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Trainer profile

J J O'Shea

48 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 183 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
18–48
Wins / Runs
37.5%
Strike rate
n=48
27 (56%)
Placed
1.50
Fair A/E
n=48 · 1.30 incl. margin
+15.39
£1 level stake
n=48 at SP · +32.1%
£161k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
42.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 37.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
25%−12.5
n=16 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −5.44
New recruits · first run for the yard
22.2%−15.3
n=9 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −2.62
Debutants · first career start
100%+62.5
n=1 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +0.36
First-time headgear · true-first definition
100%+62.5
n=1 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +0.83
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−37.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
73.7%
n=19 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +9.14
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
46.2%+8.7
n=26 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −2.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 37.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 22 6 27.3% +16.14
Good 14 7 50% +0.66
Soft 8 3 37.5% −2.49
Heavy 4 2 50% +1.08

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 9 2 22.2% −1.40
Aintree 8 2 25% +17.75
Leicester 6 3 50% +0.04
Stratford 4 4 100% +5.81
Cartmel 4 2 50% +0.11
Ludlow 4 1 25% −2.20
Haydock 3 1 33.3% +0.25
Hereford 3 0 0% −3.00
Kelso 2 2 100% +0.65
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Taunton 1 1 100% +1.38
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 23 9 39.1% −2.77
Class 2 14 4 28.6% +20.13
Class 4 6 4 66.7% −0.22
Class 3 5 1 20% −1.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 19 14 73.7% 1.64 +9.14
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.16 +0.25
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 9 1 11.1% 5.89 +14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.8% completed · 48 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 48 70.8% 0 1 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gracchus De Balme (FR)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8 2 4 9 Apr 26
Cousin Pascal (FR)from Daniel G Murphy 8 1 2 13 Apr 23
Barton Snow (IRE)from William P Murphy 6 6 6 9 Apr 26
Time Leader (IRE)from Tom Lacey · then Miss Hannah Roach 6 4 4 31 May 23
Envious Editor (IRE)from Mrs Denise Foster · then Miss H Brookshaw 6 2 4 18 Feb 23
Willewonga (GB)from Miss Hannah Roach 5 0 2 9 Apr 26
Paul Marvel (FR)from W P Mullins 5 2 3 13 Mar 26
Boley Bob (IRE) 1 1 1 20 Apr 26
St Cuthbert's Cave (IRE)from Simon Edwards 1 0 0 15 Jan 26
The Creadan Rogue (IRE)from Gordon Elliott · then Miss Hannah Roach 1 0 0 29 May 23
Mexican Boy (IRE)from Olly Murphy 1 0 1 29 May 23
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Miss Hannah Roach (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1346332767·······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Huw Edwards 15 7 46.7% +21.01
Mr Henry Crow 12 9 75% +10.03
Mr James King 10 2 20% −4.65
Mr P A King 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr William Easterby 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Joe Wright 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Alan O'Sullivan 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Thomas Easterby 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Ellie Callwood 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Clara Brewitt 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
31
Archived wins
£238k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
Barton Snow (IRE) — Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Class 2
£24,445
Gracchus De Balme (FR) — Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 2
£24,155
Barton Snow (IRE) — Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase Aintree · Apr 2026 · Class 2
£24,155
Notable horses
Barton Snow (IRE) Road To Rome (IRE) Time Leader (IRE) Cousin Pascal (FR) Cottage Oak (IRE) Gracchus De Balme (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Great Pretender (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 13% of 3,532 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Manbolix (FR) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 42 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 57.1% · 4–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.
Snow Sky (GB) 100% · 7–7
Progeny have won 10.7% of 413 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 129. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 178.
Aizavoski (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 12.8% of 741 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.
Masked Marvel (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,603 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.9% from 282.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 116 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2012 to 20 April 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Apr 26 Kelso Boley Bob (IRE)J: Mr Henry Crow Church House Investments Buccleuch Cup (Maiden Hunters' Chase)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 4/11F
09 Apr 26 Aintree Willewonga (GB)J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran UR 25/1
09 Apr 26 Aintree Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr P A King Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 7th 18/1
09 Apr 26 Aintree Barton Snow (IRE)J: Mr Henry Crow Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 1st 7/4F
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Paul Marvel (FR)J: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran PU 80/1
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Willewonga (GB)J: Mr Thomas Easterby Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran PU 100/1
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr P A King Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran PU 50/1
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Barton Snow (IRE)J: Mr Henry Crow Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 1st 9/2
24 Feb 26 Leicester Paul Marvel (FR)J: Mr Henry Crow Quorn Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 1/3F
12 Feb 26 Leicester Paul Marvel (FR)J: Mr Henry Crow Pointing Pointers Dick And Pam Saunders Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 5/6F
04 Feb 26 Ludlow Barton Snow (IRE)J: Mr Henry Crow Plyvine Catering Chase Meredith Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/5F
23 Jan 26 Warwick Paul Marvel (FR)J: Miss Ellie Callwood Willoughby De Broke Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 15/2
15 Jan 26 Ludlow St Cuthbert's Cave (IRE)J: Mr James King Pointing Pointers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 6/4F
15 Jan 26 Ludlow Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr Henry Crow Pointing Pointers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 5/2
30 May 25 Stratford Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr Huw Edwards Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (The 66th Running For the Horse and Hound Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 15/8F
30 May 25 Stratford Barton Snow (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Pointing Pointers 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 1/3F
02 May 25 Cheltenham Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr James King Jonathan Neesom Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4
02 May 25 Cheltenham Barton Snow (IRE)J: Mr James King Bottlegreen Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/10F
03 Apr 25 Aintree Willewonga (GB)J: Mr William Easterby Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 29 ran PU 50/1
03 Apr 25 Aintree Gracchus De Balme (FR)J: Mr Huw Edwards Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 29 ran 1st 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J J O'Shea's strike rate?
J J O'Shea has won 18 of 48 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 37.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J J O'Shea's Fair A/E?
1.50, from 48 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).