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Trainer profile

John Joseph Murphy

446 runners in the last 5 seasons · 92 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
34–446
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=446
102 (23%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=446 · 0.85 incl. margin
−216.65
£1 level stake
n=446 at SP · −48.6%
£1.18m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). In Group and Graded company the record reads 14% (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 446 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Fresh horses: 10.1% Colin Keane: 15.6% from 64 Claiming riders: 8.9% Group/Graded: 14.3%
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 7.6% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 14.3% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.57), but debutants struggle at 1.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.38). Colin Keane rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.6% vs 7.6%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (16.7%, n=30) and in Class 1 (13.5%, n=37). 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Gold Cup at Curragh (May 2024, £295,000). The stable star of the record: Convincing (GB) — 6 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.1%+2.5
n=89 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −14.04
Debutants · first career start
1.2%−6.4
n=81 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −71.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+4.9
n=8 · A/E 2.23 · £1 −2.50
When favourite
26.1%
n=23 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −5.52
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%+1.3
n=79 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −42.42
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+6.7
n=35 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +5.71

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Colin Keane 15.6% vs 7.6% · n=64
At Dundalk (AW) 16.7% vs 7.6% · n=30
On Standard (AW) going 16.7% vs 7.6% · n=30
With debutants 1.2% vs 7.6% · n=81
In Group / Graded races 14.3% vs 7.6% · n=35
In Class 1 13.5% vs 7.6% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 350 30 8.6% −140.42
Hurdle 79 3 3.8% −63.73
NH Flat 10 1 10% −5.50
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 178 12 6.7% −101.93
Good 147 9 6.1% −72.12
Good to Soft 45 4 8.9% −23.62
Heavy 42 4 9.5% −6.01
Standard (AW) 30 5 16.7% −8.97
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Killarney 95 11 11.6% −19.79
Curragh 47 4 8.5% −27.79
Gowran Park 44 3 6.8% −19.62
Dundalk (AW) 30 5 16.7% −8.97
Leopardstown 30 2 6.7% +16.00
Cork 24 2 8.3% −19.81
Listowel 21 0 0% −21.00
Galway 20 0 0% −20.00
Limerick 17 2 11.8% +1.25
Navan 16 0 0% −16.00
Naas 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Tipperary 13 1 7.7% −8.00
Roscommon 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 9 1 11.1% −4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 37 5 13.5% +3.71
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 30 7 23.3% 0.98 −6.02
2nd–3rd fav 72 17 23.6% 1.50 +9.87
4th–6th fav 129 9 7% 1.04 −20.50
7th+ in betting 215 1 0.5% 0.19 −200.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vintage Gold (IRE) 26 1 5 17 Jul 25
Chatterbox (IRE) 24 0 7 15 Jun 25
Black Bamboo (IRE) 23 2 6 20 Aug 26
Barometer (IRE) 21 1 10 26 Dec 23
White Birch (GB)then Jamie Osborne 14 5 8 5 Oct 25
Venice Biennale (IRE) 14 0 1 29 Jul 23
Sea Chariot (GB) 13 3 5 7 Oct 24
Kitsilano (IRE)then David Bridgwater 11 1 1 7 Dec 23
Eagles Dream (IRE)then Tristan Davidson 10 0 2 22 Aug 25
Nevereverever (IRE) 9 0 2 30 May 25
Fond Farewell (IRE)then Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 9 1 2 31 Aug 23
Spirit Of Ash (IRE)then Tristan Davidson 9 0 0 15 Feb 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 92 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Tristan Davidson (4) and Adrian Wintle (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
1 from 17 5.9% · −1.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days5.9%
5-season base7.6%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0176107291446116
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderColin Keane
14% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Colin Keane 64 10 15.6% −25.25
Shane Foley 52 6 11.5% +28.50
Robbie Colgan 41 2 4.9% −21.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
246
Archived wins
15
Pattern / graded wins
£5.04m
Prize money
2010
Best season · 22 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
White Birch (GB) — Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1) Curragh · May 2024 · Group 1
£295,000
Newmill (IRE) — Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2006 · Class 1
£165,358
Newmill (IRE) — Kerrygold Champion Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2006 · Grade 1
£124,660
Notable horses
Convincing (GB) High Altitude (IRE) Brazos (USA) Newmill (IRE) Goldplated (IRE) White Birch (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Farhh (GB) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 13.7% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (164 horses).
Highland Reel (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,507 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,591 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Gregorian (IRE) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,942 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 116.
Ulysses (IRE) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,972 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,662 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,662 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sunburn (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 125/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Emberelle (IRE)J: Shane Foley Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Papanell (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 80/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Cool Steel (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 9th 100/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Vico Road (IRE)J: Shane Foley Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 1st 22/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Cosmonaut (GB)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 9th 250/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Ballindenisk (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 13/2
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Acquilyx (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 250/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Special Reserve (GB)J: Shane Foley Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 100/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bridal Queen (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 125/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Boy Racer (GB)J: Donagh O'Connor DNG People & Property Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 10th 200/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bunglasha Boy (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan DNG People & Property Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 8th 200/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Rare Blend (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 11/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Aztec Chief (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 20/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Queen Of The Bogs (IRE)J: Shane Foley SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 33/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Sing Hallelujah (IRE)J: Shane Foley WTW Willis Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 9/2
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Red Dahlia (IRE)J: J M Sheridan WTW Willis Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 12/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Sunburn (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Emberelle (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Soho Dragon (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Army Equitation Centenary Irish EBF Maiden7f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Joseph Murphy's strike rate?
John Joseph Murphy has won 34 of 446 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Joseph Murphy do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Joseph Murphy?
Colin Keane, with 64 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.6%).
Is John Joseph Murphy in form?
In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.6% since 2022.
What is John Joseph Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 446 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).