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Jockey profile

Mikkel Mortensen

296 rides in the last 5 seasons · 123 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
20–296
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=296
68 (23%)
Placed
0.78
n=291 · 0.72 incl. margin
−144.30
£1 level stake
n=296 at SP · −48.8%
£210k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78). Rides mostly for Scott Dixon — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 296 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Scott Dixon: 5.9% from 153 Claiming: 7.2%
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 46 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.45 and −101.13 to a £1 stake over 123 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Scott Dixon supplies 52% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.70). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (22%, n=41) and off a 31-60-day break (14%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 3.2% over 187 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.1%−2.7
n=123 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −101.13
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.7%+1.9
n=23 · A/E 0.63 · £1 +1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−6.8
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
When favourite
13.3%
n=15 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −10.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.2%+0.4
n=277 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −125.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−6.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 22% vs 6.8% · n=41
Off a 31-60-day break 14% vs 6.8% · n=43
At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 6.8% · n=46
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.5% vs 6.8% · n=40
On Standard (AW) going 3.2% vs 6.8% · n=187
With C&D winners 11.1% vs 6.8% · n=72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 187 6 3.2% −126.38
Good to Firm 41 9 22% +17.58
Good 26 2 7.7% −13.50
Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −12.50
Soft 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Heavy 5 1 20% −0.50
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 61 2 3.3% −47.38
Southwell (AW) 46 0 0% −46.00
Newcastle (AW) 37 2 5.4% −7.00
Yarmouth 19 4 21.1% +13.50
Brighton 18 4 22.2% +9.00
Lingfield (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Chelmsford (AW) 15 2 13.3% +2.00
Kempton (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Doncaster 10 1 10% −0.50
Bath 8 0 0% −8.00
Lingfield 6 2 33.3% +4.00
Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 173 12 6.9% −87.38
Class 5 76 4 5.3% −48.67
Class 4 40 3 7.5% −16.25
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 3 1 33.3% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 3 16.7% 0.42 −9.05
2nd–3rd fav 46 7 15.2% 0.81 −8.75
4th–6th fav 77 7 9.1% 1.08 −12.50
7th+ in betting 155 3 1.9% 0.65 −114.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shaw Park (IRE) 10 3 6 8 Oct 26
Pop Favorite (GB) 10 1 3 4 Feb 26
Harbour Vision (GB) 9 0 0 20 Feb 26
Victory House (IRE) 9 0 0 30 Sep 23
Superstorm (GB) 8 1 2 28 Sep 26
Phoenix Beach (IRE) 8 1 2 6 Feb 26
Power of Darkness (GB) 8 1 4 8 Dec 23
Scylla (GB) 7 1 1 4 Nov 24
Coast (GB) 6 1 2 22 May 26
Wynter Wildes (GB) 6 3 4 23 Apr 24
Thanks Dad (GB) 5 1 1 7 Nov 26
Create (IRE) 5 0 0 16 May 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 123 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0065018121410600
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardScott Dixon
52% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.70
TrainerRWSR£1
Scott Dixon 153 9 5.9% −74.00
Charlie Fellowes 85 9 10.6% −24.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
20
Archived wins
£210k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 7 wins
Wynter Wildes (GB) — British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Yarmouth · Sep 2023 · Class 4
£8,505
Wynter Wildes (GB) — Above Newcastle Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jul 2023 · Class 3
£8,208
Wynter Wildes (GB) — Jewson Tool Hire Apprentice Handicap Haydock · Jun 2023 · Class 4
£6,543

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Aclaim (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.
Kodiac (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Mehmas (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,241 runs since 2020 (755 horses).
Ulysses (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,003 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,487 runs since 2013 (557 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 296 · newest first

The latest 50 of 296 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 September 2022 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Sep 26 York Canvas (GB)T: Scott Dixon Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 12 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 12 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mikkel Mortensen's strike rate?
Mikkel Mortensen has won 20 of 296 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mikkel Mortensen do best at?
Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mikkel Mortensen ride most for?
Scott Dixon, with 153 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.9%).
Is Mikkel Mortensen in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mikkel Mortensen's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 291 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).