No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
19–404
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=404
64 (16%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=404 · 0.67 incl. margin
−207.52
£1 level stake
n=404 at SP · −51.4%
£247k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).
Deterministic profile computed from 404 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read
Debutants struggle at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −133.25 to a £1 stake over 224 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (8.3%, n=48). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.49 across 132 runners (2.3% strike, −75.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sweet Mimosa Stks at Leopardstown (Jul 2005, £45,570). The stable star of the record was Dane Blue (IRE) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.5%−3.2
n=68 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −53.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+5.3
n=10 · A/E 2.38 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −0.77
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−0.7
n=224 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −133.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With C&D winners9.7% vs 4.7% · n=31
With debutants0% vs 4.7% · n=34
Over 1m2f – 1m4f8.3% vs 4.7% · n=48
With a new jockey booking2.3% vs 4.7% · n=221
Over 1m5f – 2m2.3% vs 4.7% · n=132
Over 1m – 1m1f7.2% vs 4.7% · n=69
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle17774%−104.00
Flat164106.1%−77.77
NH Flat3425.9%+3.25
Chase2900%−29.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft14053.6%−102.02
Good7845.1%−24.00
Heavy7456.8%−1.00
Good to Firm4724.3%−34.00
Good to Soft2913.4%−24.50
Firm1900%−19.00
Standard (AW)17211.8%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park6246.5%−16.50
Clonmel3213.1%−15.00
Wexford26311.5%−7.75
Punchestown2600%−26.00
Thurles2400%−24.00
Kilbeggan2200%−22.00
Tramore1815.6%−3.00
Fairyhouse1815.6%−10.00
Dundalk (AW)17211.8%−3.00
Curragh16212.5%+1.00
Galway1500%−15.00
Roscommon1516.7%−6.00
Naas1500%−15.00
Leopardstown1300%−13.00
Limerick1300%−13.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1900%−9.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite8337.5%1.80+3.23
2nd–3rd fav46715.2%1.08+0.25
4th–6th fav9644.2%0.66−59.00
7th+ in betting25452%0.69−152.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m13232.3%−75.00
2m1f – 2m4f10654.7%−69.75
1m – 1m1f6957.2%−18.50
1m2f – 1m4f4848.3%−21.27
6f – 7f2314.3%−14.00
2m5f – 3m2214.5%−5.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200810465.8%−59.25
20097667.9%−34.27
20106611.5%−61.00
20115523.6%−27.00
20121800%−18.00
20132514%−10.00
2014200%−2.00
20166116.7%+28.00
20171500%−15.00
2018400%−4.00
20191815.6%−7.00
20201218.3%+5.00
2021300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps170137.6%−50.77
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners162106.2%−25.00
17+ runners11721.7%−100.00
11-13 runners6434.7%−41.75
8-10 runners4137.3%−22.50
5-7 runners1915.3%−17.27
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 58 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John M Oxx (3) and Kevin Prendergast (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.
21 have since run for another yard, most often for Eamon Tyrrell (2) and Laurence James Butler (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0863361340270
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.
King's Theatre (IRE)11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Danehill Dancer (IRE)12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Flemensfirth (USA)8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Namid (GB)0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 737 · newest first
The latest 50 of 737 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 1 April 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is S J Treacy's strike rate?
S J Treacy has won 19 of 404 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S J Treacy do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 4 wins from 62 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is S J Treacy's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 404 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
S J Treacy·SR 4.7%·A/E 0.88
KTB
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