What is Johnny Farrelly's strike rate?

Johnny Farrelly has won 149 of 1,418 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Johnny Farrelly do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 12 wins from 80 runners (15%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Johnny Farrelly?

Brendan Powell, with 254 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (12.6%).

What is Johnny Farrelly's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Johnny Farrelly

1,418 runners in the lifetime window · 151 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2021

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

149–1,418

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=1,418

395 (28%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,416 · 0.93 incl. margin

−343.49

£1 level stake

n=1,418 at SP · −24.2%

£1.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 160 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (351 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,418 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Nov 37.3% when favourite Brendan Powell: 12.6% from 254 Claiming riders: 12.5% Sent off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 53 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.38). Brendan Powell rode 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.6% vs 10.5%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (34%, n=47) and off a 8-14-day break (16.9%, n=160). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Future Stars Intermediate Chase at Sandown (Nov 2016, £17,085). The stable star of the record was Love The Leader (IRE) — 10 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.3%−4.2

n=352 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −180.56

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.8%−3.7

n=117 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −21.00

Debutants · first career start

2.8%−7.7

n=36 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −32.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7%−3.5

n=43 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −4.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.8%−2.7

n=64 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −27.00

When favourite

37.3%

n=110 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +13.93

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+2.0

n=351 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −99.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.7%−6.8

n=27 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −22.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 34% vs 10.5% · n=47

On last-time-out winners 23.7% vs 10.5% · n=152

At Chepstow 0% vs 10.5% · n=53

With C&D winners 18.5% vs 10.5% · n=124

Off a 8-14-day break 16.9% vs 10.5% · n=160

With Noel Fehily 18.3% vs 10.5% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 845 89 10.5% −278.64

Chase 305 38 12.5% −64.66

Flat 211 19 9% +38.81

NH Flat 57 3 5.3% −39.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 579 58 10% −244.70

Good to Soft 245 30 12.2% +1.99

Soft 235 23 9.8% −70.22

Standard (AW) 163 17 10.4% +48.81

Heavy 114 12 10.5% −57.62

Good to Firm 74 9 12.2% −13.75

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 118 10 8.5% −64.34

Uttoxeter 108 8 7.4% −50.74

Taunton 101 12 11.9% −31.62

Exeter 84 9 10.7% −7.25

Worcester 80 12 15% −6.92

Wolverhampton 75 11 14.7% +103.01

Wincanton 66 8 12.1% −10.09

Stratford 59 6 10.2% −9.00

Fontwell 55 6 10.9% −19.00

Chepstow 53 0 0% −53.00

Southwell 53 6 11.3% −20.67

Plumpton 48 7 14.6% −18.74

Ffos Las 46 3 6.5% −26.50

Huntingdon 33 3 9.1% −20.09

Bangor-on-Dee 33 2 6.1% −26.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 574 68 11.8% −195.64

Class 4 486 48 9.9% −131.94

Class 3 180 18 10% −26.42

Class 6 126 14 11.1% +58.18

Class 1 28 1 3.6% −23.67

Class 2 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 131 43 32.8% 1.17 +0.68

2nd–3rd fav 295 60 20.3% 1.25 +9.83

4th–6th fav 457 28 6.1% 0.79 −187.00

7th+ in betting 535 18 3.4% 1.03 −167.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.2% completed · 1,150 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 305 73.8% 14 13 50 1 2

Hurdle 845 85.2% 18 12 93 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Love The Leader (IRE) 53 10 15 18 Mar 21

Bermeo (IRE)from David Harry Kelly · then Tim Vaughan 40 7 19 14 Apr 21

Finish The Story (IRE)from K A Heffernan 40 5 15 5 May 18

Sporting Boy (IRE)from Michael Blake 38 7 14 17 Oct 19

Western Sunrise (IRE) 36 2 10 9 Dec 20

Lady Makfi (IRE)from A J Martin 31 5 7 12 Oct 20

Ali The Hunter (IRE)then Laura Young 30 1 7 1 Sep 21

War Singer (USA)from David Pipe 30 5 10 2 Jul 17

Mr Lando (GB)from Alison Batchelor 29 2 6 18 Jul 19

Ascendant (GB)from Andrew Reid 28 10 17 8 May 18

Bedouin Bay (GB)from Kevin Bishop 26 2 5 12 Aug 15

Kalaskadesemilley (GB)from Martin Smith 25 0 7 29 Jul 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 151 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pipe (4) and Alison Batchelor (3); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Richard Hawker (7); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11159412111161314167

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrendan Powell

18% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.24

RiderRWSR£1

Brendan Powell 254 32 12.6% −26.51

Tom Cannon 120 12 10% −54.37

Alain Cawley 109 5 4.6% −83.79

Mitchell Bastyan 77 8 10.4% −25.25

Stevie Donohoe 76 10 13.2% +56.43

Noel Fehily 60 11 18.3% +4.17

James Best 56 6 10.7% −10.00

Mr Robert Hawker 38 6 15.8% +8.00

Luca Morgan 38 4 10.5% −19.62

Nick Scholfield 37 3 8.1% +5.50

Robert Dunne 32 2 6.3% −26.95

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

149

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.01m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 30 wins

Amore Alato (GB) — Future Stars Intermediate Chase (Listed) Sandown · Nov 2016 · Listed

£17,085

Ascendant (GB) — Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap Hurdle Ludlow · Feb 2015 · Class 3

£9,747

Gingili (GB) — Download The App At 188bet Handicap Chase Exeter · Oct 2017 · Class 3

£8,862

Notable horses

Love The Leader (IRE) Ascendant (GB) Bermeo (IRE) Sporting Boy (IRE) Finish The Story (IRE) Lady Makfi (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Definite Article (GB) 17.3% · 14–81

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Oscar (IRE) 8.7% · 6–69

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Westerner (GB) 3.6% · 2–55

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Fruits Of Love (USA) 18.9% · 10–53

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.

Medicean (GB) 26.8% · 11–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,942 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,418 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,418 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 July 2013 to 19 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Sep 21 Plumpton Outlaw Jack (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Andrew 'Super Wack' Jackson Memorial Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 10/3

13 Sep 21 Worcester Whistleinthedark (IRE)J: Brendan Powell MansionBet Beaten By A Head Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Sep 21 Uttoxeter Outlaw Jack (IRE)J: Brendan Powell St Leger Guide At attheraces.com/leger Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 9/4

01 Sep 21 Uttoxeter Ali The Hunter (IRE)J: Fergus Gillard BresBet Bet 30 Get 5 Daily Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 15/2

23 Aug 21 Stratford Gonna Go Viral (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 66/1

21 Aug 21 Newton Abbot Captain Ivan (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Detroit Red Treble Up Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 2/1F

18 Aug 21 Worcester Outlaw Jack (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Cazoo Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 14 ran 4th 15/2

29 Jul 21 Stratford Scaramucci (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Join Racing Tv Now Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 6/1

29 Jul 21 Stratford Kalaskadesemilley (GB)J: Rex Dingle Erin, Anya And Joe Brewer Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 18/1

27 Jul 21 Worcester Druim Samhraidh (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Appliance Solutions Harry Powell Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 10/1

26 Jul 21 Newton Abbot Outlaw Jack (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Visit Attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 11/2

25 Jul 21 Uttoxeter Captain Ivan (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Cornwells Chemists Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 1st 4/1

14 Jul 21 Uttoxeter Scaramucci (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Follow At The Races On Twitter Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 8/1

13 Jul 21 Southwell Ali The Hunter (IRE)J: Mitchell Bastyan Join Casumo Today Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/2

13 Jul 21 Southwell Krujers Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Casumo Bet 10 Get 10 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 7/1

05 Jul 21 Worcester Lake Shore Drive (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 14 ran 6th 20/1

04 Jul 21 Market Rasen Blackthorn Winter (GB)J: Jordan Nailor Tom Halliday Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 40/1

23 Jun 21 Worcester Captain Ivan (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Cheesy House Tunes And Jockey Brothers Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 1st 7/1

21 Jun 21 Southwell Big Picture (GB)J: Mitchell Bastyan Join Southwell Golf Club Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

12 Jun 21 Worcester Krujers Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Johnny Farrelly's strike rate?: Johnny Farrelly has won 149 of 1,418 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Johnny Farrelly do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 12 wins from 80 runners (15%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Johnny Farrelly?: Brendan Powell, with 254 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (12.6%).
What is Johnny Farrelly's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.