What is Mme Lea Bails's strike rate?

Mme Lea Bails has won 81 of 1,097 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme Lea Bails do best at?

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 59 rides (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mme Lea Bails ride most for?

S Gouyette, with 135 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.7%).

Is Mme Lea Bails in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mme Lea Bails's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 1,090 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mme Lea Bails

1,097 rides in the lifetime window · 558 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

81–1,097

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=1,097

261 (24%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=1,090 · 0.95 incl. margin

−132.35

£1 level stake

n=1,092 at SP · −12.1%

£1.59m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,097 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 25.9% when favourite S Gouyette: 6.7% from 135 First rides: 7.5% Claiming: 8.1% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −166.85 to a £1 stake over 323 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. S Gouyette supplies 12% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (14.2%, n=120) and on Heavy going (12.8%, n=78).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%+0.1

n=558 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −24.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

8.3%+0.9

n=60 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −37.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.6%−2.8

n=323 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −166.85

When favourite

25.9%

n=58 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −9.85

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.7

n=919 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −44.65

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.4%−1.0

n=640 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −14.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.4

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Andrea Marcialis 19.5% vs 7.4% · n=77

On Good going 14.2% vs 7.4% · n=120

With C Plisson 15.2% vs 7.4% · n=33

On Heavy going 12.8% vs 7.4% · n=78

With Robert Collet 1.8% vs 7.4% · n=56

With debutants 2.4% vs 7.4% · n=84

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,093 81 7.4% −128.35

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 507 31 6.1% −47.30

Good to Soft 201 13 6.5% −88.80

Soft 187 10 5.3% −75.60

Good 120 17 14.2% +98.15

Heavy 78 10 12.8% −14.80

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 354 28 7.9% +67.95

Deauville (FR) 276 17 6.2% −101.50

Saint-Cloud 162 11 6.8% −34.10

Longchamp (FR) 155 11 7.1% −41.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 59 6 10.2% +17.60

Dieppe (FR) 14 2 14.3% −3.30

Clairefontaine (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Compiegne 12 1 8.3% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 7 1 14.3% −1.20

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 7 1 14.3% −0.80

Le Touquet (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Le Mans (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Amiens (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Auteuil (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Vittel (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 24 1 4.2% −19.50

Class 3 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 63 16 25.4% 1.06 −8.35

2nd–3rd fav 133 23 17.3% 1.23 +1.40

4th–6th fav 210 21 10% 1.27 −29.00

7th+ in betting 686 21 3.1% 1.03 −96.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Zygfryd (FR) 27 1 6 26 Sep 24

Saam (FR) 26 3 10 1 Sep 24

Black Cess (FR) 22 1 6 5 Sep 24

Namar (IRE) 14 1 2 26 Apr 24

Zhivago (IRE) 12 1 3 21 Dec 23

Dare (GB) 12 1 4 17 Nov 22

Topy'sim (FR) 10 2 5 20 Aug 26

Got Frost (FR) 10 0 2 26 Aug 25

Fayona (FR) 10 0 1 10 Aug 24

Sijoux (IRE) 9 1 2 14 Oct 26

Armorigene (FR) 9 1 4 6 Jun 24

Siete Misterios (IRE) 8 1 1 7 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 558 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

37118814595578

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardS Gouyette

12% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 1.29

TrainerRWSR£1

S Gouyette 135 9 6.7% +129.90

Andrea Marcialis 77 15 19.5% −12.70

Mme M Bollack-Badel 59 4 6.8% −13.30

Robert Collet 56 1 1.8% −46.70

N Guilbert 44 4 9.1% −16.40

Rod Collet 41 4 9.8% −23.80

Mme R Bouckhuyt 39 3 7.7% +30.90

J-M Beguigne 36 4 11.1% −1.60

C Plisson 33 5 15.2% +41.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£1.59m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 18 wins

Topy'sim (FR) — Prix de l'Hotel Carnavalet - Grand Prix des Femmes Jockeys (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jun 2026

£22,130

Saam (FR) — Prix du Haras de Jardy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jun 2022

£21,008

Chipiron (FR) — Prix du Jardin Anglo-Chinois (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Aug 2019

£18,018

Notable horses

Saam (FR) Topy'sim (FR) Welcome Sight (GB) Song Of Life (GB) Kiunguja (FR) Gran Pierino (ITY)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kendargent (FR) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,248 runs since 2011 (573 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 255.

Dabirsim (FR) 2.6% · 1–38

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,173 runs since 2017 (444 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 258. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.

Literato (FR) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,066 runs since 2012 (128 horses).

Siyouni (FR) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 13% of 8,373 runs since 2014 (977 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 461.

Bated Breath (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,185 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 13% of 5,700 runs since 2015 (782 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,097 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,097 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 November 2013 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Zaralady (FR)T: J-C Bertin Prix De L'epars14f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Siete Misterios (IRE)T: S Gouyette Prix De L'operation SpringClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 10/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Maitre D'armes (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Berd'huisClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Mauricia (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix Du Domaine De Valgenceuse8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 5/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Kapkan (FR)T: J-M Beguigne Prix De L'Abbaye De La Victoire8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 6/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Pearl Harbour (FR)T: E M Verheij Prix Miguel Et Christophe Clement12.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Golden Beach (GB)T: Davide Satalia Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Not So Silly (FR)T: D De Waele Prix D'essayClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Simancas (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Jean MenandClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 8/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Acatana (FR)T: J Parize Prix Du Conseil DepartementalClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) My Eden James (FR)T: S Gouyette Prix De La Baie Des SablesClass 4 · 13.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 14th 14/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Newyork Wood (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Claude Rouget13.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 7th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Hermano (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Px Merci Aux Pro Des Courses Venus A Clairefontaine (Px Des Astrances)14.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Siete Misterios (IRE)T: S Gouyette Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 6/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Windburn (FR)T: Gavin Hernon Prix Des MyosotisClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 6/4F

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Mauricia (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix Du Chene Du Coup De Foudre9f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sijoux (IRE)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 8/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Maitre D'armes (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Miromesnil12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 17/2

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Honguemare (FR)T: Mme Caroline Bertin Prix De Pre-saint-gervais12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 7/1

11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Hermano (FR)T: Nicolas Guilbert Prix Du Journal "Paris Turf"Class 4 · 12.5f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Lea Bails's strike rate?: Mme Lea Bails has won 81 of 1,097 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Lea Bails do best at?: Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 59 rides (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mme Lea Bails ride most for?: S Gouyette, with 135 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.7%).
Is Mme Lea Bails in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Lea Bails's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 1,090 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.