What is Mick Kinane's strike rate?

Mick Kinane has won 100 of 610 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mick Kinane do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 83 rides (19.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mick Kinane ride most for?

John M Oxx, with 407 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 87 (21.4%).

What is Mick Kinane's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 610 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mick Kinane

610 rides in the lifetime window · 282 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2013 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

100–610

Wins / Runs

16.4%

Strike rate

n=610

243 (40%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=610 · 0.80 incl. margin

−128.26

£1 level stake

n=610 at SP · −21.0%

£9.29m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (128 runs). Rode mostly for John M Oxx — 67% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 610 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Oct Fresh horses: 18.8% 32.4% when favourite John M Oxx: 21.4% from 407 LTO winners: 18.6% Rode the favourite in 24% of races

The read

It is weakest at Curragh (12.4% over 129 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 11% (n=236, Fair A/E 0.91). John M Oxx supplied 67% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.4% vs 16.4%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Heavy going (21.1%, n=95) and over 1m5f – 2m (22.2%, n=36). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 10.4% over 67 rides, 6pts below the baseline. 90 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2009, £2,219,029). The standout partner of the record was Sea The Stars (IRE) — 8 wins from 9 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11%−5.4

n=236 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −73.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.6%+2.2

n=118 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −31.74

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

18.8%+2.4

n=128 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −7.85

When favourite

32.4%

n=145 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −37.51

Big fields · 14+ runners

12.4%−4.0

n=314 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −42.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.7%−0.7

n=159 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −61.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With John M Oxx 21.4% vs 16.4% · n=407

On first rides for the horse 11% vs 16.4% · n=236

On Good to Soft going 10.4% vs 16.4% · n=67

On Heavy going 21.1% vs 16.4% · n=95

Over 1m5f – 2m 22.2% vs 16.4% · n=36

At Curragh 12.4% vs 16.4% · n=129

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 148 27 18.2% −31.08

Good 108 14 13% −42.47

Heavy 95 20 21.1% +4.53

Good to Firm 93 14 15.1% −13.25

Standard (AW) 84 16 19% −18.26

Good to Soft 67 7 10.4% −27.23

Firm 15 2 13.3% −0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 129 16 12.4% −45.62

Leopardstown 104 19 18.3% +21.50

Dundalk (AW) 83 16 19.3% −17.26

Gowran Park 55 10 18.2% −21.57

Naas 28 6 21.4% +16.62

Fairyhouse 27 7 25.9% −11.08

Navan 25 4 16% +1.40

Cork 24 1 4.2% −14.00

Ascot 21 0 0% −21.00

Galway 19 2 10.5% −12.25

Roscommon 19 2 10.5% −9.90

Doncaster 13 1 7.7% −7.00

Tipperary 13 6 46.2% +8.18

York 9 2 22.2% −3.75

Longchamp (FR) 8 2 25% −0.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 159 25 15.7% −61.55

Class 2 24 0 0% −24.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 166 49 29.5% 1.00 −49.01

2nd–3rd fav 214 31 14.5% 0.96 −66.75

4th–6th fav 146 15 10.3% 1.24 −3.50

7th+ in betting 84 5 6% 1.51 −9.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Aliyfa (IRE) 9 2 5 11 Oct 09

Sea The Stars (IRE) 9 8 8 4 Oct 09

Alandi (IRE) 8 5 7 4 Oct 09

Lord Admiral (USA) 8 0 2 2 Oct 09

Katiyra (IRE) 8 2 5 1 Aug 09

Erdiyna (IRE) 7 2 2 5 Nov 09

Aspectoflove (IRE) 7 3 5 5 Sep 09

Mourayan (IRE) 7 2 6 13 Aug 09

Alarazi (IRE) 7 0 5 13 Sep 08

Alaiyma (IRE) 6 2 3 17 Oct 09

Tanoura (IRE) 6 2 3 3 Oct 09

Bean Uasal (IRE) 6 1 2 27 Sep 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 282 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

··18171511112018182633

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn M Oxx

67% of all rides
21.4% SR · A/E 1.13

TrainerRWSR£1

John M Oxx 407 87 21.4% −33.51

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

282

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£18.5m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 68 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sea The Stars (IRE) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Colts & Fillies) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2009 · Group 1

£2,219,029

Minor Vamp (IRE) — Parknasilla Hotel Goffs (Fillies) Million Stakes Curragh · Sep 2008

£985,000

Sea The Stars (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2009 · Group 1

£709,625

Notable horses

Sea The Stars (IRE) Alandi (IRE) Kastoria (IRE) Danak (IRE) Katiyra (IRE) Arch Swing (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dalakhani (IRE) 19.1% · 9–47

Progeny have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since 2008 (497 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.

Galileo (IRE) 33.3% · 8–24

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,195 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Daylami (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Indian Ridge (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).

Sadler's Wells (USA) 25% · 5–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,740 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,740 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 17 August 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Aug 13 Deauville (FR) Tonia Bere (FR)T: D & P Prod'Homme Prix des Legendes (Conditions) (4yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 3/1F

12 Sep 12 Doncaster Patriotic (IRE)T: Chris Dwyer Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 1st 5/1F

05 Nov 09 Leopardstown Erdiyna (IRE)T: John M Oxx Ravens Rock Handicap12f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 6/1J

05 Nov 09 Leopardstown What A Charm (IRE)T: John M Oxx Royal College Of Surgeons & A.I.B. Race Against Breast Cancer Eyrefield Stakes (Listed)9f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

05 Nov 09 Leopardstown Rayeni (IRE)T: John M Oxx Knockaire Stakes (Listed)7f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 4/6F

05 Nov 09 Leopardstown Nebula Storm (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (C & G) Maiden7f · Heavy · 16 ran 1st 9/1

05 Nov 09 Leopardstown Karasiyra (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden7f · Heavy · 18 ran 1st 10/11F

30 Oct 09 Dundalk (AW) Masela (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1

26 Oct 09 Leopardstown Haralan (IRE)T: John M Oxx Jockey Club Of Turkey Trigo Stakes (Listed)10f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 6/1

26 Oct 09 Leopardstown Kenton Street (GB)T: Michael J Browne Irish Blue Cross Handicap (50-70)8f · Yielding · 19 ran 8th 14/1

26 Oct 09 Leopardstown Aliwiyya (IRE)T: John M Oxx Horse Racing Ireland Pensioners Nursery (50-70)7f · Yielding · 18 ran 16th 10/1

26 Oct 09 Leopardstown Majestic Falcon (IRE)T: John M Oxx J.r.a. Killavullan Stakes (group 3)7f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

26 Oct 09 Leopardstown O' Bella Ballerina (USA)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 18 ran 7th 7/1

21 Oct 09 Navan Sindiyma (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 18 ran 3rd 7/1

21 Oct 09 Navan Akinndi (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Maiden8f · Yielding · 18 ran 5th 3/1

18 Oct 09 Naas Erdiyna (IRE)T: John M Oxx Naas October Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 1st 22/1

18 Oct 09 Naas Zaralanta (IRE)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Garnet Stakes (Listed)8f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 8th 13/2

18 Oct 09 Naas Smart Striking (USA)T: John M Oxx Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Fillies Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 6th 6/1

17 Oct 09 Cork Rocky Elsom (USA)T: John M Oxx Coolmore Strategic Prince E.B.F Maiden7f · Good · 18 ran 9th 7/1

17 Oct 09 Cork Phantasy Rock (IRE)T: W P Mullins Ballyclough Maiden8.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mick Kinane's strike rate?: Mick Kinane has won 100 of 610 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mick Kinane do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 83 rides (19.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mick Kinane ride most for?: John M Oxx, with 407 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 87 (21.4%).
What is Mick Kinane's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 610 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.