Nora Looby
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Rode mostly for Alan McCabe — 50% of rides in the window.
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −13.50 to a £1 stake over 224 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alan McCabe supplied 50% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.77). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (10.8%, n=65) and on Good to Firm going (8.7%, n=46). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 1.20 across 89 rides (7.9% strike, +64.38 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 33 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 0-7-day break: Fair A/E 0.40 across 55 rides (3.6% strike, −42.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 277 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 277 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 May 2006 to 17 February 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Nora Looby's strike rate?
- Nora Looby has won 13 of 250 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Nora Looby do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 59 rides (5.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Nora Looby ride most for?
- Alan McCabe, with 126 rides since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (5.6%).
- What is Nora Looby's Fair A/E?
- 0.82, from 250 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.