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Trainer profile

Charles Weld

162 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 94% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
7–162
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=162
29 (18%)
Placed
0.91
n=162 · 0.69 incl. margin
−91.50
£1 level stake
n=162 at SP · −56.5%
£95,117
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 162 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance N G McCullagh: 4.2% from 72 Claiming riders: 6.4%
The read

It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 40 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). N G McCullagh rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 44 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
5.6%+1.3
n=18 · A/E 2.62 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.4%+2.1
n=47 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −32.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.3% · n=44
At Curragh 0% vs 4.3% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 7% vs 4.3% · n=57
With claiming riders up 6.4% vs 4.3% · n=47
With a new jockey booking 3.1% vs 4.3% · n=65 · A/E 0.77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 152 6 3.9% −94.50
NH Flat 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 49 3 6.1% −12.50
Good 46 2 4.3% −28.00
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Heavy 21 1 4.8% −10.00
Good to Soft 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 40 0 0% −40.00
Dundalk (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Navan 20 5 25% +24.50
Leopardstown 17 1 5.9% −6.00
Cork 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 1.43 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 16 1 6.3% 0.52 −11.00
4th–6th fav 33 1 3% 0.48 −20.00
7th+ in betting 105 3 2.9% 1.28 −62.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rosato (IRE) 30 4 9 18 Oct 26
Morse (IRE) 20 1 4 15 Oct 26
Verified (IRE)then Gerard Keane 19 0 4 2 Nov 25
Hialeah (IRE)then Sheena West 14 0 1 31 Jan 25
Millhone (IRE) 11 1 5 5 Sep 26
Smooth (GB) 10 0 0 18 Jun 26
Dawson Street (IRE) 7 0 0 1 Jun 26
Fenomeno (IRE) 7 0 3 22 Apr 23
Twinkling Toes (IRE) 6 0 1 13 Jul 25
Discussion (IRE) 5 0 1 25 Sep 26
Valjean (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Aug 26
Gardone (IRE)then E McNamara 5 0 0 18 Oct 23
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00017008061000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderN G McCullagh
44% of all rides
4.2% SR · A/E 1.06
RiderRWSR£1
N G McCullagh 72 3 4.2% −29.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
7
Archived wins
£97,997
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Morse (IRE) — Legacy Wine Bar Handicap (50-85) Leopardstown · Apr 2024
£8,850
Rosato (IRE) — NFP Handicap Naas · Jul 2025
£7,670
Double Helix (IRE) — BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race Navan (IRE) · Sep 2026
£6,601

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Raven's Pass (USA) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,933 runs since 2008 (453 horses).
Progeny have won 8.4% of 736 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.5% from 165.
Camacho (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,319 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (411 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,514 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.
Ghaiyyath (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,101 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19% from 305. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 12.2% from 287.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 174 · newest first

The latest 50 of 174 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 July 2021 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Morse (IRE)J: Jack Cleary DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 17th 20/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Imply (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 5th 500/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charles Weld's strike rate?
Charles Weld has won 7 of 162 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charles Weld do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 0 wins from 40 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charles Weld?
N G McCullagh, with 72 runners since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.2%).
Is Charles Weld in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Charles Weld's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 162 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).