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Jockey profile

Mr J F Mathias

117 rides in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2016 100% of rides over jumps
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
17–117
Wins / Runs
14.5%
Strike rate
n=117
40 (34%)
Placed
1.24
n=116 · 1.11 incl. margin
+9.30
£1 level stake
n=117 at SP · +7.9%
£79,333
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.24). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (42 runs). Rode mostly for David Rees — 47% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 117 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 16.7% David Rees: 21.8% from 55 Claiming: 15.2%
The read

Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 15.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +14.30 to a £1 stake over 112 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David Rees supplied 47% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.8% vs 14.5%, A/E 2.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 5 (19.6%, n=46). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 6.1% over 33 rides, 8.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.3%−2.2
n=65 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −12.37
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+14.1
n=14 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −1.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.7%+2.2
n=42 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +16.38
When favourite
53.3%
n=15 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +9.30
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
15.2%+0.7
n=112 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +14.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
12.5%−2.0
n=24 · A/E 2.00 · £1 −2.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−14.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.1% vs 14.5% · n=33
With David Rees 21.8% vs 14.5% · n=55
In Class 5 19.6% vs 14.5% · n=46
Over 2m5f – 3m 11.5% vs 14.5% · n=52
On first rides for the horse 12.3% vs 14.5% · n=65
In Hurdle races 16.7% vs 14.5% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 68 9 13.2% −5.70
Hurdle 48 8 16.7% +16.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 43 6 14% −21.95
Good to Soft 24 3 12.5% +2.00
Soft 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Good to Firm 18 6 33.3% +19.25
Heavy 8 1 12.5% +13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 15 0 0% −15.00
Uttoxeter 11 1 9.1% +10.00
Stratford 9 0 0% −9.00
Chepstow 8 2 25% −2.25
Taunton 8 0 0% −8.00
Cheltenham 8 1 12.5% −5.62
Worcester 8 3 37.5% +5.75
Fontwell 7 2 28.6% +17.75
Ludlow 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Newton Abbot 6 2 33.3% +16.00
Southwell 4 3 75% +17.67
Plumpton 4 1 25% −0.50
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Aintree 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 46 9 19.6% +22.17
Class 4 44 6 13.6% +2.63
Class 6 16 1 6.3% −12.00
Class 3 6 1 16.7% +1.50
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 8 50% 1.46 +8.30
2nd–3rd fav 27 3 11.1% 0.69 −9.50
4th–6th fav 34 4 11.8% 1.56 +8.50
7th+ in betting 40 2 5% 1.73 +2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.8% completed · 116 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 68 77.9% 3 6 6 0 0
Hurdle 48 89.6% 1 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Comehomequietly (IRE) 8 1 4 7 Mar 11
Kisha King (IRE) 7 2 3 26 Jul 10
Tokpela (IRE) 7 1 2 22 Mar 10
Misamon (FR) 6 2 4 21 Jul 10
Diamanpeg (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Jul 10
Buds Dilemma (GB) 4 0 0 6 Sep 09
Rosies Peacock (GB) 3 0 0 29 Apr 15
Pathian Prince (GB) 3 0 1 28 Mar 12
Cosavita (FR) 3 0 0 22 Feb 11
Makena (FR) 3 3 3 23 Jul 10
Tinalliat (FR) 3 0 0 15 Jun 10
Minsgill Mans (GB) 3 0 2 28 May 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1712015142032003300
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavid Rees
47% of all rides
21.8% SR · A/E 2.14
TrainerRWSR£1
David Rees 55 12 21.8% +51.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
17
Archived wins
£79,333
Prize money
2010
Best season · 8 wins
Ascendant (GB) — Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap Hurdle Ludlow · Feb 2015 · Class 3
£9,747
Misamon (FR) — Steve And Dawn Goodings' Wedding Day Handicap Chase Southwell · Jul 2010 · Class 4
£4,554
Lilbitluso (IRE) — Connolly's Red Mills Precision Nutrition Intermediate Point-To-Point Championship Final Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2016 · Class 4
£4,367

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Dr Massini (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Shujan (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.1% of 14 runs since 2008 (4 horses). A small sample.
Simon du Desert (FR) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 8.7% of 195 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Anabaa (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 2,519 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.8% from 243. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 255.
Fusaichi Pegasus (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.4% of 681 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.2% from 157. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.4% from 140.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 117 · newest first

The latest 50 of 117 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2008 to 20 May 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Feb 15 Ludlow Ascendant (GB)T: Johnny Farrelly Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 13/2
30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Steeltown (IRE)T: Kayley Woollacott Shloer Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J F Mathias's strike rate?
Mr J F Mathias has won 17 of 117 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr J F Mathias ride most for?
David Rees, with 55 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (21.8%).
What is Mr J F Mathias's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 116 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).