No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Rode mostly for Seamus Fahey — 49% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 143 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceSeamus Fahey: 5.7% from 70Claiming: 5.8%
The read
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 0% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.00). Seamus Fahey supplied 49% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (10.3%, n=39) and on Heavy going (10%, n=30). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2008, £108,600). The standout partner of the record was Wheresben (IRE) — 9 wins from 32 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−5.6
n=64 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −64.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+5.5
n=9 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.4%−2.2
n=29 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −2.20
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%+0.2
n=139 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −51.95
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.1%−2.5
n=97 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −41.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+19.4
n=8 · A/E 4.24 · £1 +37.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse0% vs 5.6% · n=64
With debutants0% vs 5.6% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break10.3% vs 5.6% · n=39
On Heavy going10% vs 5.6% · n=30
With horses switching code2.9% vs 5.6% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat7034.3%−38.00
Hurdle4624.3%−41.45
Chase19315.8%+31.50
Flat800%−8.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft6334.8%−6.50
Heavy30310%−13.20
Good2000%−20.00
Good to Soft1100%−11.00
Firm800%−8.00
Good to Firm8225%+5.75
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown2000%−20.00
Limerick1500%−15.00
Kilbeggan1000%−10.00
Cork1000%−10.00
Navan9222.2%+13.00
Naas9222.2%+13.50
Leopardstown8225%+30.00
Fairyhouse800%−8.00
Down Royal500%−5.00
Thurles500%−5.00
Clonmel500%−5.00
Listowel500%−5.00
Galway4125%−1.25
Gowran Park400%−4.00
Sligo4125%−2.20
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 18225%+37.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.74−4.20
2nd–3rd fav16318.8%1.31−3.75
4th–6th fav2414.2%0.67−13.00
7th+ in betting9733.1%1.08−35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m7534%−57.25
2m1f – 2m4f4636.5%−21.70
2m5f – 3m20210%+25.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20088644.7%−33.70
20093313%−22.00
20101218.3%−9.25
201112216.7%+9.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2528%+20.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners6323.2%−18.00
14-16 runners3412.9%−23.00
11-13 runners2926.9%−10.20
8-10 runners1516.7%−11.00
5-7 runners22100%+6.25
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0919000012100010
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£300k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Wheresben (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade B
£108,600
Wheresben (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Navan · Mar 2008 · Grade C
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Blue Ocean (USA)15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 7.5% of 253 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Supreme Leader (GB)9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Victory Note (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.8% of 635 runs since 2008 (77 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Lahib (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Revoque (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 266 · newest first
The latest 50 of 266 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2005 to 6 May 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr J A Fahey's strike rate?
Mr J A Fahey has won 8 of 143 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr J A Fahey ride most for?
Seamus Fahey, with 70 rides since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.7%).
What is Mr J A Fahey's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 143 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr J A Fahey·SR 5.6%·A/E 1.01
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