Mrs Alex Dunn
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.24). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 24% off breaks of two months or more (33 runs). Rode mostly for Alexandra Dunn — 59% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.74), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 13.2% (n=38, Fair A/E 1.24). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 18.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +18.71 to a £1 stake over 120 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Alexandra Dunn supplied 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (15.6%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 5 (26.5%, n=34) and in Chase races (20.5%, n=44). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 7.7% over 52 rides, 9.2pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Double Mead (GB) — 6 wins from 10 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 130 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 130 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 February 2008 to 18 July 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mrs Alex Dunn's strike rate?
- Mrs Alex Dunn has won 22 of 130 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Mrs Alex Dunn ride most for?
- Alexandra Dunn, with 77 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (15.6%).
- What is Mrs Alex Dunn's Fair A/E?
- 1.24, from 130 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.