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Trainer profile

Lorna Casey

51 runners in the lifetime window · 12 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2014 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–51
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=51
12 (24%)
Placed
1.65
Fair A/E
n=51 · 1.19 incl. margin
−2.25
£1 level stake
n=51 at SP · −4.4%
£46,129
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−9.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.77 · £1 +2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13%+3.2
n=23 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −13.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 6.7% vs 9.8% · n=30
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.1% vs 9.8% · n=33
In Hurdle races 7.7% vs 9.8% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 39 3 7.7% +3.50
NH Flat 7 1 14.3% −4.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00
Flat 1 1 100% +2.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 21 3 14.3% +21.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good 10 1 10% −6.50
Good to Soft 4 1 25% −0.75
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 12 1 8.3% −8.75
Cork 6 1 16.7% −3.00
Listowel 5 1 20% −1.50
Tipperary 5 1 20% +21.00
Punchestown 4 1 25% +9.00
Kilbeggan 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 2.77 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.99 −3.50
4th–6th fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
7th+ in betting 33 2 6.1% 2.34 +6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.7% completed · 43 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 50% 0 0 1 1 0
Hurdle 39 79.5% 1 0 6 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Clan Music (IRE)from C Byrnes · then D McNamara 11 2 5 6 Dec 09
Miss Mary Mac (IRE)from Kevin F O'Donnell · then D McNamara 8 3 5 14 Mar 10
Munster Lass (IRE) 8 0 2 23 Jul 09
Nora D (IRE) 7 0 0 6 Aug 12
Mickeymorgan (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Oct 11
Rossmanagher Lass (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Jul 09
Allthequeenshorses (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Jul 13
Corrib Flyer (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Nov 10
Danpaddyandy (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Jun 09
Tellmeda (IRE) 1 0 0 15 May 14
Nedeszer My Boy (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Jun 09
Danny The Lad (IRE) 1 0 0 31 May 09
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 12 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard, most often for D McNamara (2); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·00001133171700
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
J R Barry 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Kevin Coleman 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Mr M J O'Connor 5 3 60% +4.75
Andrew Leigh 5 0 0% −5.00
Niall P Madden 3 0 0% −3.00
David Splaine 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr R O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Ian McCarthy 2 0 0% −2.00
Mark Bolger 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J E Burns 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr M Fahey 1 0 0% −1.00
Declan Queally 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£48,673
Prize money
2009
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Clan Music (IRE) — Hideout Pub Sologhead Handicap Hurdle Tipperary (IRE) · Aug 2008
£8,983
Miss Mary Mac (IRE) — John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2009
£8,638
Miss Mary Mac (IRE) — Dromore Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race Cork · Aug 2009
£7,256
Notable horses
Miss Mary Mac (IRE) Clan Music (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Accordion (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).
Dushyantor (USA) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.
High Roller (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.2% of 334 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Revoque (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.
Overbury (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 87 · newest first

The latest 50 of 87 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 November 2005 to 15 May 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 May 14 Tipperary Tellmeda (IRE)J: Declan Queally Glenview And Rathbarry Stud Novice Hunters Chase23f · Yielding · 15 ran 9th 50/1
12 Jul 13 Cork Allthequeenshorses (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Follow Us On Twitter Maiden Hurdle24f · Good To Firm · 22 ran 14th 25/1
23 Jun 13 Gowran Park Allthequeenshorses (IRE)J: Mark Bolger Goresbridge Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 16th 9/1
06 Aug 12 Cork Nora D (IRE)J: Robert Jones Corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1
07 Jan 12 Thurles Nora D (IRE)J: David Splaine Cashel Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 9th 66/1
29 Dec 11 Limerick Nora D (IRE)J: Kevin Coleman Online Booking Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 50/1
15 Dec 11 Gowran Park Nora D (IRE)J: Kevin Coleman Santas Little Helper Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 12th 66/1
24 Nov 11 Thurles Nora D (IRE)J: Kevin Coleman Holycross Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 66/1
13 Nov 11 Limerick Nora D (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Winter Wonderland Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 13 ran PU 50/1
30 Oct 11 Wexford Mickeymorgan (IRE)J: Andrew Leigh Casey Cattle Slats Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 15 ran PU 33/1
23 Oct 11 Galway Mickeymorgan (IRE)J: Andrew Leigh Corrib Food Products Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 66/1
12 Oct 11 Punchestown Mickeymorgan (IRE)J: Andrew Leigh Follow Punchestown On Facebook Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 16th 100/1
31 Mar 11 Cork Mickeymorgan (IRE)J: Andrew Leigh www.corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 24 ran 19th 100/1
12 Mar 11 Limerick Mickeymorgan (IRE)J: Andrew Leigh Tote Jackpot Rollover (C & G) Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 18th 50/1
17 Nov 10 Limerick Corrib Flyer (IRE)J: Tom Doyle Adare Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 14 ran PU 66/1
09 May 10 Killarney Corrib Flyer (IRE)J: A E Lynch Killarney Towers Hotel Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 12th 50/1
24 Apr 10 Punchestown Nora D (IRE)J: Declan Bates Irish Sun (pro/am) Flat Race17f · Good · 25 ran 23rd 50/1
14 Mar 10 Limerick Miss Mary Mac (IRE)J: Alain Cawley Dawn Omega Milk E.B.F Mares Novice Hurdle (listed)16f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 16/1
03 Mar 10 Downpatrick Miss Mary Mac (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Downpatrick E.B.F. Mares Novice Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 5/2
06 Dec 09 Punchestown Clan Music (IRE)J: Niall P Madden www.punchestown.com Handicap Hurdle (81-123)20f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lorna Casey's strike rate?
Lorna Casey has won 5 of 51 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Lorna Casey's Fair A/E?
1.65, from 51 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).