No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.48). Rode mostly for Kieran Purcell — 55% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceKieran Purcell: 13.6% from 59
The read
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.81). Kieran Purcell supplied 55% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.6% vs 8.4%, A/E 2.02) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (11.8%, n=34). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.3% over 61 rides, 5.1pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.9%−4.5
n=51 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −40.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
66.7%+58.3
n=6 · A/E 4.76 · £1 +17.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−8.4
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 4.80 · £1 +4.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.4%+0.0
n=107 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −48.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.3%−3.1
n=75 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −45.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Kieran Purcell13.6% vs 8.4% · n=59
Over 1m5f – 2m3.3% vs 8.4% · n=61
With debutants3.1% vs 8.4% · n=32
On first rides for the horse3.9% vs 8.4% · n=51
Over 2m1f – 2m4f11.8% vs 8.4% · n=34
On Soft going10.5% vs 8.4% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat6857.4%−41.00
Hurdle2514%−14.00
Chase7342.9%+13.75
Flat700%−7.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft38410.5%−6.25
Heavy2514%−18.00
Good16212.5%−3.75
Good to Firm13215.4%−5.25
Good to Soft1000%−10.00
Firm500%−5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cork1000%−10.00
Clonmel900%−9.00
Wexford800%−8.00
Punchestown8112.5%+2.00
Limerick700%−7.00
Kilbeggan6116.7%+2.50
Tipperary6233.3%+5.75
Tramore600%−6.00
Gowran Park6233.3%+9.50
Fairyhouse500%−5.00
Roscommon500%−5.00
Bellewstown4125%−0.75
Listowel400%−4.00
Navan400%−4.00
Killarney300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1100%−1.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite22100%4.80+4.50
2nd–3rd fav17423.5%1.88+7.75
4th–6th fav27311.1%1.63+0.50
7th+ in betting6100%0.00−61.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m6123.3%−43.00
2m1f – 2m4f34411.8%−14.00
2m5f – 3m10220%+0.75
Over 3m2150%+8.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082300%−23.00
20093538.6%−14.25
201027518.5%+4.00
20118112.5%−1.00
20121200%−12.00
2013200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1218.3%−2.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners4149.8%−11.75
14-16 runners3400%−34.00
11-13 runners16212.5%−5.25
8-10 runners13215.4%−1.25
5-7 runners3133.3%+4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 57 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0002213208002000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
£155k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Oscar India (IRE) — Coolmore Vinnie Roe Hunters Chase Cork · Apr 2006
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Beat All (USA)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Second Empire (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.1% of 644 runs since 2008 (55 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.4% from 172. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 134.
Bob's Return (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Flemensfirth (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 187 · newest first
The latest 50 of 187 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 6 September 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr J E Burns's strike rate?
Mr J E Burns has won 9 of 107 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr J E Burns ride most for?
Kieran Purcell, with 59 rides since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.6%).
What is Mr J E Burns's Fair A/E?
1.48, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr J E Burns·SR 8.4%·A/E 1.48
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