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Trainer profile

T M Walsh

344 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
39–344
Wins / Runs
11.3%
Strike rate
n=344
108 (31%)
Placed
1.19
Fair A/E
n=344 · 0.96 incl. margin
−34.93
£1 level stake
n=344 at SP · −10.2%
£1.05m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.19).

Deterministic profile computed from 344 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 12% 31.6% when favourite Shane O'Callaghan: 8.6% from 93 Claiming riders: 12.4% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (16.9%, n=59), clear of the yard's 11.3% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (5.1% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.3% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.90). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 12.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +46.46 to a £1 stake over 145 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Shane O'Callaghan rides 27% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.6% vs 11.3%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (20%, n=50) and over 1m5f – 2m (17.5%, n=80). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.3% over 44 runners, 9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.65 across 73 runners (5.5% strike, −44.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2012, £106,800). The stable star of the record: Foxrock (IRE) — 9 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12%+0.7
n=83 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −7.19
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+2.0
n=15 · A/E 2.06 · £1 +19.00
When favourite
31.6%
n=38 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −0.76
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.4%+1.1
n=145 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +46.46
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.3%−4.0
n=41 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −23.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 2.3% vs 11.3% · n=44
On Heavy going 20% vs 11.3% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 17.5% vs 11.3% · n=80
On Good going 5.5% vs 11.3% · n=73
At Punchestown 16.9% vs 11.3% · n=59
At Naas 5.1% vs 11.3% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 121 8 6.6% −31.54
Hurdle 119 18 15.1% −0.89
Chase 92 10 10.9% −11.17
NH Flat 12 3 25% +8.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 134 15 11.2% −18.75
Good 73 4 5.5% −44.62
Heavy 50 10 20% +11.23
Good to Soft 43 6 14% +4.63
Standard (AW) 41 3 7.3% +7.58
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 59 10 16.9% +18.88
Naas 39 2 5.1% −30.75
Leopardstown 36 4 11.1% −13.00
Dundalk (AW) 35 3 8.6% +13.58
Fairyhouse 30 5 16.7% −3.27
Tramore 18 4 22.2% +8.50
Curragh 17 0 0% −17.00
Navan 15 3 20% +6.75
Kilbeggan 12 1 8.3% +11.00
Cork 9 1 11.1% −4.67
Bellewstown 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 6 2 33.3% +9.88
Laytown (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% −4.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 44 3 6.8% −26.25
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 15 33.3% 1.34 +0.74
2nd–3rd fav 61 8 13.1% 0.88 −12.17
4th–6th fav 106 13 12.3% 1.69 +23.50
7th+ in betting 132 3 2.3% 0.62 −47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ferrybank (GB) 39 3 11 6 Jun 26
Gaoth Chuil (IRE) 35 7 19 21 Aug 26
Ta Na La (USA) 25 1 10 25 Aug 25
Hardwired (IRE) 24 5 8 3 Mar 26
Indulging (GB)then Ross O'Sullivan 24 0 3 7 Mar 25
Adrienne (IRE) 23 2 7 24 Sep 26
Be Fierce (IRE) 20 3 4 30 Jun 26
Buachaillbocht (GB) 20 4 8 6 Apr 26
Friary Road (IRE) 17 3 5 2 Sep 26
Any Second Now (IRE) 15 2 6 21 Apr 25
Sakakawea (IRE) 14 1 4 27 Mar 26
Pictures Of Home (GB) 13 1 1 12 Jan 26
All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 26 had their first archived run here.

1 has since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
14713146171157131413
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane O'Callaghan
27% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Shane O'Callaghan 93 8 8.6% −49.79
Mark Walsh 44 7 15.9% −19.27
W J Lee 30 4 13.3% −5.42
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
180
Archived wins
20
Pattern / graded wins
£4.02m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Colbert Station (IRE) — Paddy Power Chase (0-145) (Grade B Handicap) Leopardstown · Dec 2012 · Grade B
£106,800
Jack High (IRE) — Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Sandown · Apr 2005 · Class 1
£87,000
Foxrock (IRE) — Boylesports Handicap Chase (grade A) Leopardstown · Jan 2015 · Grade A
£60,000
Notable horses
Foxrock (IRE) Any Second Now (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE) Seabass (IRE) Collingwood (IRE) Southern Vic (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cable Bay (IRE) 4.8% · 3–63
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Fame And Glory (GB) 18.2% · 8–44
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Harzand (IRE) 20% · 7–35
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,092 runs since 2008 (139 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.5% from 242. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Blue Bresil (FR) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,490 runs since 2008 (454 horses).
Carpe Diem (USA) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 7.6% of 66 runs since 2008 (3 horses).
Kodi Bear (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,937 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,865 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,865 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 10 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 50/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Adrienne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 18/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 100/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Adrienne (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap9f · Good · 14 ran 13th 14/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Friary Road (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 14/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 8/1
21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap14.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 12/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap16.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 13th 11/2
23 Jul 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Friary Road (IRE)J: Sam Coen Turkish Jockey Club Handicap15f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 13/2
14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Rose Hotel Handicap17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 15/8F
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Friary Road (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Hurling For Cancer Research Supported By Centra On July 24th (Q.R.) Race15f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1
30 Jun 26 Wexford Be Fierce (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Tintern Trails Handicap Chase16f · Good · 13 ran PU 18/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan BOYLE Sports Squad Builder (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 1st 7/1
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Are You There (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 10/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Ferrybank (GB)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran PU 80/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Be Fierce (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'That's Ladisfaction' Handicap Chase16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 14/1
29 May 26 Tramore Be Fierce (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Walsh King Accountants Handicap Chase15.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1
19 May 26 Cork Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Colin Keane Mallow Fillies Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 9th 20/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Shuffle The Deck (IRE)J: Mark Walsh QuinnBet Novice Handicap Chase (Listed)20f · Yielding · 22 ran 6th 9/4F
30 Apr 26 Punchestown Adrienne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Close Brothers Irish EBF Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed)16.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 1st 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T M Walsh's strike rate?
T M Walsh has won 39 of 344 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T M Walsh do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 10 wins from 59 runners (16.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for T M Walsh?
Shane O'Callaghan, with 93 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.6%).
Is T M Walsh in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is T M Walsh's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 344 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).