No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.67).
Deterministic profile computed from 271 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceMichael Darcy: 5.9% from 119
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.00). Michael Darcy rode 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.83). The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (8.2%, n=49) and on Good to Firm going (7.5%, n=40). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 49 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.1
n=57 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −57.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+12.6
n=18 · A/E 2.98 · £1 +12.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
0%
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2%−2.1
n=98 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −47.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Heavy going0% vs 4.1% · n=49
Off a 8-14-day break8.2% vs 4.1% · n=49
With horses switching code0% vs 4.1% · n=47
Over 2m5f – 3m0% vs 4.1% · n=41
Off a break of 180+ days0% vs 4.1% · n=35
On Good to Firm going7.5% vs 4.1% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle19994.5%−70.00
Chase5223.8%−26.00
NH Flat1800%−18.00
Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft8955.6%−21.00
Good6822.9%−54.50
Heavy4900%−49.00
Good to Firm4037.5%+20.50
Good to Soft1815.6%−5.00
Firm700%−7.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel2500%−25.00
Limerick2514%−17.00
Wexford2428.3%+15.50
Cork2314.3%−10.00
Downpatrick2314.3%−8.00
Tramore1900%−19.00
Thurles1700%−17.00
Ballinrobe1616.3%−3.00
Fairyhouse1417.1%−4.00
Gowran Park13215.4%+11.50
Kilbeggan1218.3%+1.00
Punchestown1100%−11.00
Sligo8112.5%+11.00
Tipperary800%−8.00
Killarney700%−7.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1600%0.00−16.00
2nd–3rd fav4237.1%0.58−21.00
4th–6th fav5535.5%0.82−19.00
7th+ in betting15853.2%1.01−60.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f13585.9%−13.50
1m5f – 2m8822.3%−67.50
2m5f – 3m4100%−41.00
Over 3m7114.3%+6.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084424.5%−21.00
20095511.8%−42.00
20105958.5%+11.00
20115823.4%−22.00
20123812.6%−25.00
20131700%−17.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps11465.3%−43.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners11965%−22.50
17+ runners9133.3%−53.00
11-13 runners4124.9%−20.50
8-10 runners1400%−14.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 36 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Timothy Doyle (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.
17 have since run for another yard, most often for N Dooly (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00971112304000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
13
Archived wins
£148k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tryptronic (IRE) — Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle Gowran Park · Jun 2010
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Rudimentary (USA)11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Beckett (IRE)0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 4.6% of 281 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
Bob's Return (IRE)0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Cloudings (IRE)12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Dr Massini (IRE)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 313 · newest first
The latest 50 of 313 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 July 2006 to 5 September 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Michael T Moran's strike rate?
Michael T Moran has won 11 of 271 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Michael T Moran?
Michael Darcy, with 119 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.9%).
What is Michael T Moran's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 271 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Michael T Moran·SR 4.1%·A/E 0.67
KTB
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