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Trainer profile

Lawney Hill

98 runners in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 25 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
13–98
Wins / Runs
13.3%
Strike rate
n=98
26 (27%)
Placed
1.46
n=98 · 1.27 incl. margin
+1.03
£1 level stake
n=98 at SP · +1.1%
£85,566
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
29.6%+16.3
n=27 · A/E 2.87 · £1 +38.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−13.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+3.4
n=6 · A/E 2.48 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +0.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−7.0
n=32 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −24.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 26.5% vs 13.3% · n=34
In Class 5 20.9% vs 13.3% · n=43
With claiming riders up 6.3% vs 13.3% · n=32
In Class 4 9.5% vs 13.3% · n=42
Off a 31-60-day break 10% vs 13.3% · n=30
On Good going 15.9% vs 13.3% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 67 9 13.4% +13.00
Chase 26 4 15.4% −6.97
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 44 7 15.9% +30.50
Soft 24 3 12.5% −11.17
Good to Soft 18 3 16.7% −6.30
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 13 3 23.1% +9.33
Fontwell 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Worcester 10 1 10% −5.00
Southwell 8 3 37.5% +13.50
Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield 7 2 28.6% +2.50
Stratford 6 1 16.7% +17.00
Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00
Leicester 5 1 20% −0.80
Newton Abbot 3 0 0% −3.00
Market Rasen 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Ascot 2 0 0% −2.00
Fakenham 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 43 9 20.9% +39.00
Class 4 42 4 9.5% −24.97
Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.81 −0.67
2nd–3rd fav 27 7 25.9% 1.49 +3.70
4th–6th fav 33 2 6.1% 0.97 −18.00
7th+ in betting 33 3 9.1% 3.34 +16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.3% completed · 93 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 26 65.4% 1 2 6 0 0
Hurdle 67 80.6% 1 1 11 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
No More No (IRE) 13 4 5 1 Oct 26
Everything'sontick (IRE) 13 3 4 11 Dec 25
Kingston Bresil (GB) 10 1 3 16 Mar 26
Shewearsthewellies (IRE) 8 3 5 13 Jan 24
Craven Bay (IRE)then Toby Lawes 6 1 2 28 Aug 24
Sir Maximus (IRE) 5 0 0 18 May 24
Calvic (IRE)then Stuart Edmunds 5 0 1 22 Jan 24
Hilnamix (FR) 5 1 1 23 Mar 23
Our Brother John (IRE) 4 0 1 10 Jun 26
Citizen Jane (GB)from Ryan Potter 3 0 2 4 Sep 26
Back On Track (IRE) 3 0 0 17 Feb 26
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Hill (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8299029170252520300
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
David Bass 29 6 20.7% +10.00
Miss Izzie Marshall 21 1 4.8% −16.67
Richard Patrick 7 1 14.3% +16.00
Gavin Sheehan 7 1 14.3% −2.80
Charlie Maggs 6 2 33.3% +8.00
Mr Ben Sutton 4 0 0% −4.00
Stan Sheppard 3 0 0% −3.00
Fergus Gregory 3 0 0% −3.00
Toby Wynne 3 2 66.7% +11.50
Tom Scudamore 3 0 0% −3.00
Tom Cannon 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr James King 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
174
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£942k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 27 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
I Have Dreamed (IRE) — Betfred Summer Plate (Listed Handicap Chase) Market Rasen · Jul 2012 · Listed
£28,475
Oliver's Hill (IRE) — Leicestershire Silver Fox Handicap Chase Leicester · Dec 2016 · Class 3
£9,495
Oliver's Hill (IRE) — Smarter Bets With Matchbook Handicap Chase Kempton · Oct 2017 · Class 3
£8,133

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Scorpion (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Alkaadhem (GB) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 10% of 789 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.7% from 307. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 160.
Blue Bresil (FR) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12.2% of 3,504 runs since 2008 (457 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,967 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,792 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,208 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,354 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,354 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2005 to 1 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Jun 26 Fontwell Our Brother John (IRE)J: David Bass Jewson Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lawney Hill's strike rate?
Lawney Hill has won 13 of 98 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Lawney Hill's Fair A/E?
1.46, from 98 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).