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Trainer profile

Alexandra Dunn

659 runners in the last 5 seasons · 100 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
50–659
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=659
129 (20%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=658 · 0.91 incl. margin
−187.42
£1 level stake
n=659 at SP · −28.4%
£433k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
24.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 659 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct Philip Armson: 12% from 75 Headgear returns: 11.8% Claiming riders: 9%
The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (30.6%, n=36), clear of the yard's 7.6% baseline. It is weakest at Taunton (0% over 61 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 11.8% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.87), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.74). Philip Armson rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12% vs 7.6%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (23.1%, n=39) and in Chase races (16.4%, n=134). The stable star of the record: Thahab Ifraj (IRE) — 10 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.7%−4.9
n=146 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −94.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%−2.8
n=62 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −37.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.6
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+4.2
n=34 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +25.75
When favourite
34.5%
n=29 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −3.05
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9%+1.4
n=278 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −106.37
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Fontwell 30.6% vs 7.6% · n=36
Beyond 3m 23.1% vs 7.6% · n=39
With C&D winners 20.4% vs 7.6% · n=49
On last-time-out winners 19.2% vs 7.6% · n=52
In Chase races 16.4% vs 7.6% · n=134
At Taunton 0% vs 7.6% · n=61
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 263 17 6.5% −52.38
Hurdle 248 11 4.4% −162.25
Chase 134 22 16.4% +41.21
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 270 26 9.6% −15.17
Standard (AW) 128 6 4.7% −57.38
Good to Soft 108 8 7.4% −46.87
Soft 77 5 6.5% −51.00
Good to Firm 44 5 11.4% +15.00
Heavy 28 0 0% −28.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 66 4 6.1% −8.88
Taunton 61 0 0% −61.00
Chepstow 54 8 14.8% +6.50
Newton Abbot 50 5 10% +0.50
Fontwell 36 11 30.6% +46.76
Wincanton 35 0 0% −35.00
Worcester 34 2 5.9% −28.75
Bath 30 1 3.3% −25.50
Exeter 25 2 8% +3.50
Ffos Las 23 4 17.4% −6.25
Brighton 22 1 4.5% −14.50
Stratford 22 2 9.1% +5.00
Lingfield (AW) 18 1 5.6% −9.50
Kempton (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Southwell (AW) 16 1 6.3% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 270 25 9.3% −5.67
Class 6 171 12 7% −55.38
Class 4 166 12 7.2% −80.37
Class 3 48 1 2.1% −42.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 13 36.1% 1.21 +2.45
2nd–3rd fav 84 14 16.7% 0.98 −13.87
4th–6th fav 216 18 8.3% 1.18 +17.00
7th+ in betting 323 5 1.5% 0.71 −193.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Stage Show (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 28 2 5 16 Oct 26
Nevendon (GB)from John C McConnell 25 2 11 20 Oct 25
Kapitaliste (FR)from F Head 24 2 10 26 May 24
Thahab Ifraj (IRE)from Ismail Mohammed 23 2 6 14 Jul 25
Cailin Saoirse (GB)from Philip M Byrne 19 3 6 5 Nov 24
King Of War (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton · then Michael Wigham 19 3 9 28 Aug 23
Toad Of Toad Hall (GB) 18 3 5 17 Oct 24
Kyber Crystal (IRE)from Adrian Paul Keatley · then Rebecca Menzies 18 1 2 16 Sep 23
Holy Legend (GB) 17 4 7 15 Oct 26
Still Standing (IRE)from William Durkan 17 0 1 29 Apr 24
Oviedo (IRE)from Edward Bethell 14 2 3 13 Oct 26
Rock Of Star (FR)then Rebecca Menzies 14 3 4 24 Jan 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 100 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Menuisier (3) and Harry & Roger Charlton (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Wigham (5) and Gary & Josh Moore (3); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
74221616211121040
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhilip Armson
11% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.01
RiderRWSR£1
Philip Armson 75 9 12% −19.75
Adam Wedge 67 5 7.5% −14.12
Taylor Fisher 35 3 8.6% −9.50
Nick Scholfield 31 2 6.5% −18.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
199
Archived wins
£1.51m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 37 wins
Azari (GB) — Betway Casino Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2019 · Class 3
£9,452
Swift Crusador (GB) — Pinsent Masons Handicap Chase Sandown · Dec 2018 · Class 3
£9,384
Rogue (GB) — Prix de Jaux (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Oct 2019
£8,559
Notable horses
Thahab Ifraj (IRE) Minella Voucher (GB) Helium (FR) De Little Engine (IRE) Cry Wolf (GB) Black Narcissus (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bated Breath (GB) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 846.
Showcasing (GB) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,584 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Nathaniel (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,065 runs since 2008 (634 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
Intello (GER) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,476 runs since 2008 (390 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.7% from 231. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
Frozen Power (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2008 (132 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,638 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,638 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2012 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Miss Raincloud (IRE)J: Luke Morris Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 33/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Stage Show (GB)J: Luke Morris quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 66/1
15 Oct 26 Fontwell Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 8/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 2/1F
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 5/1
20 Sep 26 Plumpton Stage Show (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 5th 7/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 11/8F
04 Sep 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/4F
21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 1/2F
20 Aug 26 Stratford Winning Paddy (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 6/1
12 Aug 26 Ffos Las Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 1st 13/2
31 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Nana's Boy George (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 13/2
30 Jul 26 Epsom Stage Show (GB)J: Finley Marsh Spillers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 28/1
22 Jul 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Widmer Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 1st 2/1F
03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: Richie McLernon William Hill Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 4th 15/2
27 Jun 26 Lingfield Stage Show (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Fabric First Past The Post HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 9/1
12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: James Davies William Hill Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 10/3
06 Jun 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Law Without The Horsing Around Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 4/1
03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: James Davies Par Inn Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 1st 28/1
29 May 26 Chepstow Oviedo (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9-11th October HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alexandra Dunn's strike rate?
Alexandra Dunn has won 50 of 659 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alexandra Dunn do best at?
Fontwell by strike rate: 11 wins from 36 runners (30.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alexandra Dunn?
Philip Armson, with 75 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (12%).
Is Alexandra Dunn in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alexandra Dunn's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 658 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).