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Jockey profile

Oliver Casey

216 rides in the lifetime window · 67 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2013 93% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–216
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=216
34 (16%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=216 · 0.56 incl. margin
−136.50
£1 level stake
n=216 at SP · −63.2%
£84,388
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75). Rode mostly for Peter Casey — 81% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Peter Casey: 4.6% from 174
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −136.50 to a £1 stake over 216 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Peter Casey supplied 81% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.6%, A/E 0.86). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 37 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.38 across 59 rides (1.7% strike, −44.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Ireland's Call (IRE) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−3.7
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+16.3
n=10 · A/E 2.29 · £1 +10.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.7
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.7%+0.0
n=216 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −136.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.5%−0.2
n=144 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −84.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 3.7% · n=58
On Good going 0% vs 3.7% · n=37
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.8% vs 3.7% · n=69
Off a 15-30-day break 1.7% vs 3.7% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 200 8 4% −120.50
Hurdle 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 71 3 4.2% −43.00
Good 37 0 0% −37.00
Soft 37 1 2.7% −34.00
Good to Firm 36 1 2.8% −25.00
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Firm 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 70 3 4.3% −42.00
Naas 20 1 5% −3.00
Curragh 20 1 5% −5.00
Down Royal 14 1 7.1% −3.00
Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Bellewstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 5 1 20% −2.00
Roscommon 5 1 20% +0.50
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.88 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 1 6.7% 0.66 −9.50
4th–6th fav 45 4 8.9% 1.24 −6.00
7th+ in betting 151 2 1.3% 0.42 −119.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Desert Ben (IRE) 28 2 9 18 May 12
Try Freedom (IRE) 21 1 5 16 Mar 12
Fascinating Paddy (IRE) 10 0 4 1 Oct 10
Captain Cole (IRE) 8 1 2 25 Aug 10
Dotada (IRE) 8 1 2 4 Jun 10
Tubbertown King (IRE) 7 0 0 15 Mar 13
Fingal Rock (IRE) 7 2 3 22 Sep 09
Brecan Boy (IRE) 6 0 1 4 Nov 11
Cullofane (IRE) 6 0 1 28 Nov 08
Boss's Star (IRE) 5 0 1 18 May 12
Music On D Waters (IRE) 5 0 1 27 Nov 11
Fearnwood Girl (IRE) 5 0 0 7 Sep 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000803660817
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPeter Casey
81% of all rides
4.6% SR · A/E 0.86
TrainerRWSR£1
Peter Casey 174 8 4.6% −94.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
21
Archived wins
£327k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cool Touch (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF August Premier Handicap Leopardstown · Aug 2006
£39,060
Cool Touch (IRE) — McEnery Cup Handicap (60-100) Gowran Park · Aug 2006
£17,903
Ireland's Call (IRE) — Alaska Distributing Handicap (60-100) Leopardstown · Aug 2006
£17,577
Notable horses
Ireland's Call (IRE) Desert Ben (IRE) Cool Touch (IRE) Fingal Rock (IRE) Try Freedom (IRE) Charlene (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Desert Prince (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Mull Of Kintyre (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Lahib (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Noverre (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Barathea (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 489 · newest first

The latest 50 of 489 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2005 to 6 July 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Jul 13 Bellewstown Lick Ur Lips Lulu (IRE)T: Peter Casey Woods Financial Services Maiden12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 10th 33/1
05 Jul 13 Bellewstown Palace Art (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th 25/1
26 Jun 13 Naas Hello Humpfrey (IRE)T: Peter Casey Prosperous Financial Services Supporting North Kildare Chamber Maiden6f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 11th 33/1
10 Jun 13 Roscommon Hello Humpfrey (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (c & G) Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 50/1
30 May 13 Gowran Park Hello Humpfrey (IRE)T: Peter Casey Like Us On Facebook (C & G) Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 100/1
15 May 13 Naas Palace Art (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 12th 40/1
28 Mar 13 Dundalk (AW) Rose Angel (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish News Against The Breeze Median Auction Maiden8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 16/1
15 Mar 13 Dundalk (AW) Tubbertown King (IRE)T: Peter Casey Louth Supporters Club Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1
08 Mar 13 Dundalk (AW) Tubbertown King (IRE)T: Peter Casey XL Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1
01 Mar 13 Dundalk (AW) Rose Angel (IRE)T: Peter Casey Bookings At dundalkstadium.com Median Auction Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 2/1F
22 Feb 13 Dundalk (AW) Rose Angel (IRE)T: Peter Casey Ladbrokes Casino Fillies Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 33/1
09 Nov 12 Dundalk (AW) Rose Angel (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms Median Auction Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 33/1
19 Oct 12 Dundalk (AW) Tubbertown King (IRE)T: Peter Casey Christmas Party Packages At Dundalk Stadium Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 25/1
18 May 12 Dundalk (AW) Boss's Star (IRE)T: Peter Casey Louth Agricultural Show 17th June Handicap (47-75)8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 20/1
18 May 12 Dundalk (AW) Desert Ben (IRE)T: Peter Casey www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 10/1
18 May 12 Dundalk (AW) Tubbertown King (IRE)T: Peter Casey Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 33/1
16 Mar 12 Dundalk (AW) Try Freedom (IRE)T: Peter Casey Horseware Ireland Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 14/1
09 Mar 12 Dundalk (AW) Try Freedom (IRE)T: Peter Casey BWG Foods Handicap (47-65)12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 25/1
20 Jan 12 Dundalk (AW) Accompanist (GB)T: T G McCourt Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 25/1
13 Jan 12 Dundalk (AW) Try Freedom (IRE)T: Peter Casey Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oliver Casey's strike rate?
Oliver Casey has won 8 of 216 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oliver Casey do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 70 rides (4.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Oliver Casey ride most for?
Peter Casey, with 174 rides since 2008 — 81% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (4.6%).
What is Oliver Casey's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 216 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).