No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14).
Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 6%
The read
The market has also underrated the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 1.62 across 68 runners (7.4% strike, +14.00 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.66 across 61 runners (3.3% strike, −36.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%−0.5
n=21 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +5.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+14.7
n=5 · A/E 9.72 · £1 +21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −1.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%+0.7
n=67 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −9.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Flat races7.4% vs 5.3% · n=68
On Heavy going2.9% vs 5.3% · n=34
In Hurdle races3.3% vs 5.3% · n=61
Off a 15-30-day break3.3% vs 5.3% · n=61
On Good going3.3% vs 5.3% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat6857.4%+14.00
Hurdle6123.3%−42.50
NH Flat1715.9%−13.75
Chase600%−6.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft4836.3%−1.00
Heavy3412.9%−25.00
Good3013.3%−24.50
Good to Firm1715.9%−13.75
Good to Soft16212.5%+23.00
Standard (AW)600%−6.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel15213.3%+1.25
Cork1200%−12.00
Gowran Park1218.3%+14.00
Limerick1100%−11.00
Tramore1000%−10.00
Thurles900%−9.00
Fairyhouse9111.1%+4.00
Wexford700%−7.00
Killarney700%−7.00
Kilbeggan600%−6.00
Tipperary600%−6.00
Naas600%−6.00
Listowel600%−6.00
Dundalk (AW)600%−6.00
Roscommon500%−5.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%0.98−1.75
2nd–3rd fav1218.3%0.73−6.50
4th–6th fav2813.6%0.55−19.00
7th+ in betting10754.7%1.79−21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m5323.8%−34.50
2m1f – 2m4f2926.9%−12.75
1m – 1m1f2328.7%+16.00
1m2f – 1m4f2229.1%+8.00
6f – 7f1600%−16.00
2m5f – 3m800%−8.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20085823.4%−32.00
200939410.3%−0.25
201019210.5%+20.00
20111400%−14.00
20121800%−18.00
2014200%−2.00
2015200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps47612.8%+48.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners5758.8%+3.75
17+ runners4412.3%−31.00
11-13 runners2813.6%−7.00
8-10 runners2015%−11.00
5-7 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 32 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P A Fahy (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.
9 have since run for another yard, most often for Kieran Purcell (4); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001080174511000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Dilinata (IRE) — Summer Sundays At Gowran Park Handicap (60-100) Gowran Park · Apr 2010
£13,975
Charleville (GB) — Higgins Motor Park Handicap (60-90) Galway · Aug 2009
£12,093
Charleville (GB) — William Hill 1800 333 555 Handicap (55-80) Galway · Jul 2009
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,030 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Rossini (USA)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.2% of 999 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.8% from 122. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.5% from 179.
Alhaarth (IRE)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Loup Sauvage (USA)9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 5.5% of 437 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Amilynx (FR)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.2% of 292 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Beat All (USA)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 202 · newest first
The latest 50 of 202 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2005 to 8 August 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Patrick Cody's strike rate?
Patrick Cody has won 8 of 152 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Cody's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 152 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Patrick Cody·SR 5.3%·A/E 1.14
KTB
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