14.3% −4.12
Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 3 1 33.3% +31.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 3.62 +1.88
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 47 1 2.1% 1.59 −13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Solomon Coop (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell 10 1 1 11 Oct 26
Jeel Des Mottes (FR) 7 0 0 18 Jan 25
Empress Cotoh (IRE) 5 0 0 26 Sep 23
Carbon King (IRE)then Declan Queally 5 0 0 22 Mar 22
Soldier's Tree (IRE)then James Owen 3 1 3 4 Apr 26
Must Be Dreaming (IRE)then G Ahern 3 0 0 25 Jan 22
Habu (IRE) 2 0 0 29 Sep 26
Hey Kameir (IRE)then G Ahern 2 0 0 27 Jan 23
Monfin Lad (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Mar 22
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Harry Kelly (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for G Ahern (2); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1000013·000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Orla Tynan 13 2 15.4% +23.88
Sean O'Keeffe 8 0 0% −8.00
Seamie Heffernan 4 0 0% −4.00
Phillip Enright 2 0 0% −2.00
Cathal Landers 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Fitzgerald 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr D Allen 2 0 0% −2.00
Ryan Treacy 2 0 0% −2.00
Dylan Whelan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr E Shaw 2 0 0% −2.00
Ava Maher 1 0 0% −1.00
Wayne Hassett 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£209k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Chicago Time (IRE) — Paddy's Rewards Club EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed) Cork · Oct 2021 · Listed
£16,225
Chicago Time (IRE) — Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Cork · Oct 2021
£11,800
Ladie's Choice (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Naas · Jul 2010
£10,695

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Twilight Son (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,646 runs since 2008 (281 horses).
Progeny have won 6.8% of 235 runs since 2008 (59 horses).
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.4% of 2,228 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,870 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Malinas (GER) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,942 runs since 2008 (419 horses).
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2008 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 313 · newest first

The latest 50 of 313 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Habu (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 200/1
30 Sep 25 Cork Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Port Of Cork Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M J Tynan's strike rate?
M J Tynan has won 2 of 56 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is M J Tynan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M J Tynan's Fair A/E?
1.56, from 56 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).