Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%+0.0
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%+0.0
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Flat races0% vs 0% · n=79 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good2600%−26.00
Standard (AW)2200%−22.00
Soft1800%−18.00
Heavy700%−7.00
Good to Soft400%−4.00
Good to Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)2200%−22.00
Curragh1000%−10.00
Naas1000%−10.00
Navan600%−6.00
Gowran Park500%−5.00
Listowel500%−5.00
Cork400%−4.00
Bellewstown400%−4.00
Tipperary300%−3.00
Fairyhouse200%−2.00
Leopardstown200%−2.00
Limerick200%−2.00
Roscommon200%−2.00
Sligo200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav900%0.00−9.00
7th+ in betting6500%0.00−65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f3600%−36.00
1m – 1m1f1900%−19.00
1m2f – 1m4f1100%−11.00
Under 6f800%−8.00
1m5f – 2m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20226800%−68.00
20231100%−11.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4100%−41.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2400%−24.00
11-13 runners2300%−23.00
17+ runners1900%−19.00
8-10 runners1100%−11.00
5-7 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 48 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000··0··
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Princesse Mathilde (GB) — BoyleSports Irish EBF Ulster Oaks Fillies Handicap Down Royal · Jun 2021
£18,585
Major Reward (IRE) — Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Maiden (Plus 10) Dundalk (AW) · Sep 2018
£12,320
Curly Girl (IRE) — Win Big With Tote Handicap Leopardstown · Oct 2018
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Epaulette (AUS)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Exceed and Excel (AUS)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 949 · newest first
The latest 50 of 949 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2007 to 6 May 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mark Gallagher's strike rate?
Mark Gallagher has won 0 of 79 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mark Gallagher's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 79 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mark Gallagher·SR 0%·A/E 0.00
KTB
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