What is Lemos de Souza's strike rate?

Lemos de Souza has won 13 of 226 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lemos de Souza do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Lemos de Souza ride most for?

Luca Cumani, with 60 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.7%).

What is Lemos de Souza's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 221 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Lemos de Souza

226 rides in the lifetime window · 106 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2018 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

13–226

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=226

38 (17%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=221 · 0.75 incl. margin

−79.75

£1 level stake

n=226 at SP · −35.3%

£79,412

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 226 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Luca Cumani: 6.7% from 60

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −16.00 to a £1 stake over 106 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Luca Cumani supplied 27% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 0.58). The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (10%, n=30). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 2.2% over 45 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.66 across 87 rides (3.4% strike, −53.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.7%−1.1

n=106 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −16.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.4%+15.6

n=14 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +13.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−5.8

n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00

When favourite

14.3%

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.5%+3.7

n=21 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +2.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 10% vs 5.8% · n=30

Over 1m – 1m1f 2.2% vs 5.8% · n=45

In Class 4 2.7% vs 5.8% · n=37

On Good going 2.8% vs 5.8% · n=36

Over 6f – 7f 3.4% vs 5.8% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 94 7 7.4% −29.00

Good to Firm 69 4 5.8% −14.75

Good 36 1 2.8% −21.00

Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% +0.00

Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford (AW) 39 3 7.7% +0.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 25 2 8% −10.00

Yarmouth 13 0 0% −13.00

Kempton (AW) 13 1 7.7% −8.50

Nottingham 12 0 0% −12.00

Lingfield (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Windsor 11 1 9.1% +4.00

Lingfield 10 1 10% −5.50

Salisbury 9 2 22.2% −0.25

Brighton 9 0 0% −9.00

Bath 7 0 0% −7.00

Leicester 7 1 14.3% +5.00

Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00

Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 103 6 5.8% −26.50

Class 6 76 5 6.6% −27.00

Class 4 37 1 2.7% −33.25

Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 7 2 1 50% +15.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 2 25% 0.62 +1.50

2nd–3rd fav 33 5 15.2% 1.10 −7.25

4th–6th fav 90 3 3.3% 0.54 −54.00

7th+ in betting 95 3 3.2% 0.76 −20.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Go Charlie (GB) 13 1 4 12 Aug 16

Pyla (IRE) 9 1 2 13 Sep 16

Shan Dun Na Ngall (IRE) 8 2 3 11 Jul 18

Blessed To Empress (IRE) 7 2 2 25 Jun 18

Frenzified (GB) 6 2 3 30 Aug 15

Let's Sway (GB) 5 0 0 24 Jun 17

Whaleweigh Station (GB) 5 0 1 13 Jul 16

Matilda Gleam (GB) 5 0 0 9 Mar 16

Entertaining Ben (GB) 4 0 1 4 Jul 18

See You Mush (GB) 4 0 0 29 Sep 16

Rat Catcher (IRE) 4 0 1 3 Jun 16

Kilim (GB) 4 0 0 27 May 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 106 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00077371000030

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLuca Cumani

27% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.58

TrainerRWSR£1

Luca Cumani 60 4 6.7% −31.75

Amy Murphy 56 4 7.1% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£79,412

Prize money

2015

Best season · 6 wins

Frenzified (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Fillies' Handicap Salisbury · Aug 2015 · Class 4

£7,763

Blessed To Empress (IRE) — totepoolliveinfo.com Visit For Racing Results Fillies' Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) Chelmsford City (AW) · May 2017 · Class 5

£4,528

Blessed To Empress (IRE) — Totescoop6 Rollover This Saturday Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · May 2018 · Class 6

£3,429

Notable horses

Shan Dun Na Ngall (IRE) Blessed To Empress (IRE) Frenzified (GB) Go Charlie (GB) Pyla (IRE) Zebelini (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Myboycharlie (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,299 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.

Arabian Gleam (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 7.6% of 524 runs since 2008 (39 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 237.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,784 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Pivotal (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Zamindar (USA) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,522 runs since 2008 (359 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 164.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 226 · newest first

The latest 50 of 226 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 April 2014 to 11 July 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Jul 18 Lingfield Shan Dun Na Ngall (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Tu Fund Managers Limited HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 22/1

07 Jul 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Precious Silk (IRE)T: Jose Santos Racing Welfare Staff Week HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 20/1

07 Jul 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Formiga (IRE)T: Jose Santos Double Delight Hat-Trick Heaven At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 4th 10/1

07 Jul 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Executive Force (GB)T: Michael Wigham Bet In Play At totesport.com HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 33/1

04 Jul 18 Bath Entertaining Ben (GB)T: Amy Murphy 188Bet Mobile Bet 10 Get 20 HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 8 ran 6th 4/1

25 Jun 18 Windsor Blessed To Empress (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Sky Bet Best Odds Guaranteed Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 16/1

23 Jun 18 Newmarket Really Super (GB)T: Amy Murphy 188bet Royal Ascot Specials HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 15/2

22 Jun 18 Wetherby Islay Mist (GB)T: Amy Murphy Trevor Ward Better Dad Than Frankel EBF Novice Median Auction StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 25/1

22 Jun 18 Redcar Approaching Menace (GB)T: Amy Murphy Best Flat Races Live On Racing UK 'Confined' Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 200/1

21 Jun 18 Lingfield (AW) Shes Queen (IRE)T: Amy Murphy 188bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 20/1

21 Jun 18 Lingfield (AW) Entertaining Ben (GB)T: Amy Murphy Argentina V Croatia Betting At 188bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 8/1

15 Jun 18 York Mazeo Lad (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Skf Rous Selling StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 11th 8/1

14 Jun 18 Nottingham Blessed To Empress (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Doom Bar Summer HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Firm · 15 ran 5th 14/1

13 Jun 18 Yarmouth Carnival King (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Janet Tooke Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 11/1

12 Jun 18 Lingfield Really Super (GB)T: Amy Murphy Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 12/1

31 May 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Shan Dun Na Ngall (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Ccr Ladies Day 21st June HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

31 May 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Associate Rock (IRE)T: Amy Murphy 20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

28 May 18 Chelmsford City (AW) Islay Mist (GB)T: Amy Murphy Bet Toteplacepot At Totesport.com Novice Median Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 25/1

24 May 18 Lingfield Entertaining Ben (GB)T: Amy Murphy Menzies Distribution HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 33/1

23 May 18 Yarmouth Shan Dun Na Ngall (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Seadell Chalets Of Hemsby HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lemos de Souza's strike rate?: Lemos de Souza has won 13 of 226 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lemos de Souza do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lemos de Souza ride most for?: Luca Cumani, with 60 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.7%).
What is Lemos de Souza's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 221 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.