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Trainer profile

Andrea Marcialis

683 runners in the lifetime window · 149 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2020 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
84–683
Wins / Runs
12.3%
Strike rate
n=683
251 (37%)
Placed
0.92
n=678 · 0.77 incl. margin
−130.20
£1 level stake
n=682 at SP · −19.1%
£2.43m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (126 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 683 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.3% 31% when favourite Cristian Demuro: 8.6% from 116 Claiming riders: 13.8% Sent off the favourite in 15% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.65). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 14.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +26.40 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Cristian Demuro rode 17% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.6% vs 12.3%, A/E 0.75). The yard also read well on Soft going (16.7%, n=120). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Jun 2020, £130,647).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+2.0
n=126 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +26.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
11%−1.3
n=73 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −2.90
Debutants · first career start
6.4%−5.9
n=78 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −16.20
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.9%−6.4
n=34 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −26.10
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
15.4%+3.1
n=13 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −2.20
When favourite
31%
n=100 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −10.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.8%+1.5
n=232 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −15.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.2%−3.1
n=76 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −39.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mlle Lea Bails 19.5% vs 12.3% · n=77
With Mickael Barzalona 19.6% vs 12.3% · n=51
With debutants 6.4% vs 12.3% · n=78
With first-time headgear 5.9% vs 12.3% · n=34
On Soft going 16.7% vs 12.3% · n=120
With Pierre-Charles Boudot 16.4% vs 12.3% · n=73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 681 84 12.3% −128.20
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 212 26 12.3% −36.60
Good to Soft 148 14 9.5% −59.50
Soft 120 20 16.7% −11.10
Heavy 102 12 11.8% +3.80
Good 99 12 12.1% −24.80
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 212 25 11.8% −37.60
Deauville (FR) 171 21 12.3% −36.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 88 11 12.5% −25.60
Longchamp (FR) 75 9 12% +2.60
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 43 5 11.6% −11.90
Dieppe (FR) 24 3 12.5% −10.90
Vichy (FR) 18 3 16.7% −9.50
Lyon Parilly (FR) 11 2 18.2% −7.80
Clairefontaine 10 1 10% −7.30
Fontainebleau 7 1 14.3% +23.00
Compiegne 6 0 0% −6.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Moulins (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Argentan (FR) 2 1 50% +0.70
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 76 7 9.2% −39.80
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 102 31 30.4% 1.02 −12.90
2nd–3rd fav 205 31 15.1% 0.93 −44.70
4th–6th fav 233 14 6% 0.67 −91.70
7th+ in betting 142 7 4.9% 1.33 +19.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Leonio (FR)from Antonio Marcialis · then Mme Doris Schoenherr 22 2 5 12 Nov 20
Checkpoint Charlie (IRE)from Antonio Marcialis · then L Rovisse 21 1 12 27 Dec 20
Song Of Life (GB)from Antonio Marcialis · then S Cerulis 18 4 10 25 Feb 20
Way To Paris (GB)from Antonio Marcialis 15 3 7 4 Oct 20
Capla Gilda (GB)from Archie Watson · then J-M Lefebvre 15 4 10 18 Aug 20
Anobar (FR)then A & G Botti 14 0 9 28 Dec 20
Jolie (FR)from D Guillemin 14 1 4 30 Nov 20
Chipiron (FR)from Y Barberot · then Ivan Furtado 14 3 5 11 Sep 20
Eagleway (FR)then Ivan Furtado 14 2 7 11 Aug 20
Anfrati (IRE) 13 1 6 18 Nov 20
Gran Pierino (ITY)from Antonio Marcialis 13 3 6 15 Oct 19
Admiral Thrawn (IRE)then E Lyon 13 1 4 5 Jul 19
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 149 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Antonio Marcialis (7) and A Giorgi (4); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

42 have since run for another yard, most often for F Rossi (4) and F Vermeulen (3); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
35714191671411126919
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCristian Demuro
17% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 0.75
RiderRWSR£1
Cristian Demuro 116 10 8.6% −53.40
Mlle Lea Bails 77 15 19.5% −12.70
Pierre-Charles Boudot 73 12 16.4% −12.90
Mlle Aude Duporte 53 7 13.2% +2.20
Mickael Barzalona 51 10 19.6% +29.30
Maxime Guyon 41 5 12.2% −27.40
Stephane Pasquier 37 4 10.8% −14.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
84
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£2.43m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 40 wins
Way To Paris (GB) — Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jun 2020 · Group 1
£130,647
Way To Paris (GB) — Prix Maurice de Nieuil (4yo+) (Grande Course: 1st Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2019 · Group 2
£66,757
Way To Paris (GB) — Grand Prix de Chantilly (4yo+) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · May 2020 · Group 2
£48,885

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Myboycharlie (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,301 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Rio De La Plata (USA) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 10.4% of 1,516 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 252.
Wootton Bassett (GB) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 13% of 5,664 runs since 2008 (789 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.
Foxwedge (AUS) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Due Diligence (USA) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (193 horses).
Sakhee's Secret (GB) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 683 · newest first

The latest 50 of 683 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2018 to 28 December 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrea Marcialis's strike rate?
Andrea Marcialis has won 84 of 683 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrea Marcialis do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 11 wins from 88 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrea Marcialis?
Cristian Demuro, with 116 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.6%).
What is Andrea Marcialis's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 678 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).